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On October 19, 2024, the Ball State Cardinals will face the Vanderbilt Commodores in a non-conference showdown at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville. Ball State enters this matchup with a 2-4 record, looking to rebound after several tough losses in the MAC. The Cardinals’ offense, led by quarterback Kiael Kelly, has struggled to find rhythm, averaging just 17.5 points per game. Running back Marquez Cooper has provided some spark, with over 400 rushing yards on the season, but Ball State has lacked the consistency to compete against stronger defenses. Vanderbilt, on the other hand, is enjoying a 4-2 start to the season, driven by a balanced offensive attack.
Quarterback AJ Swann has been efficient, passing for over 1,600 yards and 12 touchdowns, while running back Sedrick Alexander has rushed for over 600 yards. The Commodores’ offense has averaged 30 points per game, and they will look to exploit Ball State’s defense, which has allowed over 28 points per game. Vanderbilt’s defense has also been strong, allowing just 21 points per game, which will likely be a challenge for Ball State’s offense. This matchup heavily favors Vanderbilt, given their superior offensive and defensive performances so far this season. Ball State will need to play a near-perfect game, limiting turnovers and establishing their run game early, to stay competitive.
A season-high seven sacks for the defense at Kent State 👀#1AAT x #WeFly x #Team100 pic.twitter.com/eDG68Jtd9A
— Ball State Football (@BallStateFB) October 16, 2024
The Ball State Cardinals have had a rough season so far, with a 2-4 record and struggling on both sides of the ball. Offensively, Ball State has averaged just 17.5 points per game, and quarterback Kiael Kelly has faced challenges in leading a productive passing attack. Running back Marquez Cooper has been a bright spot, rushing for over 400 yards, but the offense has been unable to find consistency. The Cardinals will need to establish their ground game early against Vanderbilt’s stout defense to have any chance of controlling the tempo. Defensively, Ball State has been inconsistent, allowing over 28 points per game, which could be exploited by Vanderbilt’s efficient offense. The Cardinals’ secondary has been vulnerable, particularly against teams with strong passing games like Vanderbilt. For Ball State to stay competitive, they will need to limit big plays and force turnovers. Given their ATS struggles this season and difficulties on the road, the Cardinals face an uphill battle in this matchup.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Vanderbilt Commodores enter this game with a 4-2 record and are aiming to continue their successful season. Vanderbilt’s offense, led by quarterback AJ Swann, has been firing on all cylinders, with Swann accumulating over 1,600 passing yards and 12 touchdowns. The Commodores’ offensive line has provided excellent protection, allowing Swann time to make big plays, while running back Sedrick Alexander has complemented the passing attack with over 600 rushing yards. Defensively, Vanderbilt has been solid, allowing just 21 points per game. Linebacker De’Rickey Wright leads the defense with 45 tackles and has been instrumental in stopping the run. Vanderbilt’s ability to generate pressure on opposing quarterbacks has helped them win key games this season. Heading into this matchup against a struggling Ball State team, Vanderbilt will look to dominate in both the run and pass games. The Commodores’ success at home gives them a significant edge, as they have consistently covered the spread in their last five home games.
Celebrate the victory over Kentucky by supporting our student-athletes through @AnchorImpact!
— Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) October 13, 2024
🔗 https://t.co/UceJ1bVm1Z pic.twitter.com/focabgt6Xy
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Cardinals and Commodores play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at FirstBank Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Cardinals and Commodores and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Vanderbilt’s strength factors between a Cardinals team going up against a possibly healthy Commodores team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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