Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 08)
Updated: 2025-11-01T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Georgia Bulldogs visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs on November 8, 2025 in a pivotal SEC clash where Georgia seeks to stay atop the league standings and Mississippi State looks for a signature home victory. Georgia enters riding an impressive defense and efficient offense, while Mississippi State brings a rejuvenated attack albeit with defensive questions.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 08, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Bulldogs Record: (5-4)
Bulldogs Record: (7-1)
OPENING ODDS
UGA Moneyline: -316
MISSST Moneyline: +251
UGA Spread: -8.5
MISSST Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 57.5
UGA
Betting Trends
- Georgia has covered the spread in approximately 37.5% of its games this season.
MISSST
Betting Trends
- Mississippi State has emerged in the ATS trends with an approximate cover rate of 88.9% according to one recent snapshot.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The betting landscape here is intriguing: Georgia has struggled to cover despite being dominant on field, while Mississippi State shows a high ATS cover rate at home — suggesting value with the home dog in this matchup. The fact that Georgia may be over-valued as a favorite and MSU under-valued offers a noteworthy angle.
UGA vs. MISSST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Shapen over 221.5 Passing Yards.
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Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/8/25
The November 8, 2025 SEC showdown between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville features a clash of two programs sharing the same mascot but trending in very different directions. Georgia enters as a national powerhouse with championship expectations, while Mississippi State looks to establish its footing under head coach Jeff Lebby, who has injected energy and offensive creativity into the program. Georgia, at 8–0, has been its usual dominant self—built on a foundation of elite defense, depth, and a methodical offense that punishes opponents for even the smallest mistakes. The Bulldogs from Athens are averaging 32.5 points per game while allowing just 19.6, ranking near the top of the nation in total defense and third-down efficiency. Carson Beck has developed into one of the most composed quarterbacks in the SEC, thriving in Mike Bobo’s system with quick reads and an efficient short-to-intermediate passing game that takes advantage of Georgia’s elite tight end and receiver talent. With Brock Bowers returning from injury and wideouts like Ladd McConkey and Dominic Lovett rounding into form, Georgia’s offense is balanced and dangerous. The backfield committee led by Kendall Milton and Daijun Edwards continues to wear down defenses behind an offensive line that dominates the trenches. On the other side, Mississippi State sits at 5–3, having shown signs of life with Lebby’s up-tempo offense that averages just over 33 points per game. Quarterback Chris Parson has been dynamic when in rhythm, using his legs and quick release to keep defenses honest, while running back Woody Marks remains the centerpiece of the ground game, providing balance and explosiveness. Mississippi State’s offensive line has improved, particularly in pass protection, but faces its toughest challenge yet against a Georgia front that leads the SEC in pressures and ranks top five nationally in rush defense. Defensively, the Starkville Bulldogs have been inconsistent, giving up 24.7 points per game while struggling to defend vertical passing and tackle in space.
