Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 20)
Updated: 2025-12-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Rockets travel to Ball Arena to face the Denver Nuggets on Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET in a Western Conference showdown between two of the league’s stronger squads this season. Denver, fresh off a six‑game win streak and led by MVP‑caliber performances, enters as a slight home favorite, while Houston brings its own blend of star power and balanced scoring to a rivalry that’s already produced tight contests this month.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 20, 2025
Start Time: 6:00 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena
Nuggets Record: (20-6)
Rockets Record: (16-8)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -102
DEN Moneyline: -105
HOU Spread: +1.5
DEN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 237.5
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Rockets have been solid against the spread this season, holding a 14‑10‑0 ATS record overall and a 9‑5 mark ATS on the road, showing they can outperform expectations even when not favored.
DEN
Betting Trends
- Denver has been 16‑10‑0 against the spread this season, but has a 7‑5 ATS home record, indicating some inconsistency covering at Ball Arena despite being favorites.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Totals have leaned OVER for both teams: Denver’s contests have gone over in a large percentage of games at home, and Houston has hit the total over more than 60 % of the time this season, suggesting a high‑scoring potential.
HOU vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Sheppard over 17.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Houston vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/20/25
The December 20, 2025 matchup between the Houston Rockets and the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena promises to be a high-level Western Conference clash featuring two teams with dynamic offensive firepower and playoff aspirations. Denver enters the game riding a six-game winning streak, highlighted by efficient offensive execution and standout performances from Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray, who have formed one of the league’s most potent duos. Jokić, an MVP-caliber center, has been instrumental in orchestrating Denver’s offense, averaging near a triple-double with points, rebounds, and assists while serving as the focal point in half-court sets. Murray’s perimeter shooting and ability to attack closeouts complement Jokić’s inside game, forcing defenses to cover multiple threats and creating high-quality scoring opportunities for role players like Cameron Johnson and Tim Hardaway Jr. The Nuggets’ offense ranks among the NBA’s most efficient, and their ability to control tempo, space the floor, and convert in transition makes them a difficult opponent for any team, even at full strength. Houston, meanwhile, brings a balanced, versatile attack capable of challenging Denver’s defensive schemes. The Rockets feature emerging stars such as Alperen Şengün, who has developed into a strong interior scorer and playmaker, and Amen Thompson, whose speed, athleticism, and court vision allow Houston to generate points in transition and in the half-court. Veterans like Kevin Durant continue to provide elite scoring efficiency and floor spacing, giving Houston multiple avenues to attack and keep defenses off balance. Recent games have shown Houston’s ability to compete with elite teams, including a narrow overtime loss to Denver in a prior meeting and a hard-fought win against the Los Angeles Clippers. Houston’s depth and balance allow for sustained offensive pressure even when starters rest, while their defensive length and switching ability can disrupt Denver’s ball movement and passing rhythm.
Defensively, both teams present unique challenges. Denver relies on Jokić as a defensive anchor, contesting shots in the paint and facilitating help defense, while their perimeter defenders focus on containing Murray and other scorers without overcommitting. Houston uses athleticism and length to pressure ball handlers, contest shots, and force turnovers, though rebounding can be an area of vulnerability against a strong, disciplined Nuggets frontcourt. The matchup will likely hinge on rebounding battles, transition opportunities, and late-game execution. Both squads have shown the capacity to score in bunches, and the ability to minimize mistakes in high-leverage moments could determine the outcome. Historical encounters between these teams highlight a competitive balance, with prior games often decided by narrow margins and multiple overtimes. Denver’s home court provides a tangible advantage, energizing the team and amplifying their offensive execution, while Houston’s resilience and versatility give them a realistic chance to push the contest into the closing minutes. Special situations such as free-throw efficiency, late-quarter shot selection, and bench contributions will play a pivotal role in determining the winner. Both teams are capable of delivering a fast-paced, strategically complex matchup where execution, adjustments, and contributions from supporting cast members will heavily influence the final outcome. With Denver’s home advantage and offensive efficiency pitted against Houston’s balance, versatility, and emerging talent, this game promises to be a tightly contested, high-scoring affair that could be decided in the final minutes.
