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Aggies vs. Aggies
FREE CFB AI Predictions
November 16, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 16, 2024
Start Time: 8:45 PM EST
Venue: Kyle Field
Aggies Record: (7-2)
Aggies Record: (2-7)
OPENING ODDS
NMEXST Moneyline: +1325
TXAM Moneyline: -10000
NMEXST Spread: +40
TXAM Spread: -40.0
Over/Under: 55.5
NMEXST
Betting Trends
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, showcasing strong performances against betting expectations.
TXAM
Betting Trends
- New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in their last 3 games, reflecting recent struggles to meet betting projections.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in their last 3 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage at Kyle Field.
NMEXST vs. TXAM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
LIVE CFB ODDS
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AFTER VIGORISH
+322
VS. SPREAD
1686-1506
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$32,199
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/16/24
The Texas A&M Aggies enter this contest with a 7-2 overall record and a 5-1 mark in SEC play, positioning them as contenders in the conference. Offensively, they average 30.9 points per game, led by quarterback Conner Weigman, who has thrown for 2,500 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions this season. Running back Le’Veon Moss contributes significantly to the ground game, rushing for 900 yards and 10 touchdowns. Wide receiver Evan Stewart is a key target, recording 800 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns. The offensive line has been effective, allowing only 12 sacks, which has facilitated both the run and pass games efficiently. Defensively, Texas A&M allows an average of 21.2 points per game. The defense has been effective in generating pressure, recording 28 sacks on the season. Linebacker Edgerrin Cooper leads the team with 70 tackles, providing a steady presence.
The secondary has also been opportunistic, tallying 10 interceptions this season, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on mistakes. Special teams have been a reliable aspect for Texas A&M. Kicker Randy Bond has been consistent, maintaining a field goal conversion rate above the conference average. The return game has also contributed positively, providing the offense with favorable starting field positions. The New Mexico State Aggies hold a 2-7 record and a 1-5 mark in Conference USA play. Offensively, they average 20.6 points per game. Quarterback Diego Pavia leads the passing attack, throwing for 1,800 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions this season. Running back Star Thomas adds balance with 700 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Wide receiver Kordell David is a standout, amassing 600 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. The offensive line has faced challenges, allowing 20 sacks, which has impacted the unit’s consistency. Defensively, New Mexico State allows 37.1 points per game. The defense has been effective in generating pressure, recording 25 sacks on the season. Linebacker Chris Ojoh leads the team with 80 tackles, providing a steady presence. The secondary has also been opportunistic, tallying 8 interceptions this season, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on mistakes. Special teams have been a reliable aspect for New Mexico State. Kicker Ethan Albertson has been consistent, maintaining a field goal conversion rate above the conference average. Additionally, the return game has contributed positively, often providing the Aggies with favorable starting field positions, which has been key to sustaining drives and adding points. This matchup features two teams with contrasting strengths: Texas A&M’s balanced offense and opportunistic defense against New Mexico State’s resilient offense and opportunistic defense. Key factors include Texas A&M’s ability to exploit New Mexico State’s defensive vulnerabilities and maintain offensive momentum, while New Mexico State aims to contain Texas A&M’s explosive plays and capitalize on any turnovers. Special teams performance and turnover margin will also play crucial roles in determining the outcome.
On the road to College Station this week✈️#AggieUp x#RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/86cXgoUbWw
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) November 12, 2024
Aggies AI Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies are enduring a challenging season, holding a 2-7 record and seeking to end their year on a positive note. Offensively, they average 20.6 points per game, powered by quarterback Diego Pavia. Pavia has thrown for 1,800 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions this season, showing flashes of playmaking ability but also struggling with consistency due to turnovers. Running back Star Thomas is a key contributor in the backfield, amassing 700 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns, providing a reliable rushing option that has helped sustain drives. Wide receiver Kordell David has emerged as Pavia’s primary target, recording 600 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, showcasing his ability to make big plays and serve as a dependable target in clutch situations. Defensively, New Mexico State allows an average of 37.1 points per game, a statistic that highlights areas for improvement, especially against high-powered offenses. Linebacker Chris Ojoh leads the team with 80 tackles, providing leadership and stability in the middle of the defense. The New Mexico State defensive front has shown moments of strength, recording 25 sacks on the season, which has been essential in creating pressure and disrupting opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has faced challenges in coverage, occasionally giving up big plays against top-tier passing attacks. With 8 interceptions this season, the secondary has shown an opportunistic streak, but they will need to be disciplined to contain Texas A&M’s balanced offense. Special teams have been a valuable aspect for New Mexico State, with kicker Ethan Albertson providing consistency and accuracy in field goal situations, which has proven crucial in close contests. The return game has also contributed positively, often setting the offense up with advantageous field positions and helping New Mexico State build momentum on special teams plays. Against a high-powered team like Texas A&M, special teams performance and favorable field position could be pivotal in keeping the game close. Under head coach Jerry Kill, New Mexico State has focused on developing a resilient and hard-working team. Offensive coordinator Tim Beck has created a scheme that maximizes Pavia’s dual-threat abilities while allowing Thomas to control the tempo through the ground game. Defensive coordinator Nate Dreiling has emphasized generating pressure and creating turnover opportunities, though consistency remains a priority for the Aggies. In facing Texas A&M, New Mexico State’s goals include limiting turnovers, improving red-zone efficiency, and creating defensive pressure to disrupt A&M’s offensive flow. Key factors for New Mexico State include containing Texas A&M’s playmakers, executing well in the kicking game, and finding ways to sustain drives. A win over Texas A&M would be a significant achievement, providing New Mexico State with momentum and a confidence boost as they look to build for the future. This game offers New Mexico State an opportunity to challenge a formidable opponent and showcase their growth under Coach Kill’s leadership.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Aggies AI Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies have experienced a strong season, currently holding a 7-2 record. Offensively, they average 30.9 points per game, showcasing a balanced and explosive attack. Quarterback Conner Weigman has been instrumental in leading the offense, throwing for 2,500 yards with a 68% completion rate, 20 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. He also contributes to the ground game, adding 200 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. Running back Le’Veon Moss has emerged as a playmaker, recording 900 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, providing a reliable option in the backfield. Wide receiver Evan Stewart has been a key target, recording 800 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns. The offensive line has been effective, allowing only 12 sacks, which has facilitated both the run and pass games efficiently. Defensively, Texas A&M allows an average of 21.2 points per game, indicating a solid performance. The defense has been effective in generating pressure, recording 28 sacks on the season. Linebacker Edgerrin Cooper leads the team with 70 tackles, providing a steady presence on the field. The secondary has also been opportunistic, tallying 10 interceptions this season, showing an ability to capitalize on mistakes and create turnovers. Special teams have been a reliable aspect for Texas A&M. The kicking game has been consistent, with kicker Randy Bond maintaining a field goal conversion rate above the conference average, providing reliability in scoring situations. Additionally, the return game has contributed positively, often providing the Aggies with favorable starting field positions, which has been key to sustaining drives and adding points. Under head coach Mike Elko, Texas A&M has emphasized a balanced offensive approach and aggressive defensive schemes. Offensive coordinator Bobby Petrino has crafted a playbook that leverages Weigman’s passing abilities while providing steady production from the ground game. Defensive coordinator D.J. Durkin has focused on creating a disciplined unit that excels in both coverage and pressure, aiming to disrupt opposing quarterbacks and capitalize on turnovers. Texas A&M’s defense has shown resilience throughout the season, keeping games competitive and limiting big plays from opponents. Heading into this matchup against New Mexico State, Texas A&M’s objectives include sustaining offensive efficiency, maintaining pressure on New Mexico State’s quarterback Diego Pavia, and capitalizing on their home-field advantage to control the pace of the game. A victory over New Mexico State would keep Texas A&M on track for a higher-profile bowl game and help solidify their reputation within the SEC.
𝐋𝐨𝐭𝐭 𝐈𝐌𝐏𝐀𝐂𝐓 𝐓𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐡𝐲 𝐒𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐭, @NicCaraway3 #GigEm | @TheLottTrophy pic.twitter.com/FuEmi640nk
— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) November 12, 2024
Aggies vs. Aggies FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kyle Field in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Aggies and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Aggies team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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