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The upcoming matchup between the Chicago Bulls and the Phoenix Suns on March 19, 2025, at the Footprint Center presents a critical juncture for both teams as they navigate the latter part of the NBA season. The Bulls, with a 28-38 record, find themselves on the outside looking in regarding the Eastern Conference playoff picture. Their season has been marred by inconsistency, particularly on the offensive end, where they have struggled to find a reliable rhythm. The departure of key players before the trade deadline has left a void in leadership and scoring, placing additional pressure on the remaining roster to step up. Defensively, the Bulls have had their share of challenges, often allowing opponents to exploit gaps both on the perimeter and in the paint. Their defensive rating ranks among the lower tier in the league, a statistic that underscores their struggles to contain opposing offenses. In their recent outings, the Bulls have shown flashes of potential, but these have been overshadowed by lapses in concentration and execution, leading to a series of close losses. On the other side, the Phoenix Suns hold a 31-36 record, positioning them on the fringe of the Western Conference playoff race. The Suns have been a team of streaks this season, experiencing both impressive winning runs and concerning slumps. Their offense is spearheaded by the dynamic duo of Kevin Durant and Devin Booker, both of whom have the ability to take over games with their scoring prowess. Durant, who recently surpassed the 30,000-point mark in his career, continues to be a matchup nightmare for defenses, while Booker’s versatility allows him to score from multiple spots on the floor. However, the Suns’ defense has been a point of concern.
They have struggled to maintain defensive intensity, often allowing opponents to score at will, particularly in transition. Their rebounding has also been inconsistent, leading to second-chance points that have cost them in close games. The absence of key defensive players due to injuries has further exacerbated these issues, forcing the coaching staff to rely on younger, less experienced players to fill the gaps. From a betting perspective, the Suns have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly at home, where they hold an 11-20-1 ATS record. This indicates a tendency to underperform relative to expectations when playing in their own arena. The Bulls, meanwhile, have been middling in their ATS performance, with a 15-15-1 record on the road. This suggests that while they have not been particularly strong away from home, they are capable of covering the spread under the right circumstances. In terms of strategy, the Bulls will need to focus on containing the Suns’ high-octane offense. This means prioritizing perimeter defense to contest the shooting of Durant and Booker, while also ensuring that their defensive rotations are crisp to prevent easy baskets. Offensively, the Bulls must find ways to exploit the Suns’ defensive lapses, perhaps by increasing ball movement to create open looks and attacking the paint to draw fouls. The Suns, conversely, will aim to capitalize on their offensive strengths. Pushing the tempo and utilizing their shooters to stretch the Bulls’ defense could create mismatches that they can exploit. Defensively, tightening up their perimeter defense and improving their rebounding will be crucial to prevent the Bulls from gaining confidence and rhythm. In conclusion, this game presents an opportunity for both teams to address their respective shortcomings and make a push as the season winds down. For the Bulls, it’s about finding cohesion and resilience to overcome their recent struggles. For the Suns, it’s a chance to solidify their playoff aspirations by leveraging their offensive talents while shoring up their defensive vulnerabilities. The outcome of this matchup could have significant implications for both franchises as they look toward the postseason.
Starting off the week RIGHT 😤 pic.twitter.com/4czoDhWRPC
— Chicago Bulls (@chicagobulls) March 18, 2025
The Chicago Bulls enter this matchup against the Phoenix Suns with a 28-38 record, desperately trying to keep their slim playoff hopes alive in the Eastern Conference. It has been a season filled with ups and downs for the Bulls, who have struggled with injuries, inconsistent play, and an identity crisis on both ends of the floor. While they have shown flashes of competitiveness, their inability to string together wins has kept them stuck in the bottom half of the East. DeMar DeRozan continues to be the heart and soul of the team, leading the Bulls in scoring with 22.9 points per game while also serving as a late-game closer. His mid-range efficiency remains elite, and he has taken on more playmaking responsibilities in key situations. However, Chicago’s offensive production has been inconsistent, often struggling to generate consistent scoring from beyond the arc, ranking near the bottom of the league in three-point attempts and percentage. Zach LaVine’s role in the offense has been equally important, but injuries have slowed his momentum this season. When healthy, he provides an explosive scoring punch, capable of getting hot from deep and attacking the rim. However, LaVine has missed significant time, forcing the Bulls to lean heavily on DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic. Vucevic has been a steady force in the paint, averaging 18.3 points and 10.9 rebounds per game, but his impact has not always translated to wins, as Chicago struggles with defensive lapses and poor transition defense. The Bulls rank in the lower half of the NBA in defensive efficiency, frequently giving up open looks from three-point range while also struggling to contain athletic guards in pick-and-roll situations.