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32 PTS on 12-15 FG for KD 📊@MemorialHermann | #Rockets pic.twitter.com/IxvL2YRqZY
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) December 19, 2025
Houston Rockets NBA Preview
The Houston Rockets travel to Ball Arena on December 20, 2025 to face the Denver Nuggets looking to build on recent successes and continue establishing themselves as a competitive Western Conference squad. Houston has demonstrated a versatile offensive attack this season, blending emerging young talent with the leadership and scoring ability of veterans. Alperen Şengün has become a focal point in the Rockets’ offense, contributing consistently as both a scorer and playmaker, while Amen Thompson has grown into a dynamic guard capable of creating his own shot, facilitating the offense, and generating points in transition. Kevin Durant remains a key contributor, providing elite scoring efficiency and spacing the floor, which allows Houston to maintain offensive balance and exploit defensive mismatches. The Rockets have shown the ability to compete with top-tier teams, most recently pushing Denver to the limit in an overtime loss while also defeating the Los Angeles Clippers in a hard-fought contest, demonstrating both resilience and depth across their rotation. Houston’s offensive identity relies on balance and adaptability. The team combines perimeter shooting, aggressive drives to the basket, and improved free-throw generation to maintain scoring efficiency. Young players like Thompson and Şengün create opportunities for themselves and others through aggressive movement, while Durant’s presence demands defensive attention and opens lanes for secondary scorers. The Rockets’ bench has provided meaningful contributions, sustaining offensive pressure and allowing starters to rest without a drop-off in production. These factors contribute to Houston’s ability to maintain offensive rhythm even in high-pressure road games against elite opponents like Denver. Defensively, Houston has improved its ability to contest shots, apply pressure on ball handlers, and disrupt passing lanes, though rebounding remains an area of focus, particularly against Denver’s size and disciplined frontcourt.
Limiting second-chance points and controlling boards will be crucial, as Denver excels at converting offensive rebounds into transition opportunities. Houston’s ability to execute defensive rotations, switch effectively on pick-and-rolls, and maintain communication on help defense will determine whether they can contain Denver’s high-powered offense. In addition, minimizing turnovers and protecting the ball will be essential, as the Nuggets thrive on converting mistakes into fast-break points. Historically, matchups between Houston and Denver have been competitive, often decided in the final minutes or in overtime scenarios, highlighting the importance of execution, composure, and strategic adjustments throughout the game. Key Rockets players must continue producing efficiently, while role players contribute spacing, defense, and secondary scoring to keep the team competitive. The Mavericks’ ability to rebound, move the ball effectively, and capitalize on transition opportunities will be central to staying in contention against a Nuggets team that excels in half-court efficiency and floor spacing. Ultimately, Houston’s potential for success on the road hinges on leveraging a balanced offensive attack, maintaining defensive discipline, and executing effectively in key moments. If Şengün, Thompson, and Durant perform at a high level, and supporting players contribute consistently, the Rockets have the ability to push Denver to the limit, challenge their home-court advantage, and potentially secure a road victory or cover the spread. Their blend of youth, veteran leadership, and improving cohesion provides the foundation for a competitive performance in this Western Conference showdown.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets enter their December 20, 2025 home matchup against the Houston Rockets at Ball Arena with a clear advantage, fueled by a combination of elite talent, home-court energy, and a high-powered offense. Denver has been one of the most consistent and efficient teams in the Western Conference this season, highlighted by a six-game winning streak that has showcased the team’s ability to execute in both half-court sets and transition opportunities. Central to Denver’s success is Nikola Jokić, whose all-around game continues to make him one of the league’s most impactful players. Averaging near a triple-double this season, Jokić orchestrates the offense, creates scoring opportunities for teammates, and remains a dominant presence in the paint on both ends of the floor. His combination of vision, size, and scoring ability forces defenses to adjust constantly, opening lanes for secondary scorers and creating mismatches that Denver exploits efficiently. Complementing Jokić is Jamal Murray, whose perimeter shooting, slashing ability, and scoring consistency make him a legitimate threat that defenses cannot ignore. Murray’s ability to stretch the floor and attack closeouts opens space for Jokić and allows role players like Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Peyton Watson to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Denver’s offensive scheme emphasizes ball movement, spacing, and tempo control, blending deliberate half-court execution with opportunistic transition scoring. This balance makes the Nuggets a highly adaptable team capable of adjusting to different defensive strategies, including Houston’s aggressive perimeter defense and length-based switching. Defensively, Denver leverages Jokić’s presence in the paint, aggressive rotations, and communication to contest shots at all levels. The Nuggets excel in protecting the rim, limiting clean looks from three-point range, and controlling defensive rebounds to fuel fast-break opportunities.
