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Mustangs vs. Cavaliers
FREE CFB AI Predictions
November 23, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 23, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium
Cavaliers Record: (5-5)
Mustangs Record: (9-1)
OPENING ODDS
SMU Moneyline: -375
UVA Moneyline: +290
SMU Spread: -10.5
UVA Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 56.5
SMU
Betting Trends
- The Mustangs have a 5-3 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 62.5% of their games.
UVA
Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers have a 5-2 ATS record, covering 71.4% of their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Virginia has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, indicating a strong performance relative to expectations in recent weeks.
SMU vs. UVA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+322
VS. SPREAD
1686-1506
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$32,199
SMU vs Virginia AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/23/24
The SMU Mustangs face the Virginia Cavaliers on November 23, 2024, in a non-conference battle with postseason implications for both programs. SMU enters the game with a 7-1 record and aims to maintain momentum heading into bowl season, while Virginia, at 4-4, seeks to stabilize their season and improve their standing for a potential bowl berth. With contrasting team identities, this game promises an exciting clash of styles. SMU’s offense has been the driving force behind their success, averaging an impressive 39.1 points per game. Quarterback Preston Stone has orchestrated the offense masterfully, throwing for over 2,800 yards with 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Stone’s ability to exploit defensive weaknesses has been complemented by a balanced rushing attack led by running back Camar Wheaton, who has rushed for 900 yards and 10 touchdowns. The Mustangs’ offensive line has provided solid protection, enabling Stone to connect with his talented receiving corps, particularly standout receiver Jordan Kerley, who has 800 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns. The Mustangs’ ability to stretch the field vertically and establish a strong ground game has kept opposing defenses guessing. Defensively, SMU allows 21.4 points per game, showcasing a unit capable of limiting scoring opportunities. Their run defense has been stout, conceding just 120 rushing yards per game, and the defensive line has been effective at pressuring quarterbacks, recording 28 sacks on the season. Defensive end DeVere Levelston has been a standout with 7 sacks, while linebacker Jimmy Phillips Jr. anchors the unit with 75 tackles.
Although the secondary has been prone to giving up yards in certain situations, their opportunistic nature has resulted in timely turnovers. Virginia’s offense, by comparison, averages 26.3 points per game and has relied heavily on quarterback Tony Muskett. Muskett has thrown for 2,200 yards with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, providing a steady hand for the Cavaliers. The ground game has been less impactful, averaging 140 yards per game, with running back Perris Jones leading the way with 700 yards and 8 touchdowns. Wide receiver Malachi Fields has been a consistent playmaker, amassing 650 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. While the offense has had moments of efficiency, struggles in pass protection have hindered their ability to sustain drives. Defensively, Virginia has allowed 27.6 points per game, with vulnerabilities in their run defense, conceding 160 rushing yards per game. Linebacker Nick Jackson has been the heart of the defense, recording 85 tackles, while defensive end Chico Bennett Jr. has been effective in generating pressure with 6 sacks. However, the secondary has struggled, allowing significant passing yards, which SMU’s high-powered offense is likely to exploit. Key factors in this matchup include SMU’s ability to maintain their offensive rhythm against Virginia’s defense and Virginia’s success in controlling time of possession to limit SMU’s opportunities. If SMU’s offense performs to its potential, they are favored, but Virginia’s recent ATS success and home-field advantage could make this a competitive game.
