Fresno State vs Kansas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Aug 23)
Updated: 2025-08-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas Jayhawks open their 2025 season at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, August 23, hosting the Fresno State Bulldogs. Kansas is a robust 13.5‑ to 14‑point favorite, with the over/under set at about 51.5 points.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Aug 23, 2025
Start Time: 6:30 PM EST
Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
Jayhawks Record: (0-0)
Bulldogs Record: (0-0)
OPENING ODDS
FRESNO Moneyline: +396
KANSAS Moneyline: -535
FRESNO Spread: +14
KANSAS Spread: -14.0
Over/Under: 51.5
FRESNO
Betting Trends
- Fresno State struggled in 2024, finishing 6–7, and posted a negative turnover margin and average scoring, making them a tough underdog scenario—ATS records aren’t official but market sentiment heavily favored their opponents.
KANSAS
Betting Trends
- Kansas ended last season at 5–7, yet managed surprise wins over ranked teams; they often outperformed spreads in openers and home games, especially under former coach Leipold.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Kansas being heavy double-digit favorites, early action suggests some sharp bettors back Fresno State to cover at +13.5 or +14, indicating belief the Bulldogs are better than their record and can hang late in Lawrence or catch Kansas flat to start the year.
FRESNO vs. KANSAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Daniels over 250.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.
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Fresno State vs Kansas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 8/23/25
Kansas, meanwhile, has a history of playing well in early-season matchups and will be eager to showcase its offensive upgrades and retooled defense in front of a home crowd energized by recent stadium renovations. For bettors, the spread suggests a belief in Kansas’ overall roster advantage and home-field edge, but sharp money has shown interest in Fresno State covering, especially with a veteran offensive line and a coach known for crafting game plans that neutralize more talented opponents. If Kansas can control tempo, convert red-zone chances, and avoid the special teams miscues that hurt them in 2024, they’re well-positioned to not only win but potentially cover. But if Fresno State is able to sustain drives, win time of possession, and pressure the quarterback into mistakes, this game could tighten in the second half. The over/under hovering around 51.5 indicates moderate expectations for scoring, with potential for explosive plays balanced by early-season rust. Ultimately, this opener serves as a compelling tone-setter: Kansas has the tools to make a statement and take a first confident step toward bowl eligibility, while Fresno State can send an early shockwave through the Group of Five conversation by pulling off an upset or keeping things uncomfortably close. Regardless of the final score, it will provide an early glimpse into how ready each team is for the grind of the 2025 season.
It’s time for us to play somebody in a different colored jersey.
— Fresno State Football (@FresnoStateFB) August 23, 2025
One more sleep 🏈 pic.twitter.com/AG6M5KhKsh
Fresno State Bulldogs CFB Preview
Fresno State enters the 2025 season with a clean slate and a new head coach in Matt Entz, who takes over following a turbulent 6–7 campaign in 2024 that saw the Bulldogs lose consistency on both sides of the ball. Entz brings a winning pedigree from North Dakota State, where he led the Bison to multiple FCS titles through a physical, disciplined brand of football rooted in defensive fundamentals and time-of-possession dominance. That approach should immediately influence a Fresno State team that showed promise in turnover differential last season (+9) but lacked efficiency in the red zone and struggled to finish games against stronger opponents. Quarterback Mikey Keene, a UCF transfer who started most of last season, is expected to return and guide an offense that will emphasize ball control and intermediate passing routes. He’ll be joined by running back Malik Sherrod, one of the few bright spots from 2024, whose agility and yards-after-contact ability could play a critical role against a Kansas front that gave up chunk plays late last year. Fresno’s offensive line returns most of its core and will be tasked with keeping Keene upright and generating lanes for Sherrod in an effort to extend drives and wear down the Jayhawks’ defense. The receiving corps may not have a dominant number one, but depth and speed across multiple formations will allow Entz to get creative in spacing and tempo.