Denver’s home-court advantage amplifies their defensive intensity, as crowd energy encourages active rotations and helps maintain focus during key possessions. Containing Houston’s emerging scorers like Alperen Şengün and Amen Thompson will be a priority, requiring disciplined rotations and consistent help defense to prevent easy baskets and transition opportunities. The Nuggets’ ability to force turnovers and convert them into points will likely be a decisive factor in the game’s outcome. Special situations, such as late-quarter execution, free-throw efficiency, and bench contributions, will also be critical. Denver’s depth allows starters to maintain energy while maintaining offensive and defensive performance, giving the team flexibility in matchups and the ability to sustain pressure throughout the game. Historically, games between Denver and Houston have been closely contested, highlighting the importance of execution, composure, and situational awareness. The Nuggets’ combination of star power, balanced scoring, and home-court energy positions them as favorites, but success will depend on maintaining consistency, controlling tempo, and minimizing mistakes. Ultimately, Denver’s strengths — elite talent, offensive efficiency, defensive discipline, and home-court support — make them a formidable opponent. By leveraging Jokić and Murray’s abilities, executing strategically in critical moments, and receiving contributions from supporting cast members, the Nuggets are well-positioned to dictate the game’s pace, impose their style of play, and secure a strong home-court performance against a resilient Houston Rockets team. With Denver’s depth, versatility, and home advantage, the Nuggets have every tool necessary to control this contest from start to finish and maintain their position as a top Western Conference contender.
Cam dropped a quick double-double
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) December 19, 2025
19 PTS / 11 REB pic.twitter.com/1LyIDdBMWW
Houston vs Denver Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Rockets and Nuggets play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Dec rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Houston vs Denver Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Rockets and Nuggets and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly rested Nuggets team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Denver picks, computer picks Rockets vs Nuggets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 1/14 | TOR@IND | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NBA | 1/14 | BKN@NO | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
| NBA | 1/14 | UTA@CHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NBA | 1/14 | NY@SAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Houston Betting Trends
The Rockets have been solid against the spread this season, holding a 14‑10‑0 ATS record overall and a 9‑5 mark ATS on the road, showing they can outperform expectations even when not favored.
Denver Betting Trends
Denver has been 16‑10‑0 against the spread this season, but has a 7‑5 ATS home record, indicating some inconsistency covering at Ball Arena despite being favorites.
Rockets vs. Nuggets Matchup Trends
Totals have leaned OVER for both teams: Denver’s contests have gone over in a large percentage of games at home, and Houston has hit the total over more than 60 % of the time this season, suggesting a high‑scoring potential.
Houston vs. Denver Game Info
Houston vs Denver starts on December 20, 2025 at 6:00 PM EST.
Venue: Ball Arena.
Spread: Denver -1.5
Moneyline: Houston -102, Denver -105
Over/Under: 237.5
Houston: (16-8) | Denver: (20-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Sheppard over 17.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Totals have leaned OVER for both teams: Denver’s contests have gone over in a large percentage of games at home, and Houston has hit the total over more than 60 % of the time this season, suggesting a high‑scoring potential.
HOU trend: The Rockets have been solid against the spread this season, holding a 14‑10‑0 ATS record overall and a 9‑5 mark ATS on the road, showing they can outperform expectations even when not favored.
