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The Alabama vs. Tennessee rivalry, known as the “Third Saturday in October,” will be renewed on October 19, 2024. Both teams enter with identical 5-1 records, but Alabama comes in as the 3-point favorite. Alabama’s season has been highlighted by the play of quarterback Jalen Milroe, who has thrown for nearly 1,500 yards and 12 touchdowns. He has been particularly effective in big games, leading a balanced Crimson Tide offense that averages over 40 points per game. The Alabama defense, while allowing some yardage through the air, has been tough in the red zone, holding opponents to under 21 points per game.
Tennessee, on the other hand, relies heavily on their rushing attack led by Dylan Sampson, who has rushed for nearly 700 yards this season. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has struggled with consistency, throwing for just over 1,200 yards, and the Vols’ passing game has been a weak point. Defensively, Tennessee is stout against the run but vulnerable in the secondary, which could spell trouble against Alabama’s dynamic passing attack. For Tennessee to win, they will need a strong performance from their defense and a balanced offensive attack. Alabama will look to exploit Tennessee’s weaknesses in the secondary and control the game with their balanced offense and disciplined defense.
BAMA ❌ @NFL ❌ WK6
— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) October 16, 2024
➡️ https://t.co/NB7qiWtXEi
📱: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/cOe1JR4SDj #RollTide ❌ #BuiltByBama pic.twitter.com/qspK6wbIuV
The Alabama Crimson Tide, at 5-1, are once again in the thick of the SEC race and are aiming for a College Football Playoff spot. Alabama’s offense, led by quarterback Jalen Milroe, has been explosive, averaging over 40 points per game. Milroe has been efficient, throwing for 12 touchdowns while limiting mistakes, which has been key to Alabama’s success. Running back Jam Miller has also been a vital part of the offense, contributing to a balanced attack that averages nearly 180 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Alabama has been strong, particularly in limiting opponents in the red zone, allowing just over 20 points per game. While the defense has given up some yards through the air, they have been effective at creating turnovers and getting key stops. Alabama’s secondary will be tested against Tennessee’s vertical passing game, but their defensive line, led by Jihaad Campbell, should be able to pressure Tennessee’s quarterback and limit big plays. Alabama’s ability to control both lines of scrimmage, combined with their offensive firepower, makes them the favorites in this matchup. However, they must avoid mistakes on the road in a hostile environment at Neyland Stadium to come away with the win.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Tennessee Volunteers are coming off a mixed first half of the season, with a 5-1 record that has been built on the strength of their running game and defense. Running back Dylan Sampson has been the heart of the offense, averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground. However, quarterback Nico Iamaleava has struggled with consistency, particularly against tougher defenses, which has limited Tennessee’s ability to stretch the field through the air. The Volunteers’ offensive line has been solid in the run game but has had issues protecting Iamaleava, leading to costly mistakes in passing situations. On defense, Tennessee has been strong against the run, allowing fewer than 80 rushing yards per game, but their secondary has been a weak point, allowing nearly 250 passing yards per game. This will be a major concern against an Alabama offense that can move the ball through the air effectively. For Tennessee to have a chance at upsetting Alabama, they will need to control the tempo of the game with their running attack, limit turnovers, and force Alabama into third-and-long situations where they can pressure Jalen Milroe. Neyland Stadium will provide a strong home-field advantage, but the Volunteers will need to execute at a high level to pull off the upset.
Decibel Neyland. 👂💥#GBO 🍊pic.twitter.com/yq7fjQ9Tup
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) October 16, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Crimson Tide and Volunteers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Neyland Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Crimson Tide and Volunteers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Crimson Tide team going up against a possibly rested Volunteers team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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