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Commodores vs. Wildcats
FREE CFB AI Predictions
October 12, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 12, 2024
Start Time: 7:45 PM EST
Venue: Kroger Field
Wildcats Record: (0-0)
Commodores Record: (3-2)
OPENING ODDS
VANDY Moneyline: +421
UK Moneyline: -575
VANDY Spread: +13.5
UK Spread: -13.5
Over/Under: 46
VANDY
Betting Trends
- Vanderbilt is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games. Despite having a modest straight-up record, the Commodores have consistently covered, showcasing their competitiveness.
UK
Betting Trends
- Kentucky is also 4-1 ATS in its last five games, performing well against the spread even in tough matchups. The Wildcats have been strong defensively, contributing to their success in covering the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kentucky is currently 13-point favorites, but Vanderbilt has shown an ability to play above expectations, making them an intriguing underdog. Furthermore, Kentucky games have trended toward the under, with a 1-4 Over/Under record this season.
VANDY vs. UK
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+381.91
VS. SPREAD
1574-1385
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$38,191
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/12/24
The Vanderbilt Commodores will travel to face the Kentucky Wildcats on October 12, 2024, in a pivotal SEC matchup. Both teams enter the contest with identical 3-2 records, but Kentucky is the heavy favorite, boasting a -13 point spread advantage. The Wildcats have been formidable at home this season, while Vanderbilt has struggled to maintain consistency. This game will provide an opportunity for both programs to gain momentum in conference play. Kentucky’s offense has been led by a potent rushing attack, which has worn down opponents late in games. The Wildcats’ physicality at the line of scrimmage has allowed them to control time of possession and limit the opposition’s scoring opportunities. However, the Wildcats’ passing game has been a bit inconsistent, relying primarily on short, high-percentage throws rather than explosive plays downfield. Defensively, Kentucky has been strong, allowing an average of under 20 points per game. They’ve been especially tough in the red zone, forcing teams to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns.
Vanderbilt, on the other hand, has struggled to find stability on both sides of the ball. Offensively, the Commodores have shown flashes of potential but often fall short in key situations, resulting in missed opportunities. Their ground game has been inconsistent, putting pressure on their quarterback to make plays in the passing game. Despite these struggles, the Commodores have been a resilient team, covering the spread in four of their last five games. This game is likely to hinge on whether Vanderbilt’s defense can slow down Kentucky’s rushing attack. If the Commodores can force the Wildcats into third-and-long situations, they might be able to keep the game close. However, if Kentucky can establish the run early and control the tempo, it could be a long day for Vanderbilt.
Secure a piece of history below ⬇️
— Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) October 7, 2024
🔗 https://t.co/ZUUxD9f8FA pic.twitter.com/NFb8vB6cRj
Commodores AI Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores have been a tough team to figure out this season. While they’ve managed a 3-2 record, they’ve often played better than expected, particularly against the spread. Their offense, led by a capable quarterback, has been inconsistent, producing big plays one week and sputtering the next. Vanderbilt’s running game has not been reliable, putting extra pressure on their passing attack to carry the load. Defensively, Vanderbilt has been porous at times, giving up large chunks of yardage, especially on the ground. Their inability to stop the run could prove disastrous against a Kentucky team that thrives in the trenches. However, the Commodores have shown resilience, often keeping games closer than expected and finding ways to hang around late into the fourth quarter. If Vanderbilt is to have a chance in this game, they’ll need a near-flawless performance from their offense and must capitalize on any Kentucky mistakes. Keeping the Wildcats’ offense off the field and winning the turnover battle will be key. Despite being heavy underdogs, Vanderbilt has an opportunity to make this game competitive if they play disciplined football and avoid the costly mistakes that have plagued them in previous weeks.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Wildcats AI Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats enter this game as favorites, looking to extend their strong start to the 2024 season. Head coach Mark Stoops has built a solid program around a strong defense and a ground-and-pound offensive philosophy. The Wildcats have leaned heavily on their running backs to set the tone offensively, averaging over 200 rushing yards per game. Their offensive line, a strength of the team, has consistently opened up lanes for the running backs and kept the quarterback upright. Defensively, Kentucky has been stellar, allowing just 19 points per game. Their secondary has been opportunistic, coming up with timely interceptions and pass breakups. Linebacker play has been key for the Wildcats, helping to stuff the run and apply pressure on opposing quarterbacks. If Kentucky can establish their game plan early, they should be able to stifle Vanderbilt’s offense and force them into mistakes. Kentucky’s focus will be on executing their typical game plan: control the clock, run the ball effectively, and rely on their defense to keep the game in check. If they play to their strengths, the Wildcats should comfortably cover the 13-point spread.
Bored without a #Caturday? Check out @JKattus and @ZionChildress asking some hard hitting questions. pic.twitter.com/GkUYoptft0
— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) October 5, 2024
Commodores vs. Wildcats FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Commodores and Wildcats play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kroger Field in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Commodores and Wildcats and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the growing factor emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Commodores team going up against a possibly deflated Wildcats team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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