Georgia’s offense is particularly adept at exploiting those flaws, as Beck’s patience and timing allow receivers to find soft spots in coverage. Mississippi State’s key to staying competitive lies in forcing turnovers and creating chaos—something they’ve done well at home, where their defense plays with far more energy. If they can pressure Beck into mistakes and capitalize on short fields, they have the offensive firepower to keep the game interesting. Special teams could play a larger role than expected; Mississippi State’s kick return unit has been among the SEC’s best, while Georgia’s kicker Peyton Woodring has been steady but occasionally erratic from long range. From a betting perspective, Georgia’s dominance hasn’t always translated to ATS success—they’ve covered in just 37.5% of their games this season due to inflated lines and conservative late-game play-calling once they establish leads. Mississippi State, meanwhile, has been one of the SEC’s most profitable ATS teams, covering in nearly 89% of contests, especially as a home underdog. The Bulldogs from Starkville have a history of hanging around in these spots, buoyed by crowd noise and momentum swings. For Georgia, the mission is straightforward—control the pace, dominate defensively, and limit explosive plays. Mississippi State, on the other hand, must play with tempo, hit big plays early, and keep the home crowd engaged. The first quarter could dictate everything: if Georgia builds an early two-score lead, they’ll likely suffocate the game from there; but if Mississippi State strikes first and forces Georgia into a track meet, the value shifts toward the home side. In the end, Georgia’s overall talent, experience, and defensive precision should carry the day, but covering the spread against a scrappy Mississippi State team in a hostile environment might once again prove to be a tougher task than the scoreboard suggests.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Kickoff time vs. Texas is set ‼️
— Georgia Football (@GeorgiaFootball) November 3, 2025
🕢 7:30PM ET
📺 ABC#GoDawgs pic.twitter.com/7vA76pXEhc
Georgia Bulldogs CFB Preview
The Georgia Bulldogs enter their November 8, 2025 matchup against Mississippi State as one of the most complete and disciplined teams in college football, continuing to showcase why they remain a national powerhouse under head coach Kirby Smart. Sitting at 8–0 and eyeing another SEC Championship run, Georgia has once again established its identity around a suffocating defense, elite physicality, and a methodical offense that wins the efficiency battle every week. Quarterback Carson Beck has grown into the role of a true field general, commanding the offense with maturity and precision. Through eight games, Beck has thrown for over 2,200 yards with a completion rate above 70 percent, demonstrating exceptional pocket presence and decision-making. He’s benefited from a deep arsenal of weapons, including tight end Brock Bowers, who remains one of the most dominant mismatches in college football, and wide receivers Ladd McConkey and Dominic Lovett, who excel at finding seams in coverage and turning short catches into big plays. The Georgia running game has been equally reliable, led by Kendall Milton and Daijun Edwards, a thunder-and-lightning duo that combines power and quickness behind one of the nation’s best offensive lines. This balance allows offensive coordinator Mike Bobo to maintain control of the tempo, wearing down defenses and keeping opposing offenses on the sideline. Against a Mississippi State defense that allows 24.7 points per game and struggles against the run, Georgia’s formula will be straightforward—dictate the line of scrimmage, lean on the ground game early, and set up play-action opportunities for Beck to exploit downfield. Defensively, Georgia remains elite by every measure, ranking among the top five nationally in scoring defense and total defense while holding opponents under 100 rushing yards per game.
The front seven, led by linebacker Smael Mondon Jr. and defensive linemen Mykel Williams and Nazir Stackhouse, has been dominant against both power running teams and spread offenses. They generate relentless pressure without sacrificing gap discipline, forcing offenses into predictable situations where Georgia’s secondary can capitalize. That secondary, anchored by Malaki Starks and Kamari Lassiter, thrives in man coverage and has allowed the fewest explosive passing plays in the SEC. Facing Mississippi State’s up-tempo offense under Jeff Lebby, Georgia will emphasize assignment discipline and communication, as the Bulldogs from Starkville are capable of moving quickly and hitting chunk plays off misdirection. However, Georgia’s defensive depth and conditioning often overwhelm opponents as the game progresses, allowing them to pull away in the second half. On special teams, Georgia continues to excel in coverage and field position, though kicker Peyton Woodring’s occasional inconsistency from long range remains a minor concern. From a betting perspective, Georgia’s biggest challenge has been meeting market expectations rather than opponents’ competitiveness—they’ve covered in only about 37.5 percent of their games, often winning comfortably but falling short of large spreads