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Aggies vs. Blue Raiders
FREE CFB AI Predictions
November 23, 2024
On November 23, 2024, the New Mexico State Aggies will face the Middle Tennessee State University (MTSU) Blue Raiders at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. This Conference USA matchup features two teams aiming to conclude their seasons on a positive note.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 23, 2024
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium
Blue Raiders Record: (3-7)
Aggies Record: (2-8)
OPENING ODDS
NMEXST Moneyline: +150
MTSU Moneyline: -182
NMEXST Spread: +4.5
MTSU Spread: -4.5
Over/Under: 51.5
NMEXST
Betting Trends
- The Aggies have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games. Their inconsistent performance has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.
MTSU
Betting Trends
- The Blue Raiders have fared slightly better, covering the spread in 4 of their last 10 games. Despite their overall record, they have shown the ability to meet betting expectations in certain matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- MTSU has covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 home games, indicating a stronger performance when playing at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium. This home-field advantage could play a significant role in the upcoming game against New Mexico State.
NMEXST vs. MTSU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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New Mexico State vs MTSU AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/23/24
The upcoming contest between the New Mexico State Aggies and the MTSU Blue Raiders on November 23, 2024, at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium is a pivotal game for both programs. As members of Conference USA, each team seeks to end the season on a positive note and build momentum for the future. New Mexico State enters the game with a 2-8 record, reflecting a challenging season. Offensively, the Aggies have averaged 19.6 points per game, ranking them 11th in Conference USA. Quarterback Diego Pavia has been a central figure, amassing 1,500 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. His primary target, wide receiver Justice Powers, has recorded 600 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, providing a reliable option in the passing game. The rushing attack, led by running back Star Thomas with 700 yards and 5 touchdowns, has struggled to find consistency, averaging 120.5 yards per game, placing them 10th in the conference. Defensively, the Aggies have allowed 36.6 points per game, ranking last in Conference USA. The unit has been more effective against the pass, conceding 220.9 yards per game, but has faced challenges against the run, allowing 184.3 yards per game. Linebacker Chris Ojoh leads the team with 75 tackles, while defensive end Lazarus Williams has contributed 5 sacks, highlighting areas of strength within the defense. MTSU holds a 3-7 record, reflecting a season of mixed results. The Blue Raiders’ offense has averaged 17.2 points per game, ranking them 12th in Conference USA. Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,296 yards with 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, leading a passing attack that averages 229.6 yards per game, the 5th highest in the conference. Wide receiver Jaylin Lane has been a standout performer, recording 800 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns.
The rushing game has been less effective, averaging 72.6 yards per game, with running back Frank Peasant leading the way with 400 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, the Blue Raiders have allowed 34.0 points per game, ranking 11th in Conference USA. The defense has been particularly vulnerable against the run, conceding 200.0 yards per game, and has allowed 250.0 passing yards per game. Linebacker Jonathan Butler leads the team with 80 tackles, and defensive end Jordan Ferguson has recorded 6 sacks, indicating areas where the defense has found some success. Key factors in this matchup include the turnover battle, as both teams have struggled with ball security, and third-down efficiency, which will be vital for sustaining drives. Defensive adjustments will also play a crucial role, with New Mexico State needing to contain MTSU’s passing attack and MTSU focusing on limiting New Mexico State’s ground game. Given MTSU’s home-field advantage and New Mexico State’s struggles on the road, the Blue Raiders may have a slight edge. However, the game is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having opportunities to secure a victory.
.@ConferenceUSA road finale 🔜#AggieUp x #RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/4fIdwvbMLu
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) November 18, 2024
Aggies AI Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies have endured a tough 2024 campaign, entering this matchup with a 2-8 record. Under head coach Jerry Kill, the Aggies have shown flashes of competitiveness but have been plagued by inconsistencies on both sides of the ball. Offensively, the Aggies average 19.6 points per game, ranking near the bottom in Conference USA. Quarterback Diego Pavia has thrown for 1,500 yards with 10 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, serving as the focal point of the passing game. While Pavia has shown the ability to make big plays, turnovers and pressure in the pocket have limited his effectiveness. Wide receiver Justice Powers has been his top target, recording 600 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. Powers’ ability to create separation has been a bright spot for the offense. The rushing attack has been inconsistent, averaging 120.5 yards per game. Running back Star Thomas leads the ground game with 700 yards and 5 touchdowns, providing occasional sparks but often finding limited running lanes due to the offensive line’s struggles. The lack of balance and inefficiency in the red zone has hampered the Aggies’ ability to sustain drives and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Defensively, the Aggies have allowed 36.6 points per game, ranking last in Conference USA. The run defense has been particularly porous, giving up 184.3 yards per game, which opponents have exploited consistently. The pass defense has been slightly better, conceding 220.9 yards per game, but lapses in coverage and a lack of pressure on opposing quarterbacks have limited their effectiveness. Linebacker Chris Ojoh has been a standout performer, leading the team with 75 tackles and serving as a stabilizing force in the middle. Defensive end Lazarus Williams has contributed 5 sacks, providing occasional pressure on the edge, but the defense as a whole has struggled to generate turnovers and key stops. To compete with MTSU, New Mexico State must focus on executing a more balanced offensive attack while avoiding costly turnovers. Pavia needs to limit mistakes and connect with Powers to stretch the field, while Thomas must establish a strong presence in the ground game to control the clock and keep MTSU’s offense off the field. Defensively, the Aggies must focus on pressuring Nicholas Vattiato and containing Jaylin Lane, forcing MTSU into third-and-long situations. Winning the turnover battle and improving red-zone efficiency will be key factors for the Aggies if they hope to leave Murfreesboro with a victory. Despite their struggles this season, a disciplined performance against MTSU could help the Aggies end their season on a high note and build toward future improvement.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Blue Raiders AI Preview
The MTSU Blue Raiders have faced a challenging 2024 season, entering the matchup against New Mexico State with a 3-7 record. Under head coach Rick Stockstill, the team has shown flashes of potential but has struggled with consistency on both sides of the ball. The Blue Raiders’ offense has averaged 17.2 points per game, ranking them 12th in Conference USA. Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato has been at the helm, throwing for 2,296 yards with 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Vattiato’s ability to stretch the field has been evident, but turnovers have hindered the offense’s overall efficiency. The receiving corps is led by wide receiver Jaylin Lane, who has recorded 800 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. Lane’s speed and route-running have made him a reliable target in the passing game. Tight end Yusuf Ali has also been a key contributor, providing a dependable option in short-yardage situations. The rushing attack has been less effective, averaging 72.6 yards per game. Running back Frank Peasant leads the ground game with 400 yards and 3 touchdowns. The offensive line has faced challenges in creating consistent running lanes, impacting the overall balance of the offense. Defensively, MTSU has struggled, allowing 34.0 points per game, ranking 11th in Conference USA. The run defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding 200.0 yards per game, which has allowed opponents to control the tempo of games. Linebacker Jonathan Butler leads the team with 80 tackles, providing leadership in the middle of the defense. Defensive end Jordan Ferguson has contributed 6 sacks, showcasing his ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks. However, the defense has struggled to generate turnovers, with only 10 takeaways this season, ranking them among the bottom of Conference USA. Special teams have been inconsistent, with issues in both field goal accuracy and punt coverage impacting field position. To find success against New Mexico State, MTSU must focus on minimizing turnovers, improving efficiency on third downs, and establishing some semblance of a ground game to complement their passing attack. Defensively, containing Star Thomas and forcing New Mexico State into passing situations will be critical. A strong performance in this game could provide MTSU with much-needed momentum heading into the offseason and a sense of optimism for the future.
Join us tomorrow night at 6 PM for @CoachDerekMason LIVE at The Boulevard!#BoroBuiltMiddleMade pic.twitter.com/Ow8McAGZYT
— Middle Tennessee Football (@MT_FB) November 17, 2024
Aggies vs. Blue Raiders FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Blue Raiders play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
New Mexico State vs. MTSU CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Aggies and Blue Raiders and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Blue Raiders team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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