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Eagles vs. Mustangs
FREE CFB AI Predictions
November 16, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 16, 2024
Start Time: 4:30 PM EST​
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium​
Mustangs Record: (8-1)
Eagles Record: (5-4)
OPENING ODDS
BC Moneyline: +523
SMU Moneyline: -775
BC Spread: +16.5
SMU Spread: -16.5
Over/Under: 54
BC
Betting Trends
- Boston College has covered the spread in 4 of their last 8 games, indicating moderate success in meeting betting expectations.
SMU
Betting Trends
- SMU has covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, reflecting a strong performance relative to betting lines.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- SMU has covered the spread in their last 3 home games, showcasing strong performances when playing at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
BC vs. SMU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
LIVE CFB ODDS
CFB ODDS COMPARISON
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AFTER VIGORISH
+344.3
VS. SPREAD
1682-1496
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$34,434
Boston College vs SMU AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/16/24
The Boston College Eagles enter this contest with a 5-4 overall record and a 2-3 mark in ACC play. Offensively, they average 24.8 points per game, with quarterback Thomas Castellanos leading the passing attack. Castellanos has accumulated 2,248 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions this season. He also contributes significantly to the ground game, leading the team with 1,113 rushing yards and adding 13 rushing touchdowns. Wide receiver Lewis Bond is a key target, leading the team with 646 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. The offensive line has faced challenges, allowing 18 sacks, which has impacted the unit’s consistency. Defensively, Boston College allows an average of 28.3 points per game. The defense has struggled to contain opponents, allowing 202.1 passing yards and 187.9 rushing yards per game. Linebacker Vinny DePalma leads the team with 91 tackles, providing a steady presence on the field. The defensive line has shown strength in creating pressure, recording 20 sacks, which has helped to disrupt opposing offenses. The secondary has also been opportunistic, tallying 8 interceptions this season, showing an ability to capitalize on mistakes and create turnovers. Special teams have been a reliable aspect for Boston College. The kicking game has been consistent, with kicker Liam Connor maintaining a field goal conversion rate above the conference average, providing reliability in scoring situations. Additionally, the return game has contributed positively, often providing the Eagles with favorable starting field positions, which has been key to sustaining drives and adding points.
The SMU Mustangs hold a 7-1 record, including a 4-0 mark in ACC play. Offensively, they average 38.7 points per game, with quarterback Preston Stone leading the passing attack. Stone has thrown for 3,197 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions this season. Running back Jaylan Knighton adds balance with 745 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns. Wide receiver Jake Bailey is a standout, amassing 528 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. The offensive line has been solid, allowing only 10 sacks, facilitating both the run and pass games effectively. Defensively, SMU allows 17.8 points per game. The defense has been effective in generating pressure, recording 28 sacks on the season. Linebacker Kobe Wilson leads the team with 73 tackles, bringing stability and experience to the field. The secondary has recorded 12 interceptions, highlighting their opportunistic nature. Special teams have been a reliable aspect for SMU. The kicking game has been consistent, with kicker Collin Rogers maintaining a field goal conversion rate above the conference average. The return game has also contributed positively, providing the offense with favorable starting field positions. This matchup features two teams with contrasting strengths: Boston College’s balanced offense against SMU’s high-powered attack. Key factors include Boston College’s ability to protect Castellanos and establish the run game, while SMU aims to exploit Boston College’s defensive vulnerabilities. Special teams performance and turnover margin will also play crucial roles in determining the outcome.
No easy yards. #EarnIt pic.twitter.com/T2FN8V4dNq
— Boston College Football (@BCFootball) November 11, 2024
Eagles AI Preview
The SMU Mustangs have experienced a strong season, holding an impressive 7-1 record, with a powerful offense that averages 38.7 points per game. Quarterback Preston Stone has been a standout, passing for 3,197 yards with a 66% completion rate, 28 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions, showcasing his efficiency and deep-play capability. Stone’s passing game is complemented by a dynamic running attack led by Jaylan Knighton, who has rushed for 745 yards and 9 touchdowns. Knighton’s consistency on the ground provides balance to the Mustangs’ offense, helping keep opposing defenses on their heels. Wide receiver Jake Bailey is a crucial target in the passing game, recording 528 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, and consistently contributing to the Mustangs’ big-play potential. The offensive line has performed well, allowing only 10 sacks, facilitating the effectiveness of both passing and rushing attacks. Defensively, SMU has been solid, allowing an average of 17.8 points per game. Linebacker Kobe Wilson leads the defense with 73 tackles, providing leadership and physical presence on the field. The defensive front has been effective at pressuring opposing quarterbacks, recording 28 sacks, which has limited big-play opportunities and disrupted offensive rhythm for opponents. The secondary has also proven effective, tallying 12 interceptions this season, which underscores their ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes and maintain a positive turnover margin. Special teams have been reliable for the Mustangs, with kicker Collin Rogers maintaining a high field goal conversion rate above the conference average. Additionally, the return game has proven valuable, often setting up the offense with favorable starting positions that have helped sustain scoring drives. These efforts on special teams have supported SMU’s high-scoring potential, making them a well-rounded team. Under head coach Rhett Lashlee, SMU has emphasized an aggressive, high-scoring offense and a defense that excels in creating pressure and forcing turnovers. Offensive coordinator Casey Woods has developed a balanced approach that leverages Stone’s passing abilities and Knighton’s ground game, creating an offense that adapts well to varying defensive schemes. Defensive coordinator Scott Symons has focused on a disruptive defense, built on quarterback pressure and strong secondary play that generates turnovers. With an eye on securing a top bowl invitation, SMU looks to maintain its winning streak, continue efficient offensive production, and further solidify its defensive presence. Key focus areas include refining red-zone efficiency, limiting turnovers, and maintaining discipline on both sides of the ball to close out the season on a high note. The matchup against Boston College is a valuable opportunity for the Mustangs to showcase their strengths, end the season with momentum, and prepare for postseason success.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Mustangs AI Preview
The Boston College Eagles have experienced a competitive season, currently holding a 5-4 record. Offensively, they average 24.8 points per game, showcasing a balanced attack. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos has been instrumental in leading the offense, throwing for 2,248 yards with a 62% completion rate, 15 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. He also contributes significantly to the ground game, leading the team with 1,113 rushing yards and adding 13 rushing touchdowns. Wide receiver Lewis Bond has emerged as a playmaker, recording 646 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, providing a reliable target for Castellanos. The offensive line has faced challenges, allowing 18 sacks, which has impacted the unit’s consistency. Defensively, Boston College allows an average of 28.3 points per game, indicating areas for improvement. The defense has faced challenges in containing opponents, allowing 202.1 passing yards and 187.9 rushing yards per game. Linebacker Vinny DePalma leads the team with 91 tackles, providing a steady presence on the field. The defensive line has shown strength in creating pressure, recording 20 sacks, which has helped to disrupt opposing offenses. The secondary has also been opportunistic, tallying 8 interceptions this season, showing an ability to capitalize on mistakes and create turnovers. Special teams have been a reliable aspect for Boston College. The kicking game has been consistent, with kicker Liam Connor maintaining a field goal conversion rate above the conference average, providing reliability in scoring situations. Additionally, the return game has contributed positively, often providing the Eagles with favorable starting field positions, which has been key to sustaining drives and adding points. Under head coach Jeff Hafley, Boston College has emphasized a balanced offensive approach and aggressive defensive schemes. Offensive coordinator John McNulty has crafted a playbook that leverages Castellanos’ dual-threat capabilities while providing steady production from the ground game. Defensive coordinator Tem Lukabu has focused on creating a disciplined unit that excels in coverage and capitalizes on turnover opportunities. The defense, while allowing a high average of points, has shown resilience through key interceptions and sacks that disrupt opposing offenses. Looking forward, Boston College aims to finish the season strong and secure bowl eligibility. Key areas of focus for the Eagles include enhancing third-down efficiency, improving pass protection to support Castellanos, and tightening defensive coverage against high-powered offenses. The matchup against SMU presents an opportunity for Boston College to demonstrate its offensive versatility and defensive tenacity as they look to close out the season with a winning record and build momentum heading into postseason play.
The city needs us.#PonyUpDallas | @SMUBookstore pic.twitter.com/SxNLVm8E96
— SMU Football (@SMUFB) November 11, 2024
Eagles vs. Mustangs FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Eagles and Mustangs play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Boston College vs. SMU CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Eagles and Mustangs and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Eagles team going up against a possibly strong Mustangs team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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