due to late-game conservatism. Against Mississippi State, the Dawgs are likely to be double-digit favorites once again, and their focus will be execution rather than style points. The key for Georgia will be to start fast, avoid turnovers, and keep Mississippi State’s offense out of rhythm by winning on first down. If Beck continues his efficient play and the defense forces early punts, Georgia’s depth and discipline should allow them to impose their will and secure another statement victory on the road. While Mississippi State’s home environment can create early energy, Georgia’s maturity and physical superiority make them built to handle the noise and maintain composure. Expect Smart’s team to stay methodical, grind down the clock, and deliver another businesslike win that keeps them firmly in the playoff hunt—even if the final score ends up tighter than the spread.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Mississippi State Bulldogs CFB Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs return to Davis Wade Stadium on November 8, 2025, for one of their toughest tests of the season as they host the top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs in what promises to be a defining moment for Jeff Lebby’s first full season at the helm. Sitting at 5–3, Mississippi State has shown flashes of offensive brilliance under Lebby’s up-tempo system, averaging just over 33 points per game, but the challenge of facing a Georgia defense that gives up fewer than 20 points a contest is unlike anything the Bulldogs have encountered this year. Quarterback Chris Parson has emerged as the engine of the offense, developing comfort within Lebby’s fast-paced scheme that emphasizes spacing, tempo, and misdirection. Parson’s dual-threat ability has been critical, as his quick release and mobility allow him to extend plays and open running lanes for his teammates. Running back Woody Marks continues to serve as the offensive anchor, leading the team in rushing with over 700 yards while adding a reliable presence in the passing game. His physical style of running, combined with his ability to catch screens and wheel routes, makes him a matchup problem for linebackers. The Bulldogs’ receiving corps, led by Zavion Thomas and Justin Robinson, has been dynamic in the open field, capable of breaking tackles and turning short throws into big gains. Against Georgia’s defense—one that thrives on eliminating explosive plays—Mississippi State will need to sustain long drives, convert third downs, and avoid turnovers that can quickly flip momentum. The offensive line has been better in pass protection this year but remains inconsistent in run blocking, something that could be tested heavily against Georgia’s deep and athletic front seven.
Defensively, Mississippi State’s performance has been a mix of grit and inconsistency, allowing 24.7 points per game but often bending without breaking in key red-zone situations. Linebacker Nathaniel Watson remains the heart of the defense, leading the team in tackles and serving as the emotional tone-setter, while defensive lineman Jaden Crumedy continues to draw double-teams with his strength and experience. The challenge, however, lies in containing Georgia’s multidimensional offense. Carson Beck’s precision passing and Georgia’s punishing ground game present a nightmare for most defenses, and Mississippi State will need to win on early downs to force the Dawgs into third-and-long situations where their defensive line can apply pressure. The secondary, featuring Marcus Banks and Hunter Washington, will be tasked with limiting the damage from Georgia’s elite tight end Brock Bowers and the explosive Ladd McConkey, both of whom can turn routine plays into momentum-swinging touchdowns. Expect defensive coordinator Matt Brock to mix in disguised coverages and controlled blitzes to try to disrupt Beck’s rhythm, but execution will have to be flawless. The atmosphere in Starkville should give Mississippi State a boost—the cowbells will be deafening, and the energy from a night game against a top national power could help the Bulldogs keep pace early. Special teams could also play a role, with kicker Kyle Ferrie providing a dependable leg and the return unit offering big-play potential in the right moments. From a betting perspective, Mississippi State has been one of the most profitable teams in the SEC this year, covering in nearly 90 percent of their games, particularly as a home underdog. Their ability to exceed market expectations stems from resilience, strong situational play, and an offense capable of quick strikes that keep them competitive even against superior talent. For the Bulldogs to have a legitimate chance to win or cover, they must play a clean game, minimize penalties, and capitalize on every scoring opportunity. Mississippi State’s best path is to turn this into a track meet, forcing Georgia out of its comfort zone and leaning on tempo to wear down the Dawgs’ defense. If Parson can deliver a turnover-free performance and Marks can establish balance on the ground, the Bulldogs from Starkville have a fighting chance to make this game far more competitive than most predict, fueled by home-field passion and a fearless offensive mindset.
Back In Davis Wade!
