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The Tampa Bay Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks face off on April 22, 2025, at Chase Field in Phoenix, as both teams attempt to solidify their early-season identity. The Rays enter the contest with a disappointing 9–13 record, struggling to find traction amid pitching inconsistencies and a sputtering offense. Once renowned for their disciplined execution and deep pitching staff, the Rays have stumbled through the first few weeks of the season, often unable to close games or deliver with runners in scoring position. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have jumped out to a solid 13–9 start, continuing the momentum built from their 2023 World Series run with a blend of speed, contact hitting, and steady pitching. Tuesday’s matchup pits Tampa Bay’s Zack Littell (0–4, 5.48 ERA) against Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt (3–1, 3.04 ERA), a pitching duel that leans heavily in the home team’s favor on paper. With the D-backs performing well at Chase Field and Tampa’s road woes mounting, this contest shapes up as a crucial test of resolve for the slumping Rays and an opportunity for Arizona to assert control in the NL West race. For the Diamondbacks, everything has started to click. Offensively, they’ve been led by dynamic outfielder Corbin Carroll, whose blend of speed and bat control makes him a threat at the top of the lineup every night. Carroll has set the tone with aggressive baserunning, while players like Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have provided the pop to bring runners home. The team ranks among the top in the National League in stolen bases and has thrived on manufacturing runs through smart situational hitting.
On the mound, Brandon Pfaadt has been a bright spot in the rotation. After showing flashes in 2023, Pfaadt has stepped into a larger role and delivered consistency, limiting hard contact and working deep into games. With Arizona’s bullpen continuing to develop into a reliable unit—featuring arms like Kevin Ginkel and Paul Sewald to handle late innings—the D-backs have proven they can protect leads, especially at home where they’ve covered the run line in four of their last six games. Their ability to execute defensively and force opponents to beat them with clean hits has separated them from middling teams in the early season. On the other side, the Rays are desperately searching for rhythm. Once celebrated for their deep rotation and innovative pitching strategies, Tampa Bay has suffered from both injury setbacks and underperformance. Zack Littell, a converted reliever now in a starting role, has struggled to contain opposing offenses and enters this game with an 0–4 record and a 5.48 ERA. With Littell often unable to get past the fifth inning, the burden on the bullpen has been significant—forcing manager Kevin Cash to rely too heavily on middle relievers who’ve already logged a heavy workload. Offensively, the Rays have not found consistency outside of flashes from Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe. Wander Franco remains unavailable, and without his presence, the lineup has lacked a central threat to anchor scoring opportunities. Tampa Bay’s defense has also shown cracks, with misplays and errors contributing to run-scoring innings for opponents. If the Rays are to turn the tide in Phoenix, they’ll need a composed start from Littell, sharper at-bats with men on base, and a bullpen capable of holding down a relentless Arizona attack. Otherwise, this could be another night where the Rays fall behind early and never fully recover.
ICYMI: Take a look back at Jonathan Aranda's amazing walk-off last night, presented by @CapitalOne! pic.twitter.com/lsCnLpSJsz
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) April 20, 2025
The Tampa Bay Rays enter Tuesday’s contest against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a state of early-season disarray, holding a 9–13 record and sitting near the bottom of the American League East. While the Rays are no strangers to slow starts that eventually blossom into postseason pushes, their 2025 campaign has been marked by more structural concerns than usual. Inconsistent pitching, injuries to key players, and an underwhelming offensive output have all contributed to a disappointing first three weeks of play. Most notably, Tampa Bay’s starting rotation—which is traditionally one of its greatest strengths—has been unreliable, and Tuesday’s starter Zack Littell has embodied those struggles. Littell comes into the game with an 0–4 record and a bloated 5.48 ERA, often finding difficulty getting through lineups more than once without allowing significant damage. His move from the bullpen to a starting role last season showed early promise, but this year, command issues and an inability to shut down innings have led to short outings and overexposure of an already stressed bullpen. Offensively, the Rays have failed to find sustained momentum. While there are bright spots in the form of Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe, the lineup as a whole has been erratic. Caminero, the highly touted young infielder, has provided pop and energy, but his youth and aggressiveness at the plate sometimes lead to inconsistent at-bats. Lowe, a veteran presence, has offered clutch hits but is also prone to cold spells that make the lineup feel top-heavy. Without Wander Franco and with Yandy Díaz off to a slower-than-expected start, the Rays lack a true anchor in the heart of their order.
