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Boilermakers vs. Spartans
FREE CFB AI Predictions
November 22, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 22, 2024
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Spartan Stadium
Spartans Record: (4-6)
Boilermakers Record: (1-9)
OPENING ODDS
PURDUE Moneyline: +400
MICHST Moneyline: -549
PURDUE Spread: +14.5
MICHST Spread: -14.5
Over/Under: 48.5
PURDUE
Betting Trends
- Purdue has struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a disappointing 2-7-0 record, covering only 22.2% of their games.
MICHST
Betting Trends
- Michigan State has fared slightly better ATS, holding a 3-5-1 record, covering 37.5% of their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Michigan State has dominated this matchup at home, winning the last five meetings against Purdue at Spartan Stadium, highlighting their historical edge in East Lansing.
PURDUE vs. MICHST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+344.3
VS. SPREAD
1682-1496
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$34,434
Purdue vs Michigan State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/22/24
The Purdue Boilermakers and Michigan State Spartans meet on November 22, 2024, in a Big Ten clash at Spartan Stadium. Purdue enters the matchup with a 1-8 record, desperate for a win to salvage an otherwise dismal season, while Michigan State sits at 4-5, seeking a victory to keep their postseason dreams alive. With both teams facing offensive and defensive challenges, the game’s outcome will likely hinge on execution and limiting mistakes. Offensively, Purdue has struggled mightily this season, averaging just 17.5 points per game. Quarterback Brady Allen has been inconsistent, throwing for 1,892 yards with 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. While Allen has shown flashes of potential, his decision-making has frequently hindered the team’s progress. The Boilermakers’ ground game has also been ineffective, averaging only 95.7 rushing yards per game. Running back Devin Mockobee leads the team with 432 yards on the ground but has faced difficulties running behind an offensive line that has been inconsistent in both pass protection and run blocking. Purdue’s receiving corps, led by TJ Sheffield and Deion Burks, has been a relative bright spot, combining for over 1,200 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns. However, the lack of a balanced offensive attack has made it difficult for the Boilermakers to sustain drives and generate scoring opportunities. Michigan State’s offense, on the other hand, has been more reliable, averaging 24.8 points per game. Quarterback Katin Houser has been a key contributor, throwing for 2,145 yards with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Houser has benefited from a solid offensive line and a complementary rushing attack led by Jalen Berger, who has accumulated 678 yards and 6 touchdowns this season.
Michigan State’s balanced approach, with an average of 245 passing yards and 140 rushing yards per game, has kept opposing defenses guessing. The Spartans’ ability to sustain drives and control the clock has been a critical factor in their four wins this season. Defensively, Purdue has struggled to stop opponents, allowing 31.2 points per game. Their run defense has been a major weakness, conceding 210.5 rushing yards per game, while the secondary has given up 220.8 passing yards per game. Linebacker Kydran Jenkins has been a standout, leading the team with 75 tackles and 4 sacks, but the defense has lacked depth and consistency. Conversely, Michigan State’s defense has been more effective, allowing 26.5 points per game. The Spartans’ run defense has been solid, holding opponents to 130.7 rushing yards per game, but their pass defense has shown vulnerabilities, surrendering 245.3 passing yards per game. Defensive end Simeon Barrow and linebacker Cal Haladay have anchored the unit, with Barrow contributing 6 sacks and Haladay leading the team with 82 tackles. With Michigan State playing at home and boasting a more balanced offense and a slightly better defense, they are the clear favorites. Purdue’s best chance lies in limiting turnovers and finding ways to exploit Michigan State’s secondary, but their struggles on both sides of the ball make an upset unlikely.
Game week.#BoilerUp | @purdueglobal pic.twitter.com/B5R8OecKZY
— Purdue Football (@BoilerFootball) November 18, 2024
Boilermakers AI Preview
The Michigan State Spartans enter their matchup against Purdue with a 4-5 record under head coach Mel Tucker. The Spartans have shown flashes of potential on both sides of the ball this season, and a win against Purdue would bring them closer to bowl eligibility. Offensively, Michigan State has been effective, averaging 24.8 points per game. Quarterback Katin Houser has been a steady presence, throwing for 2,145 yards with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Houser’s ability to distribute the ball has been key to the Spartans’ success, with wide receivers Montorie Foster Jr. and Tre Mosley combining for over 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. The running game has also been productive, led by Jalen Berger, who has rushed for 678 yards and 6 touchdowns. Michigan State’s offensive line has provided solid protection for Houser, allowing the offense to maintain a balance between the pass and the run. This balance has been critical in sustaining drives and keeping opposing defenses on their heels. Defensively, the Spartans have been solid, allowing 26.5 points per game. The run defense has been a strength, conceding just 130.7 yards per game, thanks to the efforts of defensive linemen Simeon Barrow and linebackers Cal Haladay and Jacoby Windmon. Barrow leads the team with 6 sacks, consistently pressuring opposing quarterbacks, while Haladay has been the team’s top tackler with 82 stops on the season. However, the pass defense has shown vulnerabilities, giving up 245.3 passing yards per game. Despite this, Michigan State’s ability to generate pressure and disrupt offensive rhythm has kept their defense competitive. To secure a win against Purdue, Michigan State will need to exploit the Boilermakers’ defensive weaknesses, particularly their inability to stop the run. Establishing the ground game early with Berger will open up opportunities for Houser to take advantage of Purdue’s vulnerable secondary. Defensively, the Spartans must focus on containing Purdue quarterback Brady Allen and limiting big plays in the passing game. Given their balanced offense, home-field advantage, and more reliable defense, Michigan State is well-positioned to come out on top in this matchup.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Spartans AI Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers have endured a difficult 2024 season, entering the matchup against Michigan State with a 1-8 record under head coach Ryan Walters. The team has faced challenges across the board, particularly on offense, where they have struggled to consistently produce points and sustain drives. Offensively, Purdue has averaged just 17.5 points per game, one of the lowest marks in the Big Ten. Quarterback Brady Allen has shown moments of potential but has struggled with turnovers, throwing for 1,892 yards with 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Allen’s inconsistency has hindered the team’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The rushing attack has been equally disappointing, averaging only 95.7 yards per game. Running back Devin Mockobee leads the team with 432 rushing yards but has faced difficulties finding running lanes due to inconsistent blocking from the offensive line. Purdue’s receiving corps has been a rare bright spot, with TJ Sheffield and Deion Burks combining for over 1,200 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns. However, the lack of balance between the passing and rushing attacks has made the Boilermakers’ offense predictable and easier for opposing defenses to stop. Defensively, Purdue has struggled to contain opponents, allowing 31.2 points per game. The run defense has been a significant weakness, giving up 210.5 rushing yards per game, ranking among the worst in the Big Ten. The pass defense has been marginally better, allowing 220.8 passing yards per game, but the lack of a consistent pass rush has left the secondary exposed. Linebacker Kydran Jenkins has been a bright spot, leading the team with 75 tackles and 4 sacks, but the defense as a whole has lacked playmakers capable of changing the game. Missed tackles, poor coverage, and an inability to generate turnovers have compounded Purdue’s defensive struggles. For Purdue to compete against Michigan State, they will need a near-flawless performance from their offense, particularly quarterback Brady Allen, who must limit turnovers and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Defensively, the Boilermakers will need to find a way to slow down Michigan State’s balanced attack, especially running back Jalen Berger, who has been effective on the ground. While an upset is not impossible, Purdue’s struggles on both sides of the ball make their path to victory narrow.
Game Week in EL pic.twitter.com/mbPSs4sxnF
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) November 19, 2024
Boilermakers vs. Spartans FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Boilermakers and Spartans play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Spartan Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Purdue vs. Michigan State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Boilermakers and Spartans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Purdue’s strength factors between a Boilermakers team going up against a possibly tired Spartans team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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