Everything we’ve worked for is in front of us.#PonyUpDallas pic.twitter.com/LMAl45tem0
— SMU Football (@SMUFB) November 18, 2024
Mustangs AI Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers enter their matchup against SMU with a 4-4 record, aiming to gain momentum and secure a postseason berth. Under head coach Tony Elliott, the Cavaliers have shown flashes of promise but have struggled with consistency throughout the season. Virginia’s offense averages 26.3 points per game, led by quarterback Tony Muskett, who has thrown for 2,200 yards with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Muskett’s ability to manage the game and make accurate throws has been a bright spot for the Cavaliers. Running back Perris Jones has contributed 700 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns, providing a steady presence in the ground game. However, Virginia’s rushing attack lacks explosiveness, and the offensive line’s pass protection has been inconsistent, allowing 25 sacks on the season. Wide receiver Malachi Fields has been the standout playmaker, recording 650 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. Fields’ ability to create separation and make plays after the catch has been critical to Virginia’s offensive success. Defensively, the Cavaliers allow 27.6 points per game, with significant vulnerabilities in their run defense, which gives up 160 rushing yards per game. Linebacker Nick Jackson leads the defense with 85 tackles, serving as the team’s most consistent performer. Defensive end Chico Bennett Jr. has been a disruptive force, tallying 6 sacks and applying pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Despite these individual standouts, the secondary has struggled to contain high-powered passing attacks, making this an area of concern against SMU’s prolific offense. To pull off an upset, Virginia must find a way to slow down SMU’s offensive attack. On offense, Muskett needs to play mistake-free football, and the Cavaliers must sustain drives by establishing the run and converting on third downs. Defensively, Virginia’s front seven must limit Camar Wheaton’s production and pressure Preston Stone into hurried decisions. If Virginia can capitalize on SMU’s mistakes and control the tempo, they have a chance to make this a competitive game. However, their margin for error is slim against one of the nation’s most dynamic offenses.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cavaliers AI Preview
The SMU Mustangs have excelled in 2024 under head coach Rhett Lashlee, entering the matchup against Virginia with a 7-1 record. Their high-powered offense and opportunistic defense have been the cornerstones of their success this season. Offensively, SMU ranks among the nation’s elite, averaging 39.1 points per game. Quarterback Preston Stone has been the driving force, throwing for over 2,800 yards with 25 touchdowns and just 6 interceptions. Stone’s accuracy and decision-making have allowed him to distribute the ball effectively, keeping defenses on their heels. Complementing Stone’s efforts is running back Camar Wheaton, who has rushed for 900 yards and 10 touchdowns. Wheaton’s blend of speed and power makes him a difficult matchup for opposing defenses. Wide receiver Jordan Kerley has emerged as Stone’s favorite target, recording 800 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns. Kerley’s ability to make plays downfield and in contested situations has been crucial to SMU’s passing attack. The offensive line has played a pivotal role, providing both pass protection and run-blocking that enables the Mustangs to execute their balanced offensive approach. Defensively, SMU has been solid, allowing just 21.4 points per game. Their run defense has been a highlight, conceding only 120 rushing yards per game, thanks to a strong defensive front led by DeVere Levelston, who has tallied 7 sacks this season. Linebacker Jimmy Phillips Jr. leads the team with 75 tackles, providing leadership and consistent production in both run defense and pass coverage. While the secondary has occasionally given up big plays, their ability to generate turnovers has helped compensate for any lapses in coverage. The defense’s knack for creating pressure and forcing mistakes has allowed SMU to maintain control in games where their offense sets the pace. To secure a victory against Virginia, SMU must continue their offensive efficiency. Preston Stone will need to exploit Virginia’s secondary, while Camar Wheaton’s success on the ground will help the Mustangs dominate time of possession. Defensively, SMU’s focus should be on limiting Tony Muskett’s passing opportunities and containing Malachi Fields, Virginia’s primary receiving threat. If SMU can execute their game plan effectively, they are well-positioned to secure another win and strengthen their postseason résumé.
Last one in Scott 🏟️
— Virginia Football (@UVAFootball) November 18, 2024
Game 1️⃣1️⃣#UVAStrong | #GoHoos ⚔️ pic.twitter.com/nKt6tfHSYG
Mustangs vs. Cavaliers FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Mustangs and Cavaliers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
SMU vs. Virginia CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Mustangs and Cavaliers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis emotional bettors often put on Virginia’s strength factors between a Mustangs team going up against a possibly deflated Cavaliers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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