This lack of consistency has left them struggling to execute with runners in scoring position, and far too many innings have ended with stranded baserunners. While the team continues to preach patience at the plate, the inability to string together productive at-bats has kept the Rays from mounting comebacks or building early leads. Compounding matters is the team’s decline in stolen bases and aggressive base running, both of which were cornerstones of their offensive identity in recent years. Defensively, Tampa Bay has been mediocre—a departure from the crisp, fundamentally sound units of seasons past. Errors and misplays in key moments have extended innings and put additional pressure on pitchers already working from behind. In the bullpen, the usual reliability has wavered. Closer Pete Fairbanks has battled inconsistency, and the middle relief corps—typically one of the most versatile in the league—has been overtaxed due to short starts from the rotation. For the Rays to compete against a sharp Diamondbacks team that thrives on speed and pressure, they will need a clean defensive effort, a rare strong start from Littell, and at least a modest offensive breakout. The good news is that Tampa Bay has the organizational experience and coaching savvy to make adjustments, but time is of the essence. A win in Arizona could serve as a spark, giving the club a much-needed jolt of confidence and reestablishing the traits—grit, precision, and tenacity—that have defined them in recent years.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Arizona Diamondbacks enter their April 22 home matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays riding the momentum of a strong 13–9 start and a clear sense of identity built around speed, depth, and high-energy execution. The D-backs have continued their post–2023 World Series evolution into one of the National League’s most dynamic and well-rounded teams. Their success early in 2025 stems from the same formula that carried them deep into October: relentless baserunning, versatile offensive threats, and reliable pitching. Manager Torey Lovullo has leaned on a well-balanced lineup and a deep bullpen, and the team has responded with consistent play at Chase Field, where they have posted a 4–2 record against the spread over their last six home games. On Tuesday night, they turn to emerging right-hander Brandon Pfaadt, who brings a 3–1 record and a 3.04 ERA into the contest. Pfaadt has made notable strides in command and pitch sequencing this season, evolving from a mid-rotation question mark to a reliable starter capable of setting the tone in big games. Pfaadt’s growth has been particularly important given the overall balance in the Diamondbacks’ pitching staff. He has shown an ability to keep the ball in the park and avoid big innings, a trait that has served Arizona well against free-swinging lineups. With the Rays struggling to find consistent offense, this is a favorable matchup for Pfaadt to continue his strong form. Should he pitch deep into the game, the Diamondbacks can lean on a rested bullpen that includes steady arms like Kevin Ginkel, Joe Mantiply, and closer Paul Sewald—each of whom has demonstrated command in tight, high-leverage situations.
Offensively, Arizona is driven by its dynamic leadoff hitter Corbin Carroll, whose combination of speed, contact ability, and aggression on the basepaths consistently disrupts opposing pitchers. Carroll has reached base at a high clip this season and quickly turns singles into scoring threats with his elite baserunning instincts. Supporting Carroll are Ketel Marte, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., and Christian Walker—all of whom have provided timely power and extra-base hits throughout the early portion of the season. The Diamondbacks don’t rely solely on the long ball but rather thrive on creating chaos through hit-and-run tactics, bunts for base hits, and first-to-third baserunning—hallmarks of Lovullo’s aggressive offensive philosophy. Defensively, the team has played with poise and efficiency, with Perdomo and Marte solid up the middle and Carroll covering vast ground in center field. Their defensive acumen has helped Arizona rank among the NL leaders in fewest errors and runs prevented. Against a Rays team prone to defensive lapses and lacking offensive rhythm, Arizona has a prime opportunity to assert dominance early and apply scoreboard pressure. If Pfaadt can navigate the top of Tampa Bay’s lineup cleanly and Carroll gets on base in the first inning, the Diamondbacks will be in prime position to dictate the pace. With strong home-field support and superior team balance, Arizona has every reason to approach this contest with confidence, aiming to add another win to a growing résumé of early-season success.
Happy flight home ✈️ pic.twitter.com/HE8RnUb97I
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) April 20, 2025
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Rays and Diamondbacks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Field in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carroll over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Rays and Diamondbacks and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly unhealthy Diamondbacks team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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