Defensively, the Bulldogs are looking to reestablish a firm identity after allowing nearly 30 points per game in 2024. Entz is expected to implement a 4–3 base that prioritizes gap discipline and strong tackling fundamentals, and he’ll lean on veteran linebacker Levelle Bailey and defensive end Johnny Hudson III to lead the charge. The secondary, which struggled against vertical threats last year, has reportedly made strides in camp, and much will depend on their ability to keep Kansas’ receivers in front and limit explosive gains. Special teams have also seen attention under the new staff, particularly kick coverage and punt execution, which could prove pivotal in a game where field position is expected to play a major role. Fresno State may not be built to win a shootout, but their path to covering the spread—and potentially pulling off an early-season upset—will come through efficient clock management, avoiding turnovers, and limiting Kansas’ possessions. Entz’s calm leadership and detail-oriented preparation are ideal for opening-week road environments, and his roster has enough experience to execute a conservative but effective game plan. If Keene can avoid pressure, the defense can force Kansas into long third downs, and Fresno maintains its edge in special teams discipline, this game could become far more competitive than the double-digit spread implies. The Bulldogs don’t need fireworks to win—they just need structure, patience, and the ability to capitalize on Kansas mistakes. If those factors align, Fresno State could leave Lawrence with far more than moral victories.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas Jayhawks CFB Preview
The Kansas Jayhawks enter the 2025 season with optimism and a clear sense of urgency, seeking to bounce back from a disappointing 5–7 record in 2024 and reclaim the upward trajectory that head coach Lance Leipold established in his early tenure. Though the Jayhawks fell short of bowl eligibility last season, they pulled off multiple wins over ranked opponents, showcasing their potential and resilience in big moments—particularly in Lawrence, where their home-field advantage continues to grow in significance. Quarterback Jalon Daniels remains the centerpiece of Kansas’ offense, provided he’s fully healthy, bringing dual-threat capabilities and veteran poise that can elevate the unit’s efficiency in both the passing and run games. If Daniels is unable to go, sophomore backup Cole Ballard or another emerging talent from Leipold’s quarterback room will need to step up quickly, especially with new offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes implementing a simplified yet aggressive scheme tailored for tempo and play-action effectiveness. The Jayhawks return a dynamic backfield led by Devin Neal, whose blend of vision and burst makes him one of the Big 12’s most underrated weapons, and Daniel Hishaw Jr., a punishing runner who thrives in short-yardage and goal-line situations. The offensive line, anchored by Mike Novitsky and Ar’maj Reed-Adams, is one of the most experienced in the conference and will be key in establishing early rhythm against a Fresno State defense that struggled with run fits in 2024.
At receiver, Lawrence Arnold and Quentin Skinner provide size and reliable hands on the outside, while Luke Grimm offers route precision and versatility in the slot. Defensively, Kansas must shore up a unit that was inconsistent last year, particularly in tackling and red-zone stands, but there are reasons for optimism. Returning starters like safety O.J. Burroughs and linebacker Rich Miller bring leadership, while defensive linemen Jereme Robinson and Tommy Dunn Jr. offer disruptive potential up front. Special teams are expected to be a strength, with kicker Seth Keller and punter Damon Greaves both back after solid 2024 campaigns, and the return game should benefit from improved blocking schemes and a deeper pool of athletic returners. With the newly renovated David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium set to host its first game of the season, the energy in Lawrence should be electric, and the team will look to use that momentum to dictate the game’s pace from the opening drive. Kansas’ path to covering the spread lies in starting fast, avoiding turnovers, and winning early-down efficiency to put Fresno State on its heels. If the Jayhawks can force the Bulldogs into a more aggressive game script and prevent them from shortening the game with time-consuming drives, the offensive firepower and defensive athleticism should be enough to put the game away in the second half. This opener is more than a tune-up—it’s an opportunity for Kansas to show that last year’s struggles were an anomaly and that this team is ready to compete for a top-half finish in the new-look Big 12.
Stay ready... 🤫
— Kansas Football (@KU_Football) August 22, 2025
The Booth awaits. pic.twitter.com/CqHq0K7DnA
Fresno State vs. Kansas Prop Picks (AI)
Fresno State vs. Kansas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Bulldogs and Jayhawks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors often put on Kansas’s strength factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly tired Jayhawks team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Fresno State vs Kansas picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Jayhawks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| CFB | 11/6 | GAST@APLST | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| CFB | 11/6 | UTSA@SFLA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Bulldogs Betting Trends
Fresno State struggled in 2024, finishing 6–7, and posted a negative turnover margin and average scoring, making them a tough underdog scenario—ATS records aren’t official but market sentiment heavily favored their opponents.
Jayhawks Betting Trends
Kansas ended last season at 5–7, yet managed surprise wins over ranked teams; they often outperformed spreads in openers and home games, especially under former coach Leipold.
Bulldogs vs. Jayhawks Matchup Trends
Despite Kansas being heavy double-digit favorites, early action suggests some sharp bettors back Fresno State to cover at +13.5 or +14, indicating belief the Bulldogs are better than their record and can hang late in Lawrence or catch Kansas flat to start the year.
Fresno State vs. Kansas Game Info
What time does Fresno State vs Kansas start on August 23, 2025?
Fresno State vs Kansas starts on August 23, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST.
Where is Fresno State vs Kansas being played?
Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Fresno State vs Kansas?
Spread: Kansas -14.0
Moneyline: Fresno State +396, Kansas -535
Over/Under: 51.5
What are the records for Fresno State vs Kansas?
Fresno State: (0-0) | Kansas: (0-0)
What is the AI best bet for Fresno State vs Kansas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Daniels over 250.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Fresno State vs Kansas trending bets?
Despite Kansas being heavy double-digit favorites, early action suggests some sharp bettors back Fresno State to cover at +13.5 or +14, indicating belief the Bulldogs are better than their record and can hang late in Lawrence or catch Kansas flat to start the year.
What are Fresno State trending bets?
FRESNO trend: Fresno State struggled in 2024, finishing 6–7, and posted a negative turnover margin and average scoring, making them a tough underdog scenario—ATS records aren’t official but market sentiment heavily favored their opponents.
What are Kansas trending bets?
KANSAS trend: Kansas ended last season at 5–7, yet managed surprise wins over ranked teams; they often outperformed spreads in openers and home games, especially under former coach Leipold.
Where can I find AI Picks for Fresno State vs Kansas?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Fresno State vs. Kansas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Fresno State vs Kansas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Fresno State vs Kansas Opening Odds
FRESNO Moneyline:
+396 KANSAS Moneyline: -535
FRESNO Spread: +14
KANSAS Spread: -14.0
Over/Under: 51.5
Fresno State vs Kansas Live Odds
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UTAHST
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-115)
U 52.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 8, 2025 7:30PM EST
LSU Tigers
Alabama Crimson Tide
11/8/25 7:30PM
LSU
BAMA
|
–
–
|
+295
-370
|
+9.5 (-102)
-9.5 (-120)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 8, 2025 7:30PM EST
Navy Midshipmen
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
11/8/25 7:30PM
NAVY
ND
|
–
–
|
+1600
-4500
|
+26.5 (-110)
-26.5 (-110)
|
O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 8, 2025 9:00PM EST
Nebraska Cornhuskers
UCLA Bruins
11/8/25 9PM
NEB
UCLA
|
–
–
|
-108
-108
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-104)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 8, 2025 9:30PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Colorado State Rams
11/8/25 9:30PM
UNLV
COLOST
|
–
–
|
-194
+162
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 61.5 (-110)
U 61.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 8, 2025 10:00PM EST
Sam Houston State Bearkats
Oregon State Beavers
11/8/25 10PM
SAMST
OREGST
|
–
–
|
+980
-1800
|
+20.5 (-110)
-20.5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 8, 2025 11:00PM EST
San Diego State Aztecs
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
11/8/25 11PM
SDGST
HAWAII
|
–
–
|
-245
+200
|
-6.5 (-120)
+6.5 (-102)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 11, 2025 7:30PM EST
Ohio Bobcats
Western Michigan Broncos
11/11/25 7:30PM
OHIO
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 12, 2025 7:00PM EST
Buffalo Bulls
Central Michigan Chippewas
11/12/25 7PM
BUFF
CMICH
|
–
–
|
+136
-164
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 12, 2025 7:00PM EST
Toledo Rockets
Miami Ohio Redhawks
11/12/25 7PM
TOLEDO
MIAOH
|
–
–
|
-134
|
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 14, 2025 8:00PM EST
Clemson Tigers
Louisville Cardinals
11/14/25 8PM
CLEM
LVILLE
|
–
–
|
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 12:00PM EST
Michigan Wolverines
Northwestern Wildcats
11/15/25 12PM
MICH
NWEST
|
–
–
|
|
-10 (-110)
+10 (-110)
|
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 12:00PM EST
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Pittsburgh Panthers
11/15/25 12PM
ND
PITT
|
–
–
|
-410
+315
|
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 3:30PM EST
Texas Longhorns
Georgia Bulldogs
11/15/25 3:30PM
TEXAS
UGA
|
–
–
|
+168
-205
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 51.5 (-112)
U 51.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 3:30PM EST
Virginia Cavaliers
Duke Blue Devils
11/15/25 3:30PM
UVA
DUKE
|
–
–
|
+188
-230
|
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-114)
|
O 61.5 (-115)
U 61.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 3:30PM EST
Iowa Hawkeyes
USC Trojans
11/15/25 3:30PM
IOWA
USC
|
–
–
|
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 3:30PM EST
Oklahoma Sooners
Alabama Crimson Tide
11/15/25 3:30PM
OKLA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
+230
-285
|
+7.5 (-118)
-7.5 (-104)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 7:00PM EST
Florida Gators
Ole Miss Rebels
11/15/25 7PM
FLA
OLEMISS
|
–
–
|
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
|
|
|
Nov 15, 2025 10:15PM EST
TCU Horned Frogs
BYU Cougars
11/15/25 10:15PM
TCU
BYU
|
–
–
|
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Ohio State Buckeyes
Indiana Hoosiers
12/6/25 8PM
OHIOST
IND
|
–
–
|
-172
+142
|
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks on August 23, 2025 at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| MICHST@MINN | MAKHI FRAZIER UNDER 52.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| UNC@CUSE | UNC +110 | 50.4% | 2 | WIN |
| MRSHL@COASTAL | COASTAL +7 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| FIU@MIZZST | FIU +3.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEXAM@LSU | MARCEL REED OVER 0.5 INT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| RUT@PURDUE | RUT +103 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| TOLEDO@WASHST | TOLEDO -110 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| AUBURN@ARK | ARK -128 | 60.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| NCST@PITT | NCST +6.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| OHIO@EMICH | EMICH +12 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| TCU@WVU | WVU +16.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| COLO@UTAH | COLO +14.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| HOU@ARIZST | HOU +7.5 | 57.1% | 7 | WIN |
| UVA@UNC | UNC +11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| MINN@IOWA | MINN +9.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| UCONN@RICE | RICE +10.5 | 57.1% | 6 | WIN |
| FAU@NAVY | FAU +14.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| LAMON@USM | LAMON +13.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOISE@NEVADA | NEVADA +21.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SALA@GAST | GAST +6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIZZST@NMEXST | MIZZST -108 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| KENSAW@FIU | FIU +3 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| KENTST@TOLEDO | KENTST +24.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@JMAD | JMAD -125 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| TXTECH@ARIZST | TXTECH -6.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MD@UCLA | UCLA -3 | 57.6% | 7 | PUSH |
| AKRON@BALLST | AKRON -112 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| TXSTSM@MRSHL | TXSTSM -130 | 61.5% | 7 | LOSS |
| PSU@IOWA | IOWA -3 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TENN@BAMA | TENN +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
| TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
| DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
| NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |