Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Aug 23)

Updated: 2025-08-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas State Wildcats will kick off the 2025 college football season in the Aer Lingus Classic on Saturday, August 23 in Dublin, Ireland. Kansas State opens as approximately 3.5-point favorites, with an over/under near 49.5 points.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 23, 2025

Start Time: 12:00 PM EST​

Venue: Aviva Stadium​

Wildcats Record: (0-0)

Cyclones Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

IOWAST Moneyline: +134

KSTATE Moneyline: -159

IOWAST Spread: +3.5

KSTATE Spread: -3.5

Over/Under: 49.5

IOWAST
Betting Trends

  • Iowa State covered in about 40% of their matchups in the Farmageddon rivalry over recent years.

KSTATE
Betting Trends

  • Kansas State posted a winning 2024 season (9–4), but ATS-specific data from that campaign is mixed; their performance in rivalry games like this has generally been stronger.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Though Kansas State holds a narrow overall series record, Iowa State has won two straight in the rivalry and covered more often in those recent meetings, suggesting betting faith in the Cyclones despite being on the road.

IOWAST vs. KSTATE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Brown over 50.5 Receiving Yards.

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Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 8/23/25

The highly anticipated 2025 college football season kicks off in dramatic fashion as the Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas State Wildcats clash in the Aer Lingus College Football Classic on August 23 in Dublin, Ireland, marking a historic international setting for the renewal of the long-standing Farmageddon rivalry. Iowa State enters the matchup riding a wave of momentum after a program-best 11–3 season in 2024, which included a breakthrough appearance in the Big 12 Championship Game and a strong finish capped by a bowl victory, all orchestrated under the steady hand of head coach Matt Campbell and the efficient play of quarterback Rocco Becht. Kansas State, meanwhile, turned in a resilient 9–4 campaign in 2024, proving again to be one of the conference’s most consistent programs under head coach Chris Klieman, with dual-threat quarterback Avery Johnson leading a balanced offensive attack and the defense tightening late in the year. Both teams return a solid core of starters, and the game is expected to be closely contested, with Kansas State opening as a narrow 3.5-point favorite and the total set around 49.5 points, reflecting expectations for a methodical, defense-first affair. From a betting perspective, Kansas State has historically controlled the rivalry in terms of wins and covers, but Iowa State has flipped the narrative in recent seasons with two straight victories, including a decisive road win in Manhattan last year that helped propel them into the national conversation.

The international stage adds a unique wrinkle to this year’s opener, with both teams needing to adjust to long travel, new routines, and unfamiliar surroundings at Dublin’s Aviva Stadium, where weather, jet lag, and logistics could play unexpected roles in performance. For Iowa State, the key will be leveraging Becht’s composure and timing in a spread offense that thrives on quick decisions and exploiting defensive mismatches, while their front seven, headlined by a disruptive defensive line, must contain Johnson’s scrambling ability and force third-and-long situations. Kansas State’s success will hinge on establishing the ground game early behind a veteran offensive line and protecting Johnson long enough to connect with explosive weapons on play-action, while defensively they must account for Iowa State’s multi-layered passing attack and avoid giving up chunk yardage through the seams. Special teams could be a decisive factor as well, especially in a venue where field position will be critical and kicking conditions are unknown, so execution on punts, kickoffs, and coverage units may decide close margins. Both coaching staffs are known for discipline and preparation, so whichever team adapts quicker to the Dublin environment and starts fast may seize early control of the game. With Big 12 implications on the line even in Week 0, this matchup offers not only fireworks to begin the college football season but also a proving ground for two teams with legitimate postseason aspirations. Whether it’s Iowa State solidifying its emergence as a new Big 12 power or Kansas State reasserting its perennial toughness, this neutral-site duel promises to be a tightly contested battle where physicality, coaching adjustments, and late-game execution will determine which side starts 2025 with a signature win.

Iowa State Cyclones CFB Preview

Iowa State enters the 2025 season opener with considerable confidence after achieving a landmark 11–3 record in 2024, which included their first-ever trip to the Big 12 Championship Game and a bowl win that firmly established them as one of the conference’s rising programs. Head coach Matt Campbell’s disciplined and balanced approach continues to pay dividends, and quarterback Rocco Becht is expected to build on a breakout sophomore campaign in which he threw for over 3,000 yards and showed elite poise in critical moments, including a game-winning drive against Kansas State last season in a 29–21 road victory. The Cyclones’ offense blends spread principles with precise route timing and ball control, and Becht’s chemistry with wide receivers Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel gives Iowa State one of the most versatile receiving duos in the Big 12. Running back Abu Sama III returns as a dynamic threat who can stretch defenses both inside and out, while the offensive line has been bolstered by returning starters and a pair of key transfers that have added depth and size to the trenches. On defense, Iowa State will again rely on its sturdy 3-3-5 scheme that emphasizes gap discipline and disguises in coverage, anchored by edge rusher J.R. Singleton and linebacker Caleb Bacon, whose sideline-to-sideline range makes him a centerpiece of their second-level containment.

