NC State vs Notre Dame Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 11)
Updated: 2025-10-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
NC State travels to South Bend on October 11, 2025, to face Notre Dame in a high-profile ACC-vs-independent showdown. The Wolfpack, riding momentum from recent performances, will test the Irish’s balance in front of a fervent home crowd.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 11, 2025
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium
Fighting Irish Record: (3-2)
Wolfpack Record: (4-2)
OPENING ODDS
NCST Moneyline: +1028
ND Moneyline: -2000
NCST Spread: +22.5
ND Spread: -22.5
Over/Under: 62.5
NCST
Betting Trends
- NC State has covered the spread in about 40 % of its games this season, with a moderate margin of error in its performances.
ND
Betting Trends
- Notre Dame has covered roughly 50 % of its games this season, showing mixed results at home in high variance matchups. (team ATS data)
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In prior listings, the totals for this matchup have skewed higher, reflecting expectations of an open-tempo, offense-friendly game, with bettors leaning toward “over” in early markets given both teams’ offensive capabilities.
NCST vs. ND
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Raridon under 29.5 Receiving Yards.
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NC State vs Notre Dame Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/11/25
The October 11, 2025 matchup between the NC State Wolfpack and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium offers a compelling clash of styles and storylines, as two programs with contrasting identities collide in midseason form. Notre Dame enters the game with the poise and physical balance that have long defined its success — a dominant offensive line, a disciplined defense, and a quarterback who has found his rhythm within one of the most efficient attacks in the nation. The Irish have been exceptional at home in South Bend, using their blend of power football and precision passing to control tempo and wear down opponents. Offensively, Notre Dame thrives on balance, averaging well over 450 yards per game thanks to the steady leadership of quarterback CJ Carr, who has shown remarkable poise as the focal point of the Irish attack. His accuracy and composure have helped the offense sustain drives, while his connection with playmakers like Jayden Thomas and Kris Mitchell has added a big-play dimension that keeps defenses honest. Complementing the aerial assault is a punishing ground game led by Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, both of whom run behind one of the most experienced and physical offensive lines in college football. The Irish’s ability to win at the point of attack allows them to dictate pace and control possession, something that will be critical against an NC State defense known for disguising pressures and forcing turnovers. Defensively, Notre Dame remains as formidable as ever. Under coordinator Al Golden, the Irish have maintained their reputation for sound tackling and relentless pursuit, surrendering few explosive plays while excelling on third downs. Linebackers JD Bertrand and Jack Kiser anchor a unit that plays fast and downhill, while the secondary, featuring Xavier Watts and Benjamin Morrison, continues to frustrate quarterbacks with tight coverage and opportunistic play.
Their biggest challenge will be neutralizing NC State’s offensive versatility and limiting quarterback Grayson McCall’s ability to extend plays and attack the perimeter. The Wolfpack’s offense, though inconsistent at times, has been dangerous when given rhythm. McCall’s experience as a veteran playmaker has brought balance and confidence to an NC State offense that mixes tempo and misdirection effectively. Running backs Kendrick Raphael and Delbert Mimms III will look to establish early traction on the ground to open up passing lanes, but against Notre Dame’s disciplined front, that won’t come easily. Defensively, NC State’s strength lies in its front seven, led by edge rusher Davin Vann and linebacker Payton Wilson, whose explosiveness and leadership have been invaluable. The Wolfpack thrive on forcing third-and-long situations and generating pressure through creative blitz packages, but against a Notre Dame offensive line that has handled elite fronts this season, that task grows taller. The key for NC State will be early-down success — preventing Notre Dame from finding rhythm through the run game and forcing Carr into high-pressure situations. However, Notre Dame’s depth and physicality, especially at home, make them the more complete team on paper. If the Irish can protect Carr, control the trenches, and finish drives in the red zone, they’ll be in position to secure another convincing win. For NC State, limiting mistakes and winning the turnover battle are non-negotiables. This matchup represents a stylistic test — Notre Dame’s polished power and efficiency against NC State’s aggressiveness and unpredictability — and while the Wolfpack have the talent to challenge, the Irish’s balance, depth, and execution in big moments give them the edge in what should be a physical, methodical, and entertaining midseason battle in South Bend.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Always choose the green grass 💯 #1Pack1Goal | @h3llywood pic.twitter.com/JOOHtVTSrb
— NC State Football (@PackFootball) October 6, 2025
NC State Wolfpack CFB Preview
The NC State Wolfpack enter their October 11, 2025 trip to Notre Dame with an opportunity to make a national statement and solidify their reputation as one of the most well-rounded and dangerous teams in the ACC. Under head coach Dave Doeren, the Wolfpack have built their identity on physical defense, veteran leadership, and offensive creativity, and this matchup will demand all three. Offensively, NC State’s strength lies in its balance and tempo flexibility. Quarterback Grayson McCall, who transferred in after a stellar run at Coastal Carolina, has brought poise and experience to the position, managing games efficiently while still delivering big plays through the air. His command of the offense and ability to diagnose defenses pre-snap have helped unlock coordinator Robert Anae’s system, which relies on spread concepts, option reads, and quick rhythm throws. McCall’s chemistry with receivers Kevin Concepcion and Terrell Timmons Jr. has given the Wolfpack a dangerous downfield dimension, while tight end Trent Pennix remains a versatile weapon in both blocking and the short passing game. The ground attack, anchored by Kendrick Raphael and Delbert Mimms III, complements that aerial efficiency, with the duo combining physical running with the ability to catch passes out of the backfield. Against a Notre Dame defense known for its gap discipline and tackling efficiency, establishing a consistent run game will be vital to keeping the Irish front honest and opening play-action opportunities. NC State’s offensive line, though young, has shown growth throughout the season, allowing McCall time to operate and limiting negative plays. Defensively, the Wolfpack’s calling card remains aggression and discipline within Tony Gibson’s 3-3-5 scheme. The defense thrives on confusion, with disguised blitzes, shifting coverages, and relentless pursuit that disrupt opposing quarterbacks.
