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Tigers vs. Minutemen
FREE CFB AI Predictions
October 12, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 12, 2024
Start Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Minutemen Record: (1-5)
Tigers Record: (4-1)
OPENING ODDS
MIZZOU Moneyline: -4545
MASSACHUSETTS Moneyline: +1540
MIZZOU Spread: -27.5
MASSACHUSETTS Spread: +27.5
Over/Under: 53.5
MIZZOU
Betting Trends
- Missouri has performed well against the spread (ATS), boasting a 3-2 record ATS this season. They have been able to cover large spreads against weaker opponents, reflecting their dominance over underperforming teams.
MASSACHUSETTS
Betting Trends
- UMass has struggled ATS, with a 1-4 record this season. They have failed to cover the spread in most of their matchups, particularly against higher-tier teams, making them a high-risk pick in this game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Missouri has been able to cover the spread in four of their last five games when favored by 20 or more points. Conversely, UMass has a poor ATS track record, covering the spread only once in their last six games as an underdog of 20+ points.
MIZZOU vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+337.49
VS. SPREAD
1586-1409
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$33,749
Missouri vs UMass AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/12/24
The Missouri Tigers travel to take on the UMass Minutemen in a matchup that heavily favors the Tigers. Missouri enters the game with a strong 4-1 record and has demonstrated an ability to dominate weaker opponents. Their balanced offensive attack and solid defense have allowed them to build large leads, which should pose a significant challenge for UMass. Missouri is averaging 34.6 points per game and has been able to spread the ball effectively, both on the ground and through the air. Quarterback Sam Horn has been efficient, while the Tigers’ ground game, led by Cody Schrader, has been tough for defenses to contain. UMass, on the other hand, has struggled throughout the season, entering this contest with a 1-5 record. The Minutemen’s offense has been lackluster, averaging only 20 points per game, while their defense has been porous, allowing 36.2 points per game.
The biggest challenge for UMass will be containing Missouri’s explosive offense, which has shown the ability to put up points quickly and effectively. UMass will need a near-perfect game from quarterback Carlos Davis, who has shown flashes of potential but lacks the consistency to keep up with high-powered offenses like Missouri’s. If UMass is to have any chance in this game, they will need to establish a strong running game to control the clock and keep Missouri’s offense off the field. However, given Missouri’s defensive prowess and UMass’s struggles against top-tier competition, the Tigers are expected to control the game from start to finish. The key for Missouri will be avoiding complacency and maintaining focus, as they look to continue their push for a strong finish in the SEC.
Final. pic.twitter.com/hwWnlxTW3Y
— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) October 5, 2024
Tigers AI Preview
The Missouri Tigers are having a strong season, boasting a 4-1 record and looking to add another victory to their resume. Missouri’s offense has been balanced, with quarterback Sam Horn showing great poise and efficiency. Horn has been complemented by a solid ground game led by Cody Schrader, who is averaging over 5.0 yards per carry. The Tigers’ offensive line has been effective, providing Horn with plenty of time to make plays downfield and opening lanes for the running backs. Defensively, Missouri has been solid, allowing only 20.6 points per game. The front seven has been particularly dominant, making it difficult for opponents to establish a running game. Against UMass, the Tigers will likely load the box and force UMass to try and beat them through the air, a strategy that has worked well for Missouri throughout the season. If they can force turnovers and build an early lead, Missouri should be able to control the game’s tempo and cruise to an easy victory. Overall, Missouri is expected to dominate this game on both sides of the ball. Their ability to put up points quickly and shut down opposing offenses makes them the clear favorite. If they play to their potential, the Tigers should cover the spread comfortably and continue their strong push through the season
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minutemen AI Preview
The UMass Minutemen enter this game as massive underdogs with a 1-5 record. Despite playing at home, they face a daunting task against a Missouri team that has outmatched nearly all of its opponents this season. UMass’s biggest issue has been their defense, which has allowed an average of 36.2 points per game, ranking them among the worst in the nation. Their inability to stop both the run and the pass has been a consistent issue, and they will need to make significant improvements if they want to keep Missouri from running away with this game early. Offensively, UMass has struggled to find an identity. Quarterback Carlos Davis has shown some ability to make plays but has been inconsistent, throwing more interceptions than touchdowns this season. The Minutemen’s running game, led by Ellis Merriweather, will need to be effective to keep the chains moving and shorten the game. Establishing a ground game will be crucial, as UMass cannot afford to get into a shootout with Missouri. Realistically, UMass’s best hope lies in playing mistake-free football and taking advantage of any opportunities Missouri might provide through turnovers or special teams play.
Final from NIU#Flagship 🚩 pic.twitter.com/ulfFQneyru
— UMass Football (@UMassFootball) October 5, 2024
Tigers vs. Minutemen FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Tigers and Minutemen play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Missouri vs. UMass CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Tigers and Minutemen and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly deflated Minutemen team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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