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The Wisconsin Badgers and Rutgers Scarlet Knights are set for a Big Ten showdown on October 12, 2024. Rutgers is having one of its best starts in recent years, boasting a 4-1 record and looking to build on its early success. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is coming off a tough stretch and needs a victory to regain momentum in the conference. With Rutgers favored by 2.5 points, this game could hinge on defensive matchups and turnovers. The Badgers’ offense, led by quarterback Braedyn Locke, has been inconsistent, averaging 21.5 points per game. Locke has struggled with turnovers, which has stalled Wisconsin’s progress in several games. Running back Braelon Allen, who has been their main offensive weapon, will need to have a big game to alleviate pressure off Locke and the passing attack.
Defensively, the Badgers have been solid, allowing 23.6 points per game, but they have struggled against explosive offenses, which could be an issue against a high-scoring Rutgers team. Rutgers, led by quarterback Gavin Wimsatt, has been efficient, averaging 35 points per game. Wimsatt’s dual-threat ability has been a game-changer, making it difficult for defenses to contain him both in the air and on the ground. Running back Samuel Brown V has also been a key contributor, adding balance to their offense. Defensively, Rutgers has been excellent, allowing just 18.5 points per game. Their pass rush, led by defensive end Aaron Lewis, has been dominant, and they will look to put pressure on Locke to force mistakes. Overall, this game will likely come down to which team can establish its running game and avoid costly turnovers. If Wisconsin’s offensive line can control the line of scrimmage, they have a chance to grind out a win. However, Rutgers’ strong defense and home-field advantage give them the edge.
💯@_TJWatt becomes the second-fastest player to reach 𝟭𝟬𝟬 𝗰𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀.
— Wisconsin Football (@BadgerFootball) October 7, 2024
Congrats, T.J.‼️ pic.twitter.com/lthRLYiWSG
The Wisconsin Badgers enter this game with a 3-2 record and plenty of questions to answer. Quarterback Braedyn Locke has struggled with consistency, and the offense has failed to find a rhythm. The Badgers’ bread and butter remains the rushing attack, with Braelon Allen leading the way. Allen has rushed for over 500 yards this season, but he has been bottled up in key moments, which has put additional pressure on Locke and the passing game. Defensively, Wisconsin has been solid but not spectacular. They have allowed 23.6 points per game and have struggled against teams that can stretch the field vertically. This could be an issue against Rutgers, who has a dynamic quarterback in Wimsatt. The Badgers’ secondary will be tested, and they must find a way to limit big plays. The defensive line, led by Keeanu Benton, will need to step up and generate pressure to disrupt Wimsatt’s timing. For Wisconsin to win, they must establish Allen early and control the clock. If Locke is forced to throw in obvious passing situations, Rutgers’ pass rush could cause problems. Defensively, the Badgers need to play disciplined football and keep Wimsatt contained in the pocket. If they can execute their game plan, they have a chance to pull off the upset on the road, but it will require a complete performance.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have been one of the pleasant surprises in the Big Ten this season, starting with a 4-1 record. Head coach Greg Schiano has built a balanced team that can compete on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Gavin Wimsatt has been the catalyst for the offense, throwing for over 900 yards and rushing for an additional 250 yards, along with 10 total touchdowns. His ability to extend plays and keep defenses guessing has been a key factor in Rutgers’ early success. The rushing attack, led by Samuel Brown V, has complemented Wimsatt’s play, averaging 190.25 yards per game. This balanced approach has allowed Rutgers to control the tempo and dominate time of possession. Defensively, the Scarlet Knights have been stingy, allowing just 18.5 points per game. The front seven has been disruptive, led by Aaron Lewis, who has four sacks on the season. Their ability to generate pressure has helped them force turnovers and limit big plays. For Rutgers, the key to victory will be maintaining offensive balance and taking advantage of Wisconsin’s suspect pass defense. If they can establish the run and set up play-action opportunities for Wimsatt, they should be able to put up enough points to secure the win. Defensively, Rutgers needs to shut down Wisconsin’s ground game and force Braedyn Locke into making quick decisions, which could lead to turnovers.
Final pic.twitter.com/LO573cJ1PY
— Rutgers Football (@RFootball) October 5, 2024
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Badgers and Scarlet Knights play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at SHI Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Badgers and Scarlet Knights and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Wisconsin’s strength factors between a Badgers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Scarlet Knights team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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