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On October 19, 2024, the New Mexico Lobos will travel to face the Utah State Aggies in a crucial Mountain West Conference matchup. Both teams have struggled this season, with New Mexico standing at 2-4 and Utah State at 1-5. New Mexico comes off a thrilling 52-37 victory over Air Force, where quarterback Devon Dampier led the charge with 1488 passing yards on the season. Dampier’s dual-threat ability adds a dimension to New Mexico’s offense, as he also leads the team in rushing with 382 yards. However, the Lobos’ defense has been a weak point, allowing over 42 points per game. Utah State, under the leadership of quarterback Spencer Petras, has struggled to find consistency. Petras has thrown for 1,271 yards with nine touchdowns and six interceptions, but the Aggies have faced difficulties on both sides of the ball.
They are allowing 42.8 points per game, which mirrors New Mexico’s defensive woes. The Aggies’ defense has been particularly vulnerable against the pass, giving up 271.5 passing yards per game, which could prove problematic against a mobile quarterback like Dampier. Both teams rank near the bottom of the Mountain West in defensive statistics, suggesting that the game could be a shootout. For New Mexico, the key to victory will be leveraging their offensive balance while tightening up their defense, particularly in the secondary. For Utah State, home-field advantage and limiting turnovers will be crucial as they look to snap their five-game losing streak.
Home Wins Just Hit Different 🏠🔥#505SVF | #EarnedNotGiven | #GoLobos pic.twitter.com/f1CBzZHstI
— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) October 16, 2024
The New Mexico Lobos come into this game with a 2-4 record but are riding the momentum of a 52-37 win over Air Force. Devon Dampier, who leads the team in both passing and rushing, will be the focal point of New Mexico’s attack. Dampier’s ability to extend plays with his legs adds an extra dimension that Utah State’s defense may struggle to contain. The Lobos average 35.3 points per game, but their defense has been leaky, allowing opponents to score 42.7 points per game. New Mexico’s offensive balance, with solid contributions from running back Luke Wysong and receiver Nic Trujillo, will be key in outscoring the Aggies. However, their defense will need to step up, especially against the Aggies’ capable passing attack. If New Mexico can limit turnovers and capitalize on Utah State’s defensive weaknesses, they could come out of Logan with a much-needed win.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Utah State enters this game with a disappointing 1-5 record, and they will be looking to reverse their fortunes against New Mexico. The Aggies’ season has been marked by defensive struggles, giving up an average of 42.8 points per game. Their secondary has been exploited by opposing quarterbacks, allowing over 270 passing yards per game. Offensively, Spencer Petras has shown moments of brilliance but has also thrown six interceptions. His connection with wide receiver Jalen Royals, who has accumulated 646 receiving yards this season, will be crucial if Utah State hopes to keep pace with New Mexico’s offense. On the ground, the Aggies rely on Rahsul Faison, who has rushed for 587 yards this season. While the offense has been able to generate yards, Utah State’s inability to close out drives and their defensive breakdowns have been their downfall. They will need to force turnovers and win the time-of-possession battle if they hope to secure a win at home, where they are 2-1 ATS this season.
Come to Ruby’s tonight for the coaches radio show featuring. Broc Lane and Lawrence Falatea with Coach Cefalo and Coach McMillen pic.twitter.com/M6iIIwxdRf
— USU Football (@USUFootball) October 16, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Lobos and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Lobos and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Lobos team going up against a possibly unhealthy Aggies team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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