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The upcoming matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans on October 19, 2024, is an important game for both Big Ten teams. Iowa enters the game with a 4-2 record, continuing to rely on its top-tier defense and efficient rushing attack. The Hawkeyes have allowed just 17.7 points per game this season, making them one of the better defensive units in the conference. Offensively, quarterback Cade McNamara has had a steady, if unspectacular, season, with 794 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions.
However, the real strength of Iowa’s offense lies in its rushing attack, led by Kaleb Johnson, who has racked up 937 yards on the ground. Johnson’s ability to control the tempo of the game and keep Iowa’s offense on the field will be key against a Michigan State defense that has shown vulnerability against the run. Michigan State, sitting at 3-3, has struggled in recent weeks, losing its last two games to Oregon and Ohio State. Quarterback Aidan Chiles has had a challenging season, throwing for 1,212 yards but also 8 interceptions. Michigan State’s offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 19.8 points per game, and their struggles in the passing game have compounded their difficulties in generating points. The Spartans’ rushing game, led by Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams, has also been underwhelming, putting additional pressure on Chiles to carry the offense.
Game Seven Captains.#Hawkeyes pic.twitter.com/98pxxXGoFi
— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) October 16, 2024
The Iowa Hawkeyes enter this game with a 4-2 record, looking to continue their strong season. Iowa’s defense has been its calling card, allowing just 17.7 points per game and ranking among the best in the Big Ten. Linebacker Jay Higgins leads the defense with 47 tackles, while Aaron Graves has been effective in generating pressure with 5 sacks. Offensively, Iowa leans heavily on its rushing attack, with Kaleb Johnson leading the way with 937 yards and 13 touchdowns. The Hawkeyes are averaging 29.2 points per game, but their passing game has been more conservative, with Cade McNamara managing the offense effectively. For Iowa, the key to victory will be establishing the run and controlling the clock. Their defense will look to pressure Aidan Chiles and force turnovers, while the offense will aim to wear down Michigan State’s front seven with a steady diet of runs. If Iowa can execute their game plan and avoid costly mistakes, they should be able to come away with a win on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Michigan State Spartans come into this game with a 3-3 record, but they are in desperate need of a win to stay competitive in the Big Ten. The Spartans’ offense, led by quarterback Aidan Chiles, has struggled with turnovers and consistency. Chiles has thrown 8 interceptions this season, and Michigan State’s passing game ranks near the bottom of the Big Ten. Running back Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams has provided some balance to the offense, but with only 338 rushing yards on the season, the Spartans have been unable to establish a reliable ground game. Defensively, Michigan State has been solid but unspectacular. They are allowing 21 points per game and have had difficulty stopping opposing rushing attacks, which could spell trouble against Iowa. The Spartans will need a near-flawless performance from their defense to slow down Kaleb Johnson and force Iowa into third-and-long situations. If Michigan State can limit turnovers and capitalize on Iowa’s offensive mistakes, they may have a chance to keep the game close.
our Homecoming attire 🪡 pic.twitter.com/P3CJCFzt2z
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) October 16, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Hawkeyes and Spartans play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Spartan Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Hawkeyes and Spartans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Hawkeyes team going up against a possibly improved Spartans team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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