Linebacker Payton Wilson leads the unit with sideline-to-sideline range and instinctive play recognition, while defensive end Davin Vann provides edge pressure that can collapse pockets and force hurried throws. In the secondary, Aydan White and Shyheim Battle give NC State the experience and athleticism to hold up against Notre Dame’s vertical threats, but communication and tackling will be essential against the Irish’s play-action-heavy offense. The key for NC State’s defense will be neutralizing Notre Dame’s rushing attack, led by Jeremiyah Love and one of the most powerful offensive lines in the country. If the Wolfpack can win on first down and force quarterback CJ Carr into third-and-long situations, they can unleash their pass rush and create turnover opportunities. Special teams could also be a deciding factor, and NC State has been solid in that phase all season. Kicker Brayden Narveson and punter Caden Noonkester have consistently flipped field position, while Concepcion remains a threat in the return game. On the road, discipline and composure will be crucial — Notre Dame Stadium is one of college football’s most challenging environments, and momentum swings can be magnified. To win, NC State must protect the football, limit penalties, and take advantage of every scoring opportunity. This game represents a measuring stick for the Wolfpack — a chance to prove they can go toe-to-toe with an elite national brand and execute under pressure. If McCall maintains control, the defense creates disruption, and the Wolfpack can dictate tempo, they have the tools to turn this into a statement performance that propels their season to another level.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Notre Dame Fighting Irish CFB Preview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish return to the friendly confines of Notre Dame Stadium on October 11, 2025, looking to continue their strong start and showcase their signature blend of physicality, balance, and discipline against an aggressive NC State team eager to pull off a statement upset. Under head coach Marcus Freeman, the Irish have settled into a clear identity built around toughness in the trenches, efficient quarterback play, and one of the most well-coached defenses in college football. Offensively, Notre Dame has been both explosive and efficient, averaging well over 30 points per game behind the steady hand of quarterback CJ Carr, the heralded recruit who has brought polish and confidence to the Irish offense. Carr’s accuracy and decision-making have stood out, as he’s excelled in pre-snap reads, intermediate throws, and situational football. His connection with receivers Jayden Thomas and Kris Mitchell has helped stretch defenses vertically, while tight end Holden Staes continues the program’s proud tradition of versatile tight ends who can block as effectively as they can contribute in the passing game. On the ground, the Irish feature one of the deepest backfields in the nation, led by Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price, who bring a mix of speed, power, and vision. That backfield has flourished behind an elite offensive line anchored by veteran tackle Joe Alt and guard Billy Schrauth, whose chemistry and physicality set the tone for Notre Dame’s downhill running style. Against NC State’s pressure-heavy 3-3-5 defense, maintaining protection and avoiding negative plays will be crucial; expect offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock to rely on screens, motion, and quick-developing routes to neutralize blitz pressure and create space in the open field.
Defensively, Notre Dame’s identity remains one of the most consistent in the country — smart, physical, and fundamentally sound. Coordinator Al Golden’s unit has been a nightmare for opposing offenses, limiting big plays while excelling on third down and in red-zone defense. Linebackers JD Bertrand and Jack Kiser form the heart of the defense, combining leadership with sideline-to-sideline range, while the defensive line — led by Howard Cross III and Jordan Botelho — consistently collapses pockets and forces offenses into uncomfortable situations. The secondary, anchored by All-American corner Benjamin Morrison and playmaking safety Xavier Watts, will be tasked with containing NC State’s dynamic receiver Kevin Concepcion, who thrives in space and excels at turning short gains into long ones. The Irish secondary’s discipline and communication will be vital in defending the Wolfpack’s tempo and misdirection-based attack. On special teams, Notre Dame continues to excel under coordinator Marty Biagi, with Spencer Shrader providing reliability in the kicking game and Chris Tyree capable of breaking a return at any time. Playing at home in front of a fired-up South Bend crowd gives the Irish a psychological and emotional edge, and Freeman’s teams have traditionally fed off that atmosphere to set an early tone. To win, Notre Dame must impose its will in the trenches, control time of possession, and limit turnovers — all hallmarks of their success this season. If Carr continues his efficient play and the defense dictates tempo, the Irish have the depth and discipline to gradually wear down NC State and pull away in the second half. This matchup is another opportunity for Notre Dame to reinforce its place among the nation’s elite — a showcase of how the program’s blend of physical dominance, quarterback poise, and defensive sharpness can overwhelm even a talented and determined opponent.
