Mean Green vs. Bobcats
FREE CFB AI Predictions
January 03, 2025

The North Texas Mean Green (6-6) are set to face the Texas State Bobcats (7-5) in the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl on January 3, 2025, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. This matchup features two Texas-based programs aiming to conclude their seasons with a significant bowl victory.

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AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 03, 2025

Start Time: 5:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium​

Bobcats Record: (7-5)

Mean Green Record: (6-6)

OPENING ODDS

NOTEX Moneyline: +289

TXSTSM Moneyline: -369

NOTEX Spread: +10

TXSTSM Spread: -10.0

Over/Under: 68

NOTEX
Betting Trends

  • North Texas has had a challenging season against the spread (ATS), particularly in conference play, where they have struggled to cover in several key matchups. Their defense has allowed an average of 34.5 points per game, which has impacted their ability to meet betting expectations.

TXSTSM
Betting Trends

  • Texas State has shown resilience ATS, especially in non-conference games, where they have covered the spread in four of their last five matchups. Their balanced offensive attack and opportunistic defense have contributed to their consistent ATS success.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • An interesting ATS statistic is that Texas State has covered the spread in their last three bowl appearances, indicating a trend of strong performances in postseason play. This could be a pivotal factor as they prepare to face North Texas in the First Responder Bowl.

NOTEX vs. TXSTSM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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NET UNITS
AFTER VIGORISH
+336
RECORD
VS. SPREAD
1823-1631
NET PROFIT
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$33,604

North Texas vs Texas State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 1/3/25

The SERVPRO First Responder Bowl between the North Texas Mean Green and the Texas State Bobcats presents an intriguing in-state showdown between two programs looking to cap their seasons on a high note. North Texas, under head coach Eric Morris, has experienced a roller-coaster season, finishing with a 6-6 record. The Mean Green’s offense has been productive, averaging 34.0 points per game, ranking them 23rd nationally. However, their defense has been a point of concern, allowing 34.5 points per game, placing them 121st in the nation. This disparity highlights the team’s struggle to find balance, often engaging in high-scoring affairs where the defense couldn’t hold up its end. Offensively, North Texas is led by quarterback Chandler Rogers, who has thrown for over 3,000 yards this season, showcasing his ability to stretch the field and make plays under pressure. Running back Oscar Adaway III complements the passing game with his ground prowess, rushing for nearly 1,000 yards and demonstrating a knack for finding the end zone in goal-line situations. The receiving corps, featuring Jair Shorter and Roderic Burns, has been instrumental in the aerial attack, consistently creating separation and making contested catches.

The offensive line has provided solid protection, allowing Rogers to operate effectively from the pocket. Defensively, the Mean Green have struggled to contain opponents, with their secondary being particularly vulnerable to deep passes. The front seven, led by linebacker KD Davis, has shown flashes of brilliance, especially in pass-rushing scenarios, but inconsistency has plagued the unit. Their inability to generate turnovers has also been a setback, often leaving the offense with unfavorable field positions. On the other side, Texas State, under head coach G.J. Kinne, has had a breakthrough season, achieving a 7-5 record and securing back-to-back bowl appearances for the first time in program history. The Bobcats’ offense has been balanced, averaging 28.5 points per game. Quarterback TJ Finley has been efficient, passing for over 2,500 yards and maintaining a commendable touchdown-to-interception ratio. Running back Calvin Hill has been a workhorse, surpassing 1,000 rushing yards and providing stability to the ground game. Wide receiver Marcell Barbee has been Finley’s primary target, leading the team in receptions and receiving touchdowns. Defensively, the Bobcats have been stout, allowing 24.0 points per game. The defensive line, anchored by Nico Ezidore, has been effective in stopping the run and applying pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The secondary, led by cornerback Kordell Rodgers, has been opportunistic, recording multiple interceptions and limiting big plays. Their ability to force turnovers has often swung momentum in their favor, providing the offense with advantageous field positions. Special teams could play a pivotal role in this matchup. North Texas kicker Ethan Mooney has been reliable, converting 85% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 40 yards. Texas State’s return game, spearheaded by Jeremiah Haydel, has been explosive, with multiple returns for touchdowns this season. Field position and the ability to capitalize on special teams’ opportunities may very well determine the outcome of this game. Historically, North Texas has dominated the series, leading 29-7-3. However, the last meeting between the two teams was in 1994, making this a fresh encounter for both programs. The Mean Green will look to leverage their historical success, while the Bobcats aim to establish a new narrative. In conclusion, this matchup is a classic case of a high-powered offense clashing with a resilient defense. North Texas will need to address its defensive shortcomings to contain Texas State’s balanced attack. Conversely, the Bobcats must find ways to disrupt Rogers and the Mean Green’s prolific offense. The game promises to be a thrilling contest, with both teams eager to claim bragging rights in this Lone Star State showdown.

Mean Green AI Preview

The North Texas Mean Green enter the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl with a 6-6 record, marking a season of ups and downs under head coach Eric Morris. While the team’s offensive prowess has been a highlight, their defensive struggles have kept them from reaching their full potential. Facing in-state rival Texas State in a bowl game presents North Texas with a chance to end their season on a high note and establish momentum for the future. Offensively, North Texas has been dynamic, averaging 34.0 points per game, ranking 23rd nationally. Quarterback Chandler Rogers has been the driving force behind the offense, passing for over 3,000 yards and 25 touchdowns. Rogers’ ability to extend plays with his mobility and deliver accurate throws downfield has made him a nightmare for opposing defenses. His connection with wide receivers Jair Shorter and Roderic Burns has been a cornerstone of the Mean Green’s success, with both players consistently making big plays and stretching defenses vertically. The running game, led by Oscar Adaway III, has been equally impactful. Adaway has rushed for nearly 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns, showcasing a blend of power and agility. His ability to churn out tough yards and break off long runs has provided balance to the offense, forcing defenses to respect both the ground and aerial attacks. Backup running back Ayo Adeyi has also been a reliable contributor, ensuring depth and keeping the ground game productive throughout games. The offensive line has been a key asset, providing Rogers with solid protection and opening lanes for the running backs. Their ability to handle Texas State’s aggressive defensive front will be critical in allowing North Texas to maintain their offensive rhythm. Defensively, the Mean Green have struggled, allowing 34.5 points per game, ranking 121st nationally. The secondary has been a glaring weakness, often giving up big plays and failing to generate turnovers. However, the front seven, led by linebacker KD Davis, has shown flashes of potential. Davis, the team’s leading tackler, has been a consistent presence in both run defense and pass-rushing situations. Defensive lineman Roderick Brown has also made an impact, recording several sacks and disrupting opposing quarterbacks. Special teams have been a bright spot for North Texas. Kicker Ethan Mooney has been reliable, converting 85% of his field goal attempts, including multiple clutch kicks in close games. Punter Bernardo Rodriguez has been effective in flipping field position, and the return game has occasionally provided sparks, with potential for big plays in key moments. As North Texas prepares for the First Responder Bowl, the focus will be on maximizing their offensive production while finding ways to contain Texas State’s balanced attack. Establishing the run with Adaway and utilizing Rogers’ connection with his receivers will be critical to keeping the Bobcats’ defense on their heels. Defensively, the Mean Green must improve their secondary’s performance and find ways to generate pressure on quarterback TJ Finley. This game offers North Texas a chance to showcase their explosive offense and address their defensive shortcomings. A victory would not only cap a tumultuous season with a positive note but also set the stage for progress in 2025. With their high-powered offense and potential for big plays on special teams, the Mean Green are poised to compete fiercely in Dallas.

The North Texas Mean Green (6-6) are set to face the Texas State Bobcats (7-5) in the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl on January 3, 2025, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. This matchup features two Texas-based programs aiming to conclude their seasons with a significant bowl victory. North Texas vs Texas State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Jan 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Bobcats AI Preview

The Texas State Bobcats enter the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl with a 7-5 record, marking a significant achievement under head coach G.J. Kinne. This season has been a testament to the program’s growth, culminating in back-to-back bowl appearances for the first time in school history. The Bobcats aim to build upon their success and secure a bowl victory against the North Texas Mean Green. Offensively, Texas State has showcased a balanced attack, averaging 28.5 points per game. Quarterback TJ Finley has been a pivotal figure, passing for over 2,500 yards with a commendable touchdown-to-interception ratio. Finley’s poise in the pocket and ability to make accurate throws have been instrumental in the Bobcats’ aerial success. His connection with wide receiver Marcell Barbee has been particularly noteworthy, with Barbee leading the team in receptions and receiving touchdowns. Barbee’s ability to create separation and make contested catches has made him a reliable target in critical situations. The receiving corps also benefits from contributions by Javen Banks, who has served as a deep threat capable of stretching defenses. Together, they form a versatile group that complements Texas State’s balanced offensive approach. The ground game, anchored by running back Calvin Hill, has been a cornerstone of the Bobcats’ offense. Hill has surpassed 1,000 rushing yards this season, showcasing a combination of speed, vision, and toughness. His ability to gain yards after contact and consistently move the chains has been critical in sustaining drives. Backup running back Jahmyl Jeter has also been effective in a complementary role, providing depth and ensuring the Bobcats maintain their rushing effectiveness throughout the game. The offensive line has been a key factor in Texas State’s success, providing solid protection for Finley and creating running lanes for Hill. Their ability to handle North Texas’s defensive front will be crucial, especially in allowing Finley time to operate against a vulnerable Mean Green secondary. Defensively, the Bobcats have been solid, allowing 24.0 points per game, which ranks among the better defenses in their conference. The defensive line, led by Nico Ezidore, has been instrumental in shutting down opposing rushing attacks. Ezidore’s strength and quickness have made him a disruptive force, both in collapsing the pocket and clogging running lanes. His leadership has set the tone for a defense that thrives on physicality and discipline. The linebacking corps, featuring standout player Jordan Revels, has provided versatility and consistency. Revels leads the team in tackles and has been effective in both run support and pass coverage. His ability to read plays and make key stops has been a significant asset for the Bobcats. The secondary, anchored by cornerback Kordell Rodgers, has been opportunistic, recording multiple interceptions and limiting big plays. Rodgers’ ability to shadow opposing receivers and disrupt passing lanes has been pivotal in creating turnovers and shifting momentum in Texas State’s favor. The secondary as a whole will play a vital role in containing North Texas’s explosive passing game, particularly against quarterback Chandler Rogers and his talented receiving corps. Special teams have been a strength for the Bobcats, with kicker Seth Keller converting over 80% of his field goal attempts and showcasing reliability in high-pressure situations. Punter Clayton Stewart has been effective in flipping field position, and return specialist Jeremiah Haydel has been a game-changer, with multiple return touchdowns this season. Haydel’s ability to spark the team with explosive plays in the return game could prove decisive in a closely contested matchup. As Texas State prepares for the First Responder Bowl, the focus will be on executing their balanced offensive strategy and maintaining their defensive discipline. Establishing the run with Hill and taking advantage of Finley’s efficiency in the passing game will be key to sustaining drives and putting pressure on North Texas’s defense. Defensively, the Bobcats aim to disrupt Rogers’ rhythm and force the Mean Green into mistakes, particularly in passing situations. This game represents a significant opportunity for Texas State to continue their upward trajectory under Coach Kinne and solidify their reputation as a rising program. A victory in the First Responder Bowl would cap an impressive season and provide momentum heading into the 2025 campaign. With their balanced offense, disciplined defense, and impactful special teams, the Bobcats are well-positioned to deliver a strong performance in Dallas.

Mean Green vs. Bobcats FREE Prop Pick

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Mean Green and Bobcats play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Jan rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

North Texas vs. Texas State CFB AI Pick

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Mean Green and Bobcats and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on North Texas’s strength factors between a Mean Green team going up against a possibly strong Bobcats team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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