The Cyclones’ secondary remains a strength, with Jeremiah Cooper and T.J. Tampa headlining a group that excels in both man and zone looks. In their two most recent matchups against Kansas State, Iowa State has not only won outright but covered the spread convincingly, suggesting their defensive game plan and Becht’s ability to attack the Wildcats’ secondary have been effective and repeatable. Playing in Dublin adds an unfamiliar wrinkle, but Campbell’s culture has long emphasized preparation, focus, and resilience—traits that are particularly useful when navigating a transatlantic road trip and neutral-site opener. Special teams remain stable with returning kicker Chase Contreraz and punter Tyler Perkins expected to handle field-position duties, both of whom were dependable last season. The key to Iowa State’s ability to cover and potentially win outright will be minimizing turnovers, executing with tempo, and keeping Kansas State’s defense off-balance with short passing and designed quarterback runs to control possession and field position. Defensively, the Cyclones must keep Avery Johnson contained in the pocket and limit explosive plays on early downs to force the Wildcats into uncomfortable third-down situations. If Iowa State’s offense stays efficient and the defense replicates its pressure packages from last year’s victory, the Cyclones are well positioned to not only cover as underdogs but also open 2025 with a signature win that reaffirms their status as a contender in the restructured Big 12.

Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas State Wildcats will kick off the 2025 college football season in the Aer Lingus Classic on Saturday, August 23 in Dublin, Ireland. Kansas State opens as approximately 3.5-point favorites, with an over/under near 49.5 points. Iowa State vs Kansas State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Aug 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas State Wildcats CFB Preview

Kansas State begins its 2025 campaign with a mix of confidence and urgency, aiming to reassert its identity as a consistent Big 12 contender after finishing 9–4 last season and falling short in key matchups, including a disappointing 29–21 home loss to Iowa State that ended their conference title hopes. Under the leadership of head coach Chris Klieman, now in his sixth season, the Wildcats continue to thrive on physicality, efficient quarterback play, and situational execution, traits that have made them one of the league’s most reliable programs over the past decade. Quarterback Avery Johnson enters 2025 as one of the Big 12’s top dual-threat signal-callers, having shown remarkable growth in 2024 as both a passer and a runner, with a skill set tailor-made for Klieman’s RPO-heavy offense. Johnson’s rapport with wide receivers R.J. Garcia II and Keagan Johnson adds vertical explosiveness to a unit that already thrives on ball control, while the backfield combination of DJ Giddens and true freshman Deuce Edwards offers a blend of power and speed that will test Iowa State’s front. The offensive line, led by All-Big 12 tackle Christian Duffie, is experienced and capable of neutralizing most pressure schemes when fully healthy, and the emphasis during fall camp has been on improving red zone efficiency—a sore spot during last year’s close losses.

Defensively, Kansas State returns several playmakers, including edge rusher Khalid Duke and linebacker Austin Moore, both of whom will be tasked with containing Iowa State QB Rocco Becht and disrupting his short passing rhythm. The Wildcats’ secondary, while young, is bolstered by returning starter Will Lee III and has been praised throughout the offseason for its improved coverage discipline and tackling in space. Playing the season opener in Dublin presents logistical challenges, but the Wildcats’ veteran leadership and methodical game-day preparation should help smooth out the travel-related wrinkles, particularly with the added motivation of avenging last year’s loss and setting an early tone in the Big 12 title race. Kansas State opens as a 3.5-point favorite, largely due to its series dominance and strong close to the 2024 season, though the team is well aware that Iowa State has flipped momentum in recent matchups. For the Wildcats to cover, they’ll need to dominate on the ground, control tempo, and pressure Becht into hurried decisions, particularly in third-and-medium scenarios where Kansas State’s defensive disguises have historically thrived. The kicking game remains steady with Chris Tennant returning, and field position could be crucial in what’s expected to be a low-possession contest on foreign turf. If Johnson can stay turnover-free and the defense maintains gap discipline, Kansas State should have the firepower and structure to not only win but potentially pull away late, reaffirming their place among the Big 12’s elite and signaling that 2025 could be the year they make another serious run at a conference championship.

Iowa State vs. Kansas State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Cyclones and Wildcats play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Aviva Stadium in Aug seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Brown over 50.5 Receiving Yards.

Iowa State vs. Kansas State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Cyclones and Wildcats and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on Iowa State’s strength factors between a Cyclones team going up against a possibly healthy Wildcats team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Iowa State vs Kansas State picks, computer picks Cyclones vs Wildcats, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CFB 11/8 SAMST@OREGST UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
CFB 11/8 DUKE@UCONN UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CFB 11/8 JAXST@UTEP UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CFB 11/8 NEB@UCLA UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
CFB 11/8 KENSAW@NMEXST UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CFB 11/8 AUBURN@VANDY UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CFB 11/8 NEVADA@UTAHST UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CFB 11/8 NEB@UCLA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CFB 11/8 UNLV@COLOST UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CFB 11/8 FSU@CLEM UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CFB 11/8 OHIOST@PURDUE UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CFB 11/8 STNFRD@UNC UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CFB 11/8 OREG@IOWA GET FREE PICK NOW 2
CFB 11/8 UNLV@COLOST UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CFB 11/8 TULSA@FAU UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CFB 11/8 TXSTSM@UL UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CFB 11/8 TEXA&M@MIZZOU UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CFB 11/8 BYU@TXTECH UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
CFB 11/8 WASH@WISC UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Cyclones Betting Trends

Iowa State covered in about 40% of their matchups in the Farmageddon rivalry over recent years.

Wildcats Betting Trends

Kansas State posted a winning 2024 season (9–4), but ATS-specific data from that campaign is mixed; their performance in rivalry games like this has generally been stronger.

Cyclones vs. Wildcats Matchup Trends

Though Kansas State holds a narrow overall series record, Iowa State has won two straight in the rivalry and covered more often in those recent meetings, suggesting betting faith in the Cyclones despite being on the road.

Iowa State vs. Kansas State Game Info

Iowa State vs Kansas State starts on August 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST.

Spread: Kansas State -3.5
Moneyline: Iowa State +134, Kansas State -159
Over/Under: 49.5

Iowa State: (0-0)  |  Kansas State: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Brown over 50.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Though Kansas State holds a narrow overall series record, Iowa State has won two straight in the rivalry and covered more often in those recent meetings, suggesting betting faith in the Cyclones despite being on the road.

IOWAST trend: Iowa State covered in about 40% of their matchups in the Farmageddon rivalry over recent years.

KSTATE trend: Kansas State posted a winning 2024 season (9–4), but ATS-specific data from that campaign is mixed; their performance in rivalry games like this has generally been stronger.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Iowa State vs. Kansas State Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Iowa State vs Kansas State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Iowa State vs Kansas State Opening Odds

IOWAST Moneyline: +134
KSTATE Moneyline: -159
IOWAST Spread: +3.5
KSTATE Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 49.5

Iowa State vs Kansas State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
LSU Tigers
Alabama Crimson Tide
In Progress
LSU
BAMA
3
3
+230
-310
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-125)
O 39.5 (-128)
U 39.5 (-104)
In Progress
California Golden Bears
Louisville Cardinals
In Progress
CAL
LVILLE
10
13
+165
-210
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
O 54.5 (-105)
U 54.5 (-125)
In Progress
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Virginia Cavaliers
In Progress
WAKE
UVA
10
6
-174
+136
-2.5 (-136)
+2.5 (+102)
O 37.5 (-102)
U 37.5 (-130)
In Progress
Florida Gators
Kentucky Wildcats
In Progress
FLA
UK
7
10
+115
-145
+2.5 (-118)
-2.5 (-110)
O 45.5 (-105)
U 45.5 (-125)
In Progress
Texas State Bobcats
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
In Progress
TEXST
UL
39
42
+340
-500
+4.5 (-125)
-4.5 (-105)
O 81.5 (+155)
U 81.5 (-205)
In Progress
Air Force Falcons
San Jose State Spartans
In Progress
AF
SJST
16
13
-290
+215
-3.5 (+125)
+3.5 (-164)
O 42.5 (-154)
U 42.5 (+118)
In Progress
Florida State Seminoles
Clemson Tigers
In Progress
FSU
CLEM
7
18
+360
-530
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-118)
O 52.5 (-114)
U 52.5 (-114)
In Progress
Nevada Wolf Pack
Utah State Aggies
In Progress
NEVADA
UTAHST
0
27
+3300
-10000
+36.5 (-110)
-36.5 (-118)
O 65.5 (-104)
U 65.5 (-125)
In Progress
Navy Midshipmen
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
In Progress
NAVY
ND
7
14
+1800
-6500
+24.5 (-114)
-24.5 (-114)
O 52.5 (-112)
U 52.5 (-118)
Nov 8, 2025 9:00PM EST
Nebraska Cornhuskers
UCLA Bruins
11/8/25 9PM
NEB
UCLA
+107
-127
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 45.5 (-105)
U 45.5 (-115)
Nov 8, 2025 9:30PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Colorado State Rams
11/8/25 9:30PM
UNLV
COLOST
-210
+180
-6 (-105)
+6 (-115)
O 62 (-110)
U 62 (-110)
Nov 8, 2025 10:00PM EST
Sam Houston State Bearkats
Oregon State Beavers
11/8/25 10PM
SAMST
OREGST
+874
-1500
+21 (-112)
-21 (-108)
O 53 (-110)
U 53 (-110)
Nov 8, 2025 11:00PM EST
San Diego State Aztecs
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
11/8/25 11PM
SDGST
HAWAII
-250
+207
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Nov 11, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kent State Golden Flashes
Akron Zips
11/11/25 7PM
KENT
AKRON
+176
-210
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-112)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
Nov 11, 2025 7:30PM EST
Ohio Bobcats
Western Michigan Broncos
11/11/25 7:30PM
OHIO
WMICH
-146
+124
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 12, 2025 7:00PM EST
Northern Illinois Huskies
Umass Minutemen
11/12/25 7PM
NILL
UMASS
-530
 
