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The matchup between SMU and Duke on October 26, 2024, is shaping up to be a battle between two of the top teams in the ACC. SMU, at 6-1, has been one of the most explosive offenses in the country, averaging over 40 points per game behind the dynamic play of quarterback Preston Stone. Stone has thrown for over 2,000 yards and 18 touchdowns, making SMU a dangerous team to defend. Their balanced attack, with running back LJ Johnson Jr. rushing for over 700 yards this season, keeps defenses off balance. Defensively, SMU has improved, allowing 22.33 points per game, but they have shown vulnerability against teams that can stretch the field. Duke, also 6-1, enters the game with a stout defense that has been their calling card.
The Blue Devils allow just 17.29 points per game, and they’ve been particularly strong at home, limiting opponents to under 20 points in most matchups. Quarterback Riley Leonard has been solid, throwing for over 1,500 yards and 12 touchdowns, but Duke’s offense has been more methodical, averaging just 25.86 points per game. They rely on their defense to keep them in games and control the tempo. For Duke to pull off the upset, they’ll need to slow down SMU’s high-powered offense and find ways to control the clock with long, sustained drives.
Final pic.twitter.com/TIThNMQiRO
— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) October 20, 2024
The SMU Mustangs have been one of the top teams in the ACC this season, boasting a 6-1 record and one of the most explosive offenses in college football. Led by quarterback Preston Stone, SMU averages over 40 points per game, and their offense has been a nightmare for opposing defenses. Stone has thrown for over 2,000 yards and 18 touchdowns, and running back LJ Johnson Jr. has added over 700 rushing yards to provide balance to their attack. SMU’s offense is built on speed and big plays, making them one of the most difficult teams to defend. Defensively, SMU has been solid but not elite, allowing 22.33 points per game. They have shown vulnerability against teams that can move the ball through the air, which could be a concern against Duke’s efficient passing attack. For SMU, the key to success will be keeping the pressure on Duke’s defense and avoiding turnovers. If they can execute their offensive game plan, they should be able to outpace Duke and secure a road victory. However, they’ll need to be prepared for a low-scoring, grind-it-out type of game that Duke is likely to impose at home.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Duke Blue Devils are enjoying a strong 2024 season, entering this game with a 6-1 record and one of the top defenses in the ACC. Duke’s defense has been stellar, allowing just 17.29 points per game, and they’ve excelled at shutting down opponents at home. Linebacker Dorian Mausi and defensive back Jaylen Stinson have been key playmakers, and the Blue Devils have been effective at limiting big plays. Their offense, led by quarterback Riley Leonard, is more balanced but lacks the explosive nature of SMU’s attack. Leonard has been efficient, with over 1,500 passing yards and 12 touchdowns, but the Blue Devils rely heavily on their defense to win games. For Duke, the key to victory will be slowing down SMU’s high-powered offense. Duke’s defense will need to create pressure on Preston Stone and force SMU into difficult third-down situations. If Duke can limit SMU’s scoring opportunities and control the clock with their ground game, they’ll have a chance to upset the Mustangs at home.
Playmaker making plays 😈 @Ozzie_Nicholas pic.twitter.com/CVS7JKpp5Y
— Duke Football (@DukeFOOTBALL) October 21, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Mustangs and Blue Devils play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Mustangs and Blue Devils and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on SMU’s strength factors between a Mustangs team going up against a possibly rested Blue Devils team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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