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The Oregon State Beavers are set to face the Nevada Wolf Pack in what is expected to be a closely contested game on October 12, 2024. The Beavers have had a strong season, coming into this game with a 4-1 record, but they’ve struggled to cover spreads consistently. Meanwhile, Nevada’s 2-4 record may not look impressive on paper, but they’ve been much tougher ATS, going 4-2 this season. Oregon State’s offense has been efficient, averaging over 30 points per game, and they’ve utilized a balanced attack led by their dynamic quarterback and a sturdy run game. Nevada, on the other hand, has struggled to put up points consistently. Their quarterback play has been erratic, and the offense has had difficulty converting in key situations, which has contributed to their losing record.
Despite these struggles, the Wolf Pack’s defense has shown flashes of competence, allowing them to stay within reach in most games. If Nevada can force turnovers and capitalize on short fields, they could keep the game competitive against an Oregon State team that has had lapses in concentration. For Oregon State, the key to success will be controlling the tempo and avoiding turnovers. If they can establish the run early and protect their quarterback, they should be able to methodically move the ball down the field against Nevada’s defense. Defensively, Oregon State will aim to pressure Nevada’s quarterback and force him into mistakes. This game could come down to the final quarter, with Oregon State’s depth and overall talent likely giving them the edge. The Beavers are projected to win by a narrow margin of 26-23, but Nevada’s knack for covering spreads makes them a dangerous opponent.
🤟 𝗖𝗔𝗝𝗨𝗡𝗦 𝗪𝗜𝗡, 𝗕𝗔𝗕𝗬!!!#cULture | @LafayetteRoofin pic.twitter.com/qVSKDAOOKY
— Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns® Football (@RaginCajunsFB) October 6, 2024
The Oregon State Beavers have had a strong start to the 2024 season, currently sitting at 4-1. They come into this game as favorites, but there are concerns about their consistency, especially against the spread. Oregon State’s offense has been the driving force behind their success, with a balanced attack that can both pound the ball on the ground and strike quickly through the air. Their quarterback has been efficient, and their running game, led by a physical backfield, has been able to wear down defenses. However, their defense has had some lapses, particularly against teams that can spread the field and attack the perimeter. If Oregon State is to avoid an upset against Nevada, they’ll need to tighten up their pass defense and generate pressure up front to keep Nevada’s offense off balance. The Beavers have been successful in generating turnovers, and they’ll need more of the same to swing momentum in their favor. The biggest challenge for Oregon State will be avoiding complacency. They’re clearly the more talented team, but playing on the road in a hostile environment can always lead to surprises. If they can avoid costly penalties and execute their game plan, the Beavers should be able to pull out a win. But given Nevada’s ability to cover spreads, Oregon State will need to stay focused for the full 60 minutes to avoid a letdown.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Nevada Wolf Pack enter this matchup against Oregon State looking to reverse their fortunes after a 2-4 start to the season. Despite their struggles, they’ve been competitive in many games, covering the spread in four of their six matchups. The Wolf Pack’s strength has been their defense, which has managed to keep games close, even when the offense has faltered. Led by a stout defensive front, Nevada has been able to pressure opposing quarterbacks and create turnovers, which they’ll need to do in abundance against a potent Oregon State offense. Offensively, Nevada has lacked consistency, often struggling to find a rhythm. Their running game, which should be a strength, has been underwhelming due to an offensive line that has been inconsistent in both pass protection and run blocking. Quarterback play has also been hit-or-miss, with Nevada alternating between two different signal-callers throughout the season. The Wolf Pack will need to find some offensive cohesion and get the ball to their playmakers in space to have any chance of scoring against a solid Oregon State defense. Ultimately, the key for Nevada will be to avoid falling behind early. If they can control the clock and keep Oregon State’s high-powered offense on the sidelines, they’ll have a shot at pulling off the upset. A strong showing at home could energize the team and set the tone for the second half of their season.
Final.#BattleBorn | #Launch pic.twitter.com/pWrrXBRnIu
— Nevada Football (@NevadaFootball) October 6, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Beavers and Wolf Pack play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mackay Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Beavers and Wolf Pack and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors often put on Nevada’s strength factors between a Beavers team going up against a possibly deflated Wolf Pack team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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