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The upcoming clash between the Colorado State Rams and the Fresno State Bulldogs on November 23, 2024, at Valley Children’s Stadium is crucial for both programs. Colorado State enters the game with a 7-3 record, aiming to solidify its position in the Mountain West standings and secure a favorable bowl game invitation. Their season has been marked by a potent offense and a resilient defense, making them formidable contenders in the conference. Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has been instrumental, amassing over 2,800 passing yards and 25 touchdowns, showcasing his ability to lead the offense effectively. The Rams’ ground game, led by running back Avery Morrow, has also been impressive, contributing significantly to their balanced offensive attack. Defensively, Colorado State has been stout, allowing an average of just 20.5 points per game, with a secondary that has been particularly effective in limiting opponents’ passing yards.
On the other hand, Fresno State enters the game with a 5-5 record, reflecting a season of ups and downs. The Bulldogs have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled with consistency, particularly in conference play. Quarterback Mikey Keene has had a mixed season, with moments of promise tempered by turnovers and missed opportunities. The rushing attack, traditionally a strength for Fresno State, has been led by running back Malik Sherrod, who has been a bright spot in their offense. Defensively, the Bulldogs have faced challenges, especially in containing high-powered offenses, which could be a concern against Colorado State’s dynamic playmakers. Key factors in this matchup include turnover margin, third-down efficiency, and red-zone performance. Colorado State’s ability to protect the football and capitalize on scoring opportunities will be crucial, while Fresno State will need to find ways to sustain drives and finish in the end zone. Given Colorado State’s current form and aspirations, they appear to have the upper hand, but Fresno State’s potential to disrupt top teams adds an element of unpredictability to this contest.
𝐌𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐑𝐎𝐎𝐌 𝐅𝐎𝐑 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐁𝐎𝐎𝐓 🥾#Stalwart x #RamGrit🐏 pic.twitter.com/Aln6f6fKzl
— Colorado State Football (@CSUFootball) November 16, 2024
The Colorado State Rams have had a stellar season, entering this game with a 7-3 record. Head coach Jay Norvell has guided the team to a position where they are strong contenders for a favorable bowl game. Offensively, Colorado State has been prolific, averaging 34.2 points per game. Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has been a revelation, throwing for over 2,800 yards and 25 touchdowns, demonstrating poise and precision in the pocket. His connection with wide receivers Tory Horton and Justus Ross-Simmons has been particularly effective, stretching defenses and creating mismatches. The rushing attack has been equally formidable, with running back Avery Morrow rushing for over 1,200 yards and 15 touchdowns. Morrow’s blend of speed and power has made him a constant threat, keeping defenses honest and opening up play-action opportunities. Defensively, the Rams have been stout, allowing just 20.5 points per game. Their defense is anchored by a dominant front seven, with linebacker Dequan Jackson leading the charge with 80 tackles and consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Defensive lineman Mohamed Kamara has been a force in the trenches, contributing 8 sacks and regularly disrupting opposing backfields. The secondary, led by safety Jack Howell, has been effective in limiting explosive plays and forcing turnovers, giving Colorado State one of the most well-rounded defenses in the Mountain West Conference. For Colorado State to secure a road victory against Fresno State, they must maintain their balanced offensive approach and capitalize on the Bulldogs’ defensive weaknesses. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi needs to continue his efficient play, connecting with Tory Horton and Justus Ross-Simmons to exploit Fresno State’s secondary and create scoring opportunities. Avery Morrow must establish the ground game early to control the tempo and wear down Fresno State’s defense. Defensively, the Rams must focus on containing Malik Sherrod and pressuring Mikey Keene to force mistakes and disrupt Fresno State’s offensive rhythm. Special teams execution, particularly in field position and the kicking game, could also play a decisive role in this matchup. With their consistent performances on both sides of the ball and momentum from a successful season, Colorado State enters the game as the favorite. However, they must remain focused and execute their game plan effectively to overcome a Fresno State team eager to defend its home turf and achieve bowl eligibility. This Mountain West showdown promises to be an intense and competitive battle between two determined programs.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Fresno State Bulldogs have experienced a roller-coaster season, entering this matchup with a 5-5 record. Under head coach Tim Skipper, the team has showcased resilience but has been hampered by inconsistencies on both sides of the ball. Offensively, Fresno State averages 28.3 points per game, with quarterback Mikey Keene leading the charge. Keene has thrown for over 2,200 yards and 18 touchdowns but has also been prone to interceptions, which have stalled drives and shifted momentum in critical moments. The rushing attack, a cornerstone of Fresno State’s offense, has been spearheaded by running back Malik Sherrod, who has rushed for over 800 yards and 9 touchdowns. Sherrod’s emergence has provided a spark, but the offensive line’s inconsistency has affected the ground game’s overall effectiveness. Defensively, the Bulldogs have allowed an average of 28.7 points per game, struggling particularly against high-tempo offenses. The secondary has been a point of concern, giving up substantial yardage through the air, which could be problematic against Colorado State’s potent passing attack. Linebacker Levelle Bailey has been a standout, leading the team in tackles and providing leadership on the field. However, the defense’s inability to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks has exposed vulnerabilities in coverage. For Fresno State to compete effectively against Colorado State, they will need to play a disciplined game, minimizing turnovers and capitalizing on scoring opportunities. Establishing the run early with Sherrod and utilizing play-action to open up passing lanes for Keene will be essential strategies. Defensively, the Bulldogs must find ways to disrupt Fowler-Nicolosi’s rhythm and contain Morrow to prevent explosive plays. Special teams could also play a pivotal role, with field position and the kicking game potentially influencing the outcome. While Fresno State faces an uphill battle against a top-ranked opponent, their capacity to rise to the occasion in high-stakes games cannot be underestimated.
Home again against the Rams 👀
— Fresno State Football (@FresnoStateFB) November 19, 2024
🎟️ https://t.co/dgoaW11W3r pic.twitter.com/vg3qTbC78a
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Rams and Bulldogs play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Valley Children's Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Rams and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Rams team going up against a possibly strong Bulldogs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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