-11.5 (-115)
 
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 12, 2025 7:00PM EST
Buffalo Bulls
Central Michigan Chippewas
11/12/25 7PM
BUFF
CMICH
+118
-142
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Nov 12, 2025 7:00PM EST
Toledo Rockets
Miami Ohio Redhawks
11/12/25 7PM
TOLEDO
MIAOH
-134
 
-2.5 (-110)
 
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 15, 2025 3:30PM EST
Texas Longhorns
Georgia Bulldogs
11/15/25 3:30PM
TEXAS
UGA
+172
-210
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-114)
O 51.5 (-115)
U 51.5 (-105)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas State Wildcats on August 23, 2025 at Aviva Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
DEL@LIB DEL +3.5 57.6% 7 LOSS
NMEXST@WKY NMEXST +8.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN
MICHST@MINN MAKHI FRAZIER UNDER 52.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
UNC@CUSE UNC +110 50.4% 2 WIN
MRSHL@COASTAL COASTAL +7 53.3% 3 WIN
FIU@MIZZST FIU +3.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
TEXAM@LSU MARCEL REED OVER 0.5 INT 55.5% 5 WIN
RUT@PURDUE RUT +103 54.0% 4 WIN
TOLEDO@WASHST TOLEDO -110 56.1% 6 LOSS
AUBURN@ARK ARK -128 60.5% 8 LOSS
NCST@PITT NCST +6.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
OHIO@EMICH EMICH +12 54.1% 4 WIN
TCU@WVU WVU +16.5 54.6% 4 WIN
COLO@UTAH COLO +14.5 57.7% 7 LOSS
HOU@ARIZST HOU +7.5 57.1% 7 WIN
UVA@UNC UNC +11.5 56.2% 6 WIN
MINN@IOWA MINN +9.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
UCONN@RICE RICE +10.5 57.1% 6 WIN
FAU@NAVY FAU +14.5 56.7% 6 WIN
LAMON@USM LAMON +13.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
BOISE@NEVADA NEVADA +21.5 56.8% 6 WIN
SALA@GAST GAST +6.5 54.3% 4 LOSS
MIZZST@NMEXST MIZZST -108 54.4% 4 WIN
KENSAW@FIU FIU +3 53.7% 3 LOSS
KENTST@TOLEDO KENTST +24.5 56.9% 6 LOSS
OLDDOM@JMAD JMAD -125 57.9% 7 WIN
TXTECH@ARIZST TXTECH -6.5 54.2% 4 LOSS
MD@UCLA UCLA -3 57.6% 7 PUSH
AKRON@BALLST AKRON -112 54.7% 4 LOSS
TXSTSM@MRSHL TXSTSM -130 61.5% 7 LOSS
PSU@IOWA IOWA -3 54.0% 3 LOSS
TENN@BAMA TENN +9.5 54.3% 4 LOSS
FSU@STNFRD STNFRD +18 56.6% 6 WIN
WASHST@UVA WASHST +17.5 58.8% 8 WIN
NEVADA@NMEX NEVADA +13.5 57.8% 7 WIN
TEXAS@UK ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD 56.1% 6 WIN
ARMY@TULANE ARMY +10 55.3% 5 WIN
SJST@UTAHST SJST +4 54.4% 4 LOSS
LVILLE@MIAMI LVILLE +12.5 56.5% 6 WIN