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) November 4, 2025
‣ https://t.co/EUMgueYmxK
📺 @espn | 🕚 11:00 AM #HailState pic.twitter.com/GFG6H1thDj
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Bulldogs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Bulldogs and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly deflated Bulldogs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Georgia vs Mississippi State picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Bulldogs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Georgia Betting Trends
Georgia has covered the spread in approximately 37.5% of its games this season.
Mississippi State Betting Trends
Mississippi State has emerged in the ATS trends with an approximate cover rate of 88.9% according to one recent snapshot.
Bulldogs vs. Bulldogs Matchup Trends
The betting landscape here is intriguing: Georgia has struggled to cover despite being dominant on field, while Mississippi State shows a high ATS cover rate at home — suggesting value with the home dog in this matchup. The fact that Georgia may be over-valued as a favorite and MSU under-valued offers a noteworthy angle.
Georgia vs. Mississippi State Game Info
Georgia vs Mississippi State starts on November 08, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
Spread: Mississippi State +8.5
Moneyline: Georgia -316, Mississippi State +251
Over/Under: 57.5
Georgia: (7-1) | Mississippi State: (5-4)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Shapen over 221.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The betting landscape here is intriguing: Georgia has struggled to cover despite being dominant on field, while Mississippi State shows a high ATS cover rate at home — suggesting value with the home dog in this matchup. The fact that Georgia may be over-valued as a favorite and MSU under-valued offers a noteworthy angle.
UGA trend: Georgia has covered the spread in approximately 37.5% of its games this season.
MISSST trend: Mississippi State has emerged in the ATS trends with an approximate cover rate of 88.9% according to one recent snapshot.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Georgia vs. Mississippi State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Georgia vs Mississippi State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| UGA Moneyline | -316 |
|---|---|
| MISSST Moneyline | +251 |
| UGA Spread | -8.5 |
| MISSST Spread | +8.5 |
| Over / Under | 57.5 |
Georgia vs Mississippi State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Aug 29, 2026 12:00PM EDT
NC State Wolfpack
Virginia Cavaliers
8/29/26 12PM
NCST
UVA
|
–
–
|
+146
-176
|
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
|
O 54.5 (-105)
U 54.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Aug 29, 2026 12:00PM EDT
North Carolina Tar Heels
TCU Horned Frogs
8/29/26 12PM
UNC
TCU
|
–
–
|
+245
-310
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Clemson Tigers
LSU Tigers
9/5/26 12PM
CLEM
LSU
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
California Golden Bears
9/5/26 12PM
UCLA
CAL
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
|
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Auburn Tigers
9/5/26 12PM
BAYLOR
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
+235
-295
|
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-106)
|
O 58.5 (-110)
U 58.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 6, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9/6/26 12PM
WISC
ND
|
–
–
|
+660
-1050
|
+16.5 (-105)
-16.5 (-115)
|
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 12, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Texas Longhorns
9/12/26 12PM
OHIOST
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
+114
-137
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 12, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Michigan Wolverines
9/12/26 12PM
OKLA
MICH
|
–
–
|
-102
-118
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs on November 08, 2025 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OREG@IND | IND -3 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@GEORGIA | KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| BAMA@IND | FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@TXTECH | OREG -126 | 58.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MICH@TEXAS | TEXAS -6 | 53.3% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@OHIOST | UNDER 40.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UTAH | DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| IOWA@VANDY | IOWA +4.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NOTEX@SDGST | NOTEX -7 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| TULANE@OLEMISS | OLEMISS -16.5 | 53.4% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@TEXA&M | TEXA&M -3 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| BAMA@OKLA | BAMA +1.5 | 52.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BAMA@OKLA | ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| BYU@TTU | PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| UNLV@BOISE | BOISE -4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | UNDER 44 | 52.8% | 2 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU +7 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| OREG@WASH | WASH +7 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| WYO@HAWAII | WYO +7.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |