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The October 19, 2024, matchup between Texas State and Old Dominion will be a pivotal Sun Belt clash as both teams aim to shape their seasons. Texas State has been one of the more pleasant surprises in the conference, boasting a 4-2 record and a balanced offensive attack that can exploit Old Dominion’s vulnerable defense. Quarterback TJ Finley has been efficient for the Bobcats, orchestrating an offense that is averaging over 35 points per game. Running back Ismail Mahdi has been a revelation, pacing the ground game with his explosive runs and versatility in the passing game. Meanwhile, Old Dominion, at 2-4, has had an up-and-down season.
They’ve struggled defensively, particularly in stopping the pass, allowing over 250 yards per game through the air. Their offense has also lacked consistency, with flashes of potential being overshadowed by turnovers and third-down inefficiency. The Monarchs will need a complete team effort, especially on defense, to slow down a Texas State team that thrives on offensive rhythm. The Bobcats are the favorites coming into this matchup, and their high-powered offense will be key in deciding the game’s outcome.
on wednesday's we work#GoNavy | #RollGoats pic.twitter.com/rk4zoygkZP
— Navy Football (@NavyFB) October 16, 2024
The Texas State Bobcats enter this game with plenty of momentum, having won four of their first six games in 2024. Head coach G.J. Kinne has his team playing at a high level, particularly on offense, where the Bobcats have become one of the more dangerous teams in the Sun Belt. Quarterback TJ Finley, a transfer, has settled into the offense and is playing some of the best football of his career, leading a unit that averages over 35 points per game. He’s got weapons all around him, with running back Ismail Mahdi delivering explosive plays in both the rushing and passing game. The Bobcats’ offensive line has done a great job protecting Finley, allowing him to dissect defenses with ease. On defense, Texas State has shown improvement compared to previous years, with a more aggressive scheme that has been able to generate pressure and force turnovers. However, the Bobcats still have some areas to clean up, particularly in the secondary, where they’ve been prone to giving up big plays. Against Old Dominion, Texas State will look to exploit the Monarchs’ defensive struggles, especially through the air. If Finley can continue to connect with his playmakers, and the defense can contain Old Dominion’s offense, the Bobcats should be in a good position to improve to 5-2 on the season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Old Dominion Monarchs are looking to regain form after a challenging first half of the season. Sitting at 2-4, the Monarchs have been competitive in several games but have failed to close out in crucial moments. Their struggles on defense have been evident, as they’ve allowed over 30 points in four of their six games. Much of the defense’s issues stem from their inability to stop the pass, ranking near the bottom of the Sun Belt in pass defense. However, the Monarchs are capable of surprising teams with their pass rush, which has created some turnovers and havoc against weaker offensive lines. Offensively, Old Dominion has yet to find consistent production, particularly at the quarterback position. While there have been glimpses of potential, including standout performances from wide receiver Ali Jennings, the Monarchs have been prone to turnovers and inefficiency on third downs. In this upcoming game, Old Dominion will rely heavily on its home-field advantage and an energetic crowd to provide the spark they need. If they can control the clock with their running game and limit big plays from Texas State’s offense, Old Dominion may have a shot to pull off the upset.
Fresh lids for Homecoming! 🥶🥶🥶#ReignOn | #RFG pic.twitter.com/eDTpxMADn5
— ODU Football (@ODUFootball) October 16, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Bobcats and Monarchs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Bobcats and Monarchs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors often put on Texas State’s strength factors between a Bobcats team going up against a possibly unhealthy Monarchs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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