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Pirates vs. Mean Green
FREE CFB AI Predictions
November 23, 2024
On November 23, 2024, the East Carolina Pirates will face the North Texas Mean Green at Apogee Stadium in Denton, Texas. This American Athletic Conference (AAC) matchup features two teams striving to improve their standings as the regular season concludes.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 23, 2024
Start Time: 4:30 PM EST
Venue: DATCU Stadium
Mean Green Record: (5-5)
Pirates Record: (6-4)
OPENING ODDS
ECU Moneyline: -102
NOTEX Moneyline: -118
ECU Spread: -2.5
NOTEX Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 72.5
ECU
Betting Trends
- The East Carolina Pirates have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games. Their inconsistent performances have made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.
NOTEX
Betting Trends
- The North Texas Mean Green have fared better ATS, covering in 6 of their last 9 games. Their strong home-field advantage has contributed to their favorable ATS record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- North Texas has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games, indicating strong performances at Apogee Stadium. Conversely, East Carolina has failed to cover in their last 3 road games, highlighting their struggles away from home.
ECU vs. NOTEX
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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East Carolina vs North Texas AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/23/24
The upcoming contest between the East Carolina Pirates and the North Texas Mean Green on November 23, 2024, at Apogee Stadium is a pivotal game for both programs. As members of the American Athletic Conference, each team seeks to end the season on a positive note and build momentum for potential bowl game invitations. East Carolina enters the game with a 5-4 record, reflecting a season of mixed results. Offensively, the Pirates have averaged 28.0 points per game, ranking them 6th in the AAC. Quarterback Mason Garcia has been a central figure, amassing 2,200 passing yards with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. His primary target, wide receiver Jaylen Johnson, has recorded 800 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, providing a reliable option in the passing game. The rushing attack, led by running back Rahjai Harris with 700 yards and 9 touchdowns, has been effective, averaging 150.5 yards per game. Defensively, the Pirates have allowed 26.4 points per game, ranking them 8th in the AAC. The unit has been more effective against the run, conceding 140.9 yards per game, but has faced challenges against the pass, allowing 250.3 yards per game. Linebacker Xavier Smith leads the team with 85 tackles, while defensive end Chad Stephens has contributed 6 sacks, highlighting areas of strength within the defense.
North Texas holds a 5-5 record, reflecting a competitive season. The Mean Green’s offense has averaged 31.2 points per game, ranking them 5th in the AAC. Quarterback Chandler Morris has thrown for 2,500 yards with 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, leading a passing attack that averages 280.6 yards per game. Wide receiver Damon Ward has been a standout performer, recording 900 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. The rushing game has been equally effective, averaging 180.2 yards per game, with running back Ikaika Ragsdale leading the way with 800 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, the Mean Green have allowed 25.4 points per game, ranking 6th in the AAC. The defense has been particularly strong against the run, conceding 120.0 yards per game, and has allowed 230.0 passing yards per game. Linebacker Jordan Brown leads the team with 90 tackles, and defensive end Jake Shipley has recorded 7 sacks, indicating areas where the defense has found success. Key factors in this matchup include the turnover battle, as both teams have had issues with ball security, and third-down efficiency, which will be vital for sustaining drives. Defensive adjustments will also play a crucial role, with East Carolina needing to contain North Texas’s balanced offense and North Texas focusing on limiting East Carolina’s passing game. Given North Texas’s home-field advantage and East Carolina’s struggles on the road, the Mean Green may have a slight edge. However, the game is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having opportunities to secure a victory.
First time since 1989 the Pirates have rushed for 200yds in 3 straight games 🏴☠️ pic.twitter.com/NtnfKVhFBd
— ECU Football (@ECUPiratesFB) November 18, 2024
Pirates AI Preview
The East Carolina Pirates enter this matchup with a 5-4 record, aiming to bolster their chances for a bowl invitation. Under head coach Mike Houston, the Pirates have displayed a balanced offensive attack but have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road. Offensively, East Carolina averages 28.0 points per game, ranking 6th in the AAC. Quarterback Mason Garcia has been a key figure, throwing for 2,200 yards with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Garcia’s ability to push the ball downfield has made the Pirates a dangerous passing team, though turnovers have occasionally hampered their efficiency. Wide receiver Jaylen Johnson has been his primary target, recording 800 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. Johnson’s speed and route-running have made him a reliable option in both short-yardage and deep-ball situations. The rushing attack, led by Rahjai Harris, has been effective, contributing 700 yards and 9 touchdowns on the season. Harris’s physical running style and ability to break tackles have complemented Garcia’s passing, creating a balanced offense. The offensive line has provided steady protection for Garcia and opened running lanes for Harris, though they have struggled at times against elite defensive fronts. Defensively, East Carolina allows 26.4 points per game, ranking 8th in the AAC. Their run defense has been a strength, conceding only 140.9 rushing yards per game, which could be pivotal against North Texas’ potent ground attack. Linebacker Xavier Smith leads the team with 85 tackles, serving as a stabilizing force in the middle of the defense. Defensive end Chad Stephens has added 6 sacks, providing consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has been a weakness, allowing 250.3 passing yards per game and leaving them vulnerable to explosive plays through the air. For East Carolina to secure a win against North Texas, they must focus on executing a clean offensive game plan and limiting mistakes. Garcia needs to avoid turnovers and take advantage of opportunities to connect with Johnson and his other receivers. Harris must establish the ground game early to keep the Mean Green’s defense honest and create opportunities for play-action passes. Defensively, the Pirates must prioritize limiting North Texas’ rushing attack and forcing Chandler Morris into difficult third-down situations. Generating turnovers and improving red-zone efficiency will also be crucial for the Pirates. While East Carolina faces a tough road test, a disciplined and well-rounded performance could help them secure an important win and strengthen their postseason aspirations.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Mean Green AI Preview
The North Texas Mean Green have experienced a competitive 2024 season, entering the matchup against East Carolina with a 5-5 record. Under head coach Eric Morris, the team has demonstrated a balanced offensive attack complemented by a resilient defense. Offensively, North Texas averages 31.2 points per game, ranking 5th in the AAC. Quarterback Chandler Morris has been instrumental, throwing for 2,500 yards with 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Morris’s ability to extend plays and his accuracy have been pivotal in the Mean Green’s aerial success. Wide receiver Damon Ward has emerged as a primary target, amassing 900 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. Ward’s combination of size and speed has made him a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. The rushing attack has been equally formidable, with running back Ikaika Ragsdale leading the ground game with 800 yards and 9 touchdowns. Ragsdale’s vision and burst through the line have provided North Texas with a reliable option to control the tempo of games. The offensive line has played a crucial role, offering solid protection for Morris and creating ample running lanes for Ragsdale. Defensively, North Texas allows 25.4 points per game, ranking 6th in the AAC. The run defense has been particularly stout, conceding only 120.0 yards per game, which has forced opponents to become one-dimensional. Linebacker Jordan Brown leads the team with 90 tackles, showcasing his ability to read plays and make crucial stops. Defensive end Jake Shipley has been a force on the edge, contributing 7 sacks and consistently applying pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The secondary has been opportunistic, with multiple interceptions that have shifted momentum in key games. Special teams have also been a strength, with reliable kicking and effective return units that have provided favorable field position. To secure a win against East Carolina, North Texas must maintain their balanced offensive attack while minimizing turnovers. Morris needs to exploit East Carolina’s vulnerable pass defense and connect with Damon Ward in key situations, while Ikaika Ragsdale must establish the ground game early to control the tempo and keep East Carolina’s offense off the field. Defensively, the Mean Green should focus on pressuring Mason Garcia and containing Rahjai Harris’s rushing attack, forcing the Pirates into predictable passing situations. With the support of their fans at Apogee Stadium and their well-rounded team approach, North Texas has a strong opportunity to secure a critical win and improve their postseason prospects.
Last one in DATCU for our seniors!
— UNT Football (@MeanGreenFB) November 18, 2024
🎟️ https://t.co/xRcMxjvNKh#GMG🦅 | #BTB pic.twitter.com/OJhBnccoyU
Pirates vs. Mean Green FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Mean Green play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at DATCU Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
East Carolina vs. North Texas CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Pirates and Mean Green and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight human bettors regularly put on East Carolina’s strength factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly rested Mean Green team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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