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Ohio State and Penn State bring two of the Big Ten’s best defenses into a high-stakes game that could shape the conference standings and playoff implications. Ohio State, anchored by its defense allowing an impressive 9.7 points per game, excels at limiting explosive plays and has a disciplined secondary that challenges opposing quarterbacks. Led by quarterback Will Howard, Ohio State’s offense is efficient, but it has shown some inconsistency, particularly in high-pressure moments. Marvin Harrison Jr., a premier wide receiver, gives the Buckeyes a deep threat that can stretch Penn State’s defense.
Conversely, Penn State’s offense, led by Drew Allar, prioritizes short, controlled plays, emphasizing time of possession and minimizing turnovers. Penn State averages 44.3 points per game, but its approach is methodical, relying on productive drives rather than explosive plays. Defensively, the Nittany Lions are stellar, allowing just 8.0 points per game, making them the perfect counter to Ohio State’s typically aggressive offensive style. This game will likely come down to efficiency in the red zone, third-down conversions, and which defense can create turnovers in key moments.
Burke with the Boom ‼️ @DenzelBurke10 pic.twitter.com/b4jAcRsZth
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) October 28, 2024
The Ohio State Buckeyes head into Beaver Stadium with a defense-first mindset, allowing just 9.7 points per game and excelling in third-down and red-zone stops. Defensive leaders like Tommy Eichenberg and J.T. Tuimoloau are crucial to Ohio State’s game plan, bringing physicality and the ability to disrupt opposing quarterbacks. On offense, quarterback Will Howard, who has 1,795 passing yards and 17 touchdowns, leads a unit that is both powerful and disciplined, though their offensive line has been vulnerable at times, especially in short-yardage scenarios. Wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. adds a dangerous downfield threat, but Ohio State’s balanced attack also relies on running back Quinshon Judkins, who has consistently moved the chains on the ground. Coach Ryan Day’s focus will be on executing a balanced offense that pressures Penn State’s defense, taking advantage of their occasional struggles with deep coverage. The Buckeyes’ path to victory hinges on maintaining their defensive excellence while capitalizing on Penn State’s cautious offensive strategy to create key turnovers and secure another Big Ten win.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Penn State’s impressive home record this season reflects their defensive dominance and tactical offensive execution. Quarterback Drew Allar’s consistency, with 12 touchdowns and no interceptions, highlights his ability to avoid mistakes, while running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen provide balance on the ground. Penn State’s passing attack, with top target KeAndre Lambert-Smith, can be productive but tends to be conservative, focusing on ball control and avoiding risky throws. Defensively, Penn State’s aggressive front, led by Adisa Isaac and Curtis Jacobs, excels at putting pressure on quarterbacks and stopping the run, a critical factor when facing Ohio State’s multifaceted attack. Penn State’s secondary, with players like Cam Miller, has been effective in limiting big plays, which will be essential against Ohio State’s Marvin Harrison Jr. Coach James Franklin’s strategy will focus on controlling the game’s tempo, using efficient drives to keep Ohio State’s offense off the field while maintaining a disciplined, high-pressure defense to force the Buckeyes into mistakes.
🗣️ CALLING ON NITTANY NATION
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) October 28, 2024
We need you to show up & show out at BOTH live shows on Saturday.
Let's show the country we have the BEST fans & atmosphere on 2⃣ national broadcasts.@BNKonFOX + @CollegeGameDay
Be EARLY. Be LOUD. We Are! pic.twitter.com/8acVOz0zHv
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Beaver Stadium in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Buckeyes team going up against a possibly strong Nittany Lions team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
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