DEN trend: Denver has been 16‑10‑0 against the spread this season, but has a 7‑5 ATS home record, indicating some inconsistency covering at Ball Arena despite being favorites.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Denver Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| HOU Moneyline | -102 |
|---|---|
| DEN Moneyline | -105 |
| HOU Spread | +1.5 |
| DEN Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 237.5 |
Houston vs Denver Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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–
–
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+170
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+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
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O 229.5 (-105)
U 229.5 (-115)
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–
–
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+220
-275
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 223 (-110)
U 223 (-110)
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|
Jan 15, 2026 7:40PM EST
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1/15/26 7:40PM
Thunder
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–
–
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-170
+142
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-3.5 (-118)
+3.5 (-102)
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O 222.5 (-115)
U 222.5 (-105)
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Jan 15, 2026 7:40PM EST
Boston Celtics
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1/15/26 7:40PM
Celtics
Heat
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–
–
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-130
+110
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-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
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Jan 15, 2026 8:10PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
San Antonio Spurs
1/15/26 8:10PM
Bucks
Spurs
|
–
–
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+235
-290
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+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
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Jan 15, 2026 8:40PM EST
Utah Jazz
Dallas Mavericks
1/15/26 8:40PM
Jazz
Mavericks
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–
–
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-110
-110
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-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
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O 236.5 (-110)
U 236.5 (-110)
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Jan 15, 2026 10:10PM EST
Atlanta Hawks
Portland Trail Blazers
1/15/26 10:10PM
Hawks
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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-175
+145
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-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 230 (-110)
U 230 (-110)
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Jan 15, 2026 10:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Golden State Warriors
1/15/26 10:10PM
Knicks
Warriors
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–
–
|
+235
-290
|
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 15, 2026 10:40PM EST
Charlotte Hornets
Los Angeles Lakers
1/15/26 10:40PM
Hornets
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–
–
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+150
-180
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets on December 20, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@NO | DEN -120 | 57.9% | 6 | WIN |
| CHI@HOU | CHI +13.5 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@LAL | LAL +3.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| PHX@MIA | DEVIN BOOKER UNDER 8.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@LAL | JALEN JOHNSON OVER 8.5 FIELD GOALS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@DAL | OVER 219.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIL@DEN | DEN +117 | 42.8% | 1 | WIN |
| SA@MIN | MIN -130 | 59.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@ORL | ORL -6.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ATL@DEN | DEN +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@MEM | OKC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@POR | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 12.5 FIELD GOAL ATT | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@MEM | SANTI ALDAMA UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB + AST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| DAL@UTA | UTA +5.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| CLE@MIN | MIN -131 | 58.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@UTA | LAURI MARKKANEN OVER 35.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@POR | POR +6.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@CHA | CHA +2 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| NO@ATL | NO +10.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@DET | CHI +10.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@NY | OG ANUNOBY OVER 2.5 BLOCKS + STEALS | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@BOS | DERRICK WHITE UNDER 10.5 ASST + REB | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| CLE@IND | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| LAL@NO | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@DET | NY -115 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@HOU | PHX +8.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| DEN@PHI | PAUL GEORGE OVER 18.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@BOS | NIKOLA VUCEVIC UNDER 9.5 REB | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@BKN | DEN -2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@LAL | MEM +4 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@LAL | JAREN JACKSON JR UNDER 6.5 REBOUNDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@CHI | WENDELL CARTER JR. OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + AST | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@LAC | LAC -12 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@CHA | CHA +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 27.5 POINTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@LAC | LAC -9.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@LAL | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 15.5 REBS + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@LAL | DUNCAN ROBINSON OVER 12.5 PTS + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| DAL@POR | DONOVAN CLINGAN OVER 26.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| PHX@NO | NO +5.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| UTA@SA | UTA +17 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@POR | LAC -120 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CHI | CHI +1.5 | 53.2% | 1 | WIN |
| BOS@IND | IND +8.5 | 53.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +3.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@ORL | LAMELO BALL UNDER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@IND | T.J. MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE +6 | 52.2% | 1 | WIN |
| SA@OKC | SA +10.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@DEN | MIN +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| OKC@SA | SA +5.5 | 52.4% | 1 | WIN |