Against a team like the Suns, which thrives on perimeter shooting and floor spacing, this could spell trouble for Chicago if they do not tighten up their defensive rotations. Another major concern for the Bulls is their road performance. Chicago has a middling 15-15-1 record against the spread in away games, indicating that while they are not completely unreliable on the road, they are far from dominant. The Bulls tend to struggle against teams with elite offensive firepower, and the Suns, led by Kevin Durant and Devin Booker, fit that mold perfectly. Phoenix’s ability to push the tempo and create open looks from deep will test Chicago’s perimeter defense, which has been exposed in multiple games this season. The Bulls’ best chance of winning this matchup lies in controlling the pace and turning the game into a half-court battle. DeRozan and Vucevic will need to exploit Phoenix’s weak interior defense by operating in the mid-range and post, forcing the Suns into difficult defensive rotations. Additionally, the Bulls’ bench unit, led by Coby White and Patrick Williams, must provide scoring support to prevent Phoenix from keying in on their primary offensive threats. While the Bulls have the talent to compete with playoff-caliber teams, their inconsistency and lack of a strong defensive identity make them a risky bet against a Suns team that can overwhelm opponents with their offensive firepower. If Chicago hopes to pull off the upset, they will need a disciplined defensive effort, strong rebounding to limit Phoenix’s second-chance opportunities, and efficient shot selection to keep up with the Suns’ scoring pace. If the Bulls fail to execute their game plan, they could find themselves overwhelmed by the firepower of Durant and Booker, leading to another frustrating road loss that further diminishes their postseason hopes.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Phoenix Suns, currently at 31-36, are in a precarious position as they aim to secure a spot in the Western Conference playoffs. Their season has been a rollercoaster, marked by inconsistency and defensive struggles that have hindered their ability to sustain momentum. With Kevin Durant and Devin Booker leading the charge, the Suns boast one of the most potent offensive duos in the NBA, but their inability to close out games and defend at a high level has been their Achilles’ heel. Durant, who recently eclipsed the 30,000-point milestone, remains one of the most dominant scorers in league history, averaging 27.8 points per game on exceptional shooting efficiency. His ability to shoot over defenders, create off the dribble, and stretch defenses makes him the focal point of Phoenix’s offensive attack. Booker complements him perfectly with his elite shot-creation and playmaking, averaging 26.4 points and 6.2 assists per contest. When both players are in rhythm, the Suns are difficult to stop, but their supporting cast has been inconsistent, leading to offensive stagnation in key moments. Defensively, Phoenix has struggled, ranking in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. Their lack of interior defense has been a glaring issue, as opponents frequently exploit their weaknesses in the paint. Jusuf Nurkic has provided some rebounding presence, but his mobility and ability to protect the rim have been inconsistent. Against a Chicago Bulls team that thrives on attacking the paint with DeMar DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic, the Suns will need to shore up their defense to prevent easy scoring opportunities. Additionally, their perimeter defense has been shaky, often leaving shooters open due to miscommunications in switches and late rotations.
The absence of a strong defensive anchor has made them vulnerable, forcing Durant and Booker to carry even more of the load on both ends of the floor. One of the most concerning aspects of Phoenix’s season has been their struggles against the spread at home. With an 11-20-1 ATS record at the Footprint Center, the Suns have consistently underperformed relative to betting expectations in their own arena. This trend suggests that they often play down to the level of their competition or fail to maintain leads against lesser teams. Facing a Bulls team that has struggled on the road but remains capable of pulling off upsets, Phoenix must avoid complacency and execute with urgency. Ball movement will be crucial, as the Suns tend to become overly reliant on isolation plays, which can stagnate their offense when shots aren’t falling. If they can push the pace, create open looks for their shooters, and minimize defensive breakdowns, they should be able to control the game against Chicago. Despite their flaws, the Suns still have enough talent to be a dangerous team when fully engaged. Their home-court advantage, while statistically weak this season, could provide a much-needed boost as they fight to remain in the playoff race. The key for Phoenix will be maintaining defensive intensity, getting contributions from their role players, and capitalizing on Chicago’s defensive lapses. If they can lock in on both ends of the floor, they should be able to secure a crucial win and improve their standing in the Western Conference. However, if they allow the Bulls to dictate the pace and fail to execute defensively, they could find themselves in yet another frustrating loss that puts their postseason hopes in further jeopardy.
Nick hammers it in over the defense 🔨@CarMax | #SunsUp pic.twitter.com/sJmZL0shsX
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) March 18, 2025
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Bulls and Suns play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PHX Arena in Mar almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. White under 25.5 Pts
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Bulls and Suns and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on Chicago’s strength factors between a Bulls team going up against a possibly deflated Suns team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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