They wanna be down with the Kyng 👑☘️
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) October 6, 2025
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa is an elite linebacker #GoIrish☘️ | @AsaViliamu pic.twitter.com/FCwfzGlyfE
NC State vs Notre Dame Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Wolfpack and Fighting Irish play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Notre Dame Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
NC State vs Notre Dame Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Wolfpack and Fighting Irish and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing factor emotional bettors often put on NC State’s strength factors between a Wolfpack team going up against a possibly healthy Fighting Irish team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI NC State vs Notre Dame picks, computer picks Wolfpack vs Fighting Irish, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
NC State Betting Trends
NC State has covered the spread in about 40 % of its games this season, with a moderate margin of error in its performances.
Notre Dame Betting Trends
Notre Dame has covered roughly 50 % of its games this season, showing mixed results at home in high variance matchups. (team ATS data)
Wolfpack vs. Fighting Irish Matchup Trends
In prior listings, the totals for this matchup have skewed higher, reflecting expectations of an open-tempo, offense-friendly game, with bettors leaning toward “over” in early markets given both teams’ offensive capabilities.
NC State vs. Notre Dame Game Info
NC State vs Notre Dame starts on October 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium.
Spread: Notre Dame -22.5
Moneyline: NC State +1028, Notre Dame -2000
Over/Under: 62.5
NC State: (4-2) | Notre Dame: (3-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Raridon under 29.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In prior listings, the totals for this matchup have skewed higher, reflecting expectations of an open-tempo, offense-friendly game, with bettors leaning toward “over” in early markets given both teams’ offensive capabilities.
NCST trend: NC State has covered the spread in about 40 % of its games this season, with a moderate margin of error in its performances.
ND trend: Notre Dame has covered roughly 50 % of its games this season, showing mixed results at home in high variance matchups. (team ATS data)
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
NC State vs. Notre Dame Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the NC State vs Notre Dame trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| NCST Moneyline | +1028 |
|---|---|
| ND Moneyline | -2000 |
| NCST Spread | +22.5 |
| ND Spread | -22.5 |
| Over / Under | 62.5 |
NC State vs Notre Dame Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aug 29, 2026 12:00PM EDT
NC State Wolfpack
Virginia Cavaliers
8/29/26 12PM
NCST
UVA
|
–
–
|
+134
-162
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 54.5 (-105)
U 54.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Aug 29, 2026 12:00PM EDT
North Carolina Tar Heels
TCU Horned Frogs
8/29/26 12PM
UNC
TCU
|
–
–
|
+255
-320
|
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Clemson Tigers
LSU Tigers
9/5/26 12PM
CLEM
LSU
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
California Golden Bears
9/5/26 12PM
UCLA
CAL
|
–
–
|
+168
-205
|
+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
|
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 5, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Auburn Tigers
9/5/26 12PM
BAYLOR
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
+235
-295
|
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-106)
|
O 58.5 (-110)
U 58.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 6, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9/6/26 12PM
WISC
ND
|
–
–
|
+660
-1050
|
+16.5 (-105)
-16.5 (-115)
|
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 12, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Texas Longhorns
9/12/26 12PM
OHIOST
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
+114
-137
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 12, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Michigan Wolverines
9/12/26 12PM
OKLA
MICH
|
–
–
|
-102
-118
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers NC State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish on October 11, 2025 at Notre Dame Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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|
|
|
RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OREG@IND | IND -3 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@GEORGIA | KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| BAMA@IND | FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@TXTECH | OREG -126 | 58.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MICH@TEXAS | TEXAS -6 | 53.3% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@OHIOST | UNDER 40.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UTAH | DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| IOWA@VANDY | IOWA +4.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NOTEX@SDGST | NOTEX -7 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| TULANE@OLEMISS | OLEMISS -16.5 | 53.4% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@TEXA&M | TEXA&M -3 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| BAMA@OKLA | BAMA +1.5 | 52.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BAMA@OKLA | ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| BYU@TTU | PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| UNLV@BOISE | BOISE -4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | UNDER 44 | 52.8% | 2 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU +7 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| OREG@WASH | WASH +7 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| WYO@HAWAII | WYO +7.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |