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The Liberty Bowl between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Arkansas Razorbacks offers a compelling narrative, as these former Southwest Conference rivals meet for the 38th time in history. Texas Tech leads the all-time series 28-7-2, but the two programs have not faced each other since 1991, adding an element of intrigue to this postseason encounter. Offensively, Texas Tech has been prolific, averaging 35.2 points per game. Quarterback Behren Morton has been a central figure, passing for over 3,200 yards and 28 touchdowns. Morton’s ability to spread the ball effectively has been instrumental in the Red Raiders’ success. The ground game is anchored by running back Tahj Brooks, who has rushed for 1,100 yards and 12 touchdowns, providing a balanced offensive attack. Wide receiver Jerand Bradley has been a standout, leading the team with 900 receiving yards and eight touchdowns, offering a reliable deep threat. Defensively, the Red Raiders allow 28.5 points per game. Linebacker Krishon Merriweather leads the team with 95 tackles, showcasing exceptional field awareness and tackling proficiency. The defensive line, anchored by Tyree Wilson, has been effective in generating pressure, contributing to the team’s 30 sacks this season. The secondary, featuring cornerback Rayshad Williams, has been opportunistic, recording 10 interceptions and limiting big plays through the air. Arkansas’s offense has averaged 29.8 points per game, with quarterback KJ Jefferson leading the charge.
Jefferson has thrown for over 2,800 yards and 24 touchdowns while also rushing for 700 yards and 10 scores, exemplifying his dual-threat capability. Running back Raheim Sanders complements the offense with over 900 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, providing a consistent ground presence. Wide receiver Treylon Burks has been a standout, leading the team with 1,000 receiving yards and nine touchdowns, offering a reliable deep threat. Defensively, the Razorbacks allow 27.5 points per game. Linebacker Bumper Pool leads the team with 100 tackles, showcasing leadership and consistency. The defensive line, led by John Ridgeway, has struggled at times to generate pressure, recording 25 sacks this season. The secondary, while aggressive, has been susceptible to big plays, which could be a focal point for Texas Tech’s offensive strategy. Special teams could play a pivotal role in this matchup. Texas Tech’s kicker, Trey Wolff, has been reliable, converting 85% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 40 yards. Arkansas’s kicker, Cam Little, has made 80% of his field goals, providing consistency in the kicking game. The return game for both teams has the potential to impact field position, with dynamic returners capable of breaking long runs. This game marks a significant chapter in both programs’ seasons, with Texas Tech seeking to reaffirm its resurgence and Arkansas aiming to capitalize on its strong season. The contrasting styles—Texas Tech’s high-powered offense against Arkansas’s balanced attack—set the stage for an engaging and competitive matchup. Both teams are eager to showcase their strengths on a national stage, and the outcome will likely hinge on which unit can impose its will over the other.
Regarded as one of the nation's top up-and-coming assistant coaches, join us in welcoming @GarretMcGuire as our new RBs coach!
— Texas Tech Football (@TexasTechFB) December 12, 2024
☑️ AFCA 35 Under 35 member
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The Texas Tech Red Raiders enter the Liberty Bowl with an 8-4 record, marking a successful season under head coach Joey McGuire. With one of the most explosive offenses in the Big 12, Texas Tech has demonstrated its ability to compete at a high level, and a win in the Liberty Bowl would cap a season of significant progress. Facing Arkansas offers a chance for the Red Raiders to showcase their dynamic style on a national stage. Offensively, Texas Tech has been a powerhouse, averaging 35.2 points per game. Quarterback Behren Morton has been the focal point of the offense, throwing for over 3,200 yards and 28 touchdowns. Morton’s ability to make quick decisions and distribute the ball to multiple targets has been a driving force behind the team’s success. His poise under pressure and accuracy in delivering deep passes make him a constant threat to opposing defenses. The ground game is led by running back Tahj Brooks, who has rushed for 1,100 yards and 12 touchdowns. Brooks’ combination of speed, vision, and power allows him to navigate through defenses effectively, providing balance to the Red Raiders’ high-octane offense. Backup running back SaRodorick Thompson has also contributed, adding depth and versatility to the rushing attack. The receiving corps is one of the best in the Big 12, headlined by Jerand Bradley, who leads the team with 900 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. Bradley’s ability to stretch the field and make contested catches provides a reliable deep threat for Morton. Complementing Bradley are receivers Loic Fouonji and Myles Price, who have combined for over 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. This trio has consistently created mismatches for opposing secondaries, making Texas Tech’s passing attack one of the most dangerous in the country. Defensively, the Red Raiders have allowed 28.5 points per game, showing improvement but still facing challenges against elite offenses. Linebacker Krishon Merriweather has been the leader of the defense, recording 95 tackles and providing stability in the middle. His ability to read plays and make critical stops has been essential to the unit’s success. The defensive line, anchored by Tyree Wilson, has been effective in generating pressure, contributing to the team’s 30 sacks this season. Wilson’s ability to disrupt plays in the backfield has been a highlight of the Red Raiders’ defense. However, the secondary has been inconsistent, occasionally giving up big plays, which could be a concern against Arkansas’s balanced offense. Special teams have been a strong point for Texas Tech. Kicker Trey Wolff has converted 85% of his field goal attempts, providing reliability in key moments. Punter Austin McNamara has consistently flipped field position, giving the defense advantageous scenarios. The return game, led by Xavier White, has added an explosive element, occasionally setting up the offense with excellent field position. As Texas Tech prepares for their matchup against Arkansas, the focus will be on maintaining offensive rhythm and exploiting the Razorbacks’ defensive vulnerabilities. Establishing the passing game early with Morton and utilizing Brooks to balance the attack will be critical. Defensively, the Red Raiders aim to pressure KJ Jefferson and limit explosive plays from Arkansas’s skill position players. This game represents an opportunity for Texas Tech to solidify its progress under McGuire and secure a signature win. A victory in the Liberty Bowl would underscore the team’s growth and set the stage for continued success in the competitive Big 12. With their explosive offense, improving defense, and reliable special teams, the Red Raiders are poised to deliver a memorable performance in Memphis.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Arkansas Razorbacks enter the Liberty Bowl with a 6-6 record, reflecting a season of highs and lows under head coach Sam Pittman. Highlighted by a historic upset over the then-No. 1 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, Arkansas has demonstrated resilience and potential, aiming to conclude the season with a winning record. Offensively, Arkansas has averaged 29.8 points per game, showcasing a balanced attack. Quarterback KJ Jefferson has been central to the offense, passing for over 2,800 yards and 24 touchdowns while also contributing 700 rushing yards and 10 scores. Jefferson’s dual-threat capability adds a dynamic element, challenging defenses to account for both his arm and legs. His leadership and playmaking abilities have been pivotal in orchestrating the Razorbacks’ offense. The ground game is bolstered by running back Raheim Sanders, who has rushed for over 900 yards and eight touchdowns. Sanders’ combination of speed and power makes him a consistent threat, capable of breaking long runs and grinding out tough yards. His performance has been instrumental in maintaining offensive balance and sustaining drives. Wide receiver Treylon Burks has been a standout in the receiving corps, leading the team with 1,000 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. Burks’ ability to stretch the field and make contested catches provides a reliable target for Jefferson, opening up the offense and creating opportunities for big plays. Complementing Burks is wide receiver Mike Woods, who has contributed significantly with 700 receiving yards and six touchdowns, adding depth to the receiving unit. The offensive line has shown improvement throughout the season, providing solid protection for KJ Jefferson and creating running lanes for Raheim Sanders. While there have been moments of inconsistency, the unit has performed admirably against some of the toughest defensive lines in the SEC. Their ability to maintain control at the line of scrimmage will be crucial in creating opportunities for Arkansas’s dynamic offensive playmakers in the Liberty Bowl. Defensively, the Razorbacks have allowed 27.5 points per game, with their performance marked by moments of brilliance and some struggles, particularly against high-scoring offenses. Linebacker Bumper Pool has been the anchor of the defense, leading the team with 100 tackles and providing leadership on and off the field. Pool’s ability to diagnose plays and make timely stops has been instrumental in limiting opposing offenses. The defensive line, led by John Ridgeway, has been effective at times but inconsistent in generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. With 25 sacks on the season, the Razorbacks’ pass rush has shown flashes but will need to elevate its game against Texas Tech’s prolific passing attack. Containing quarterback Behren Morton and preventing him from extending plays will be a key focus for the defensive front. The secondary, while aggressive, has been susceptible to big plays, which could pose a challenge against Texas Tech’s talented receiving corps. Safety Jalen Catalon has been a standout, recording multiple interceptions and providing strong support in coverage. Catalon’s ability to lead the secondary and limit explosive plays will be critical in slowing down the Red Raiders’ passing game. Special teams have been a reliable component of Arkansas’s performance this season. Kicker Cam Little has converted 80% of his field goal attempts, including several clutch kicks in high-pressure situations. Punter Reid Bauer has been effective at flipping field position, often pinning opponents deep in their own territory. The return game, led by Bryce Stephens, adds an explosive element, with Stephens occasionally breaking long returns that provide a spark for the team. As Arkansas prepares for the Liberty Bowl, the focus will be on executing a balanced offensive attack while shoring up defensive vulnerabilities. Establishing the run with Raheim Sanders will be key, as it sets up play-action opportunities for KJ Jefferson to connect with Treylon Burks and the rest of the receiving corps. Defensively, the Razorbacks aim to pressure Behren Morton and limit big plays from Texas Tech’s passing game, forcing the Red Raiders into challenging third-down situations. This game represents a significant opportunity for Arkansas to highlight its resilience and conclude the season on a high note. A victory in the Liberty Bowl would not only secure a winning record but also provide momentum heading into the offseason. With their balanced offense, determined defense, and reliable special teams, the Razorbacks are well-positioned to compete fiercely against Texas Tech and deliver a strong performance in Memphis.
Your 2025 Razorback Football schedule 🐗 pic.twitter.com/8cofjsohKS
— Arkansas Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) December 12, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Red Raiders and Razorbacks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Dec almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Red Raiders and Razorbacks and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the trending factor emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Red Raiders team going up against a possibly healthy Razorbacks team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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