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The Appalachian State Mountaineers and Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will face off in a key Sun Belt Conference game at Cajun Field on October 12, 2024. Both teams are looking to make a statement as they jockey for position in the conference standings. Louisiana enters the game with a 4-1 record and is a 10-point favorite, while Appalachian State has struggled to a 2-3 mark. The Ragin’ Cajuns have been strong offensively, particularly with their ground game, which has allowed them to control the tempo of most games this season. Appalachian State’s defense will be tested against this powerful Louisiana rushing attack, which features multiple backs capable of breaking long runs. Quarterback Ben Woolridge has also been efficient in leading the Ragin’ Cajuns, adding a balanced passing attack that has kept defenses on their heels. Louisiana’s ability to execute on third downs and sustain long drives has been a key factor in their success.
The Mountaineers, on the other hand, have had a mixed season. After a promising start, they’ve dropped three of their last four games. Turnovers and penalties have been major issues for Appalachian State, and if they’re to have any chance of upsetting Louisiana on the road, they’ll need a clean, mistake-free performance. Quarterback Joey Aguilar will be looking to build off a solid performance against Marshall, where he threw for 293 yards and two touchdowns despite the team’s loss. Expect this game to be decided by which team controls the line of scrimmage. Louisiana will try to dominate on the ground and eat up the clock, while Appalachian State will need to find ways to stretch the field and put pressure on the Cajuns’ secondary. Ultimately, Louisiana’s balanced offense and home-field advantage might be too much for Appalachian State to overcome.
Final. #GoApp #MountainStrong pic.twitter.com/eNdQ6RtAZS
— App State Football (@AppState_FB) October 5, 2024
The Appalachian State Mountaineers have had a challenging season, entering this game with a 2-3 record. Head coach Shawn Clark has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball. The Mountaineers’ offense, led by quarterback Joey Aguilar, has shown flashes of explosiveness, but turnovers and penalties have derailed them in key moments. In their most recent loss to Marshall, Appalachian State committed 15 penalties, costing them crucial field position and momentum. Appalachian State’s rushing attack, traditionally a strength, has been inconsistent this season. Running back Nate Noel, who was expected to carry the load, has struggled to find running lanes behind an offensive line that has been outmatched by stronger defenses. If the Mountaineers want to compete against Louisiana, they’ll need to establish the run early and often to take pressure off Aguilar and open up play-action opportunities. Defensively, Appalachian State has been vulnerable against both the run and the pass, giving up over 30 points per game. Their inability to get off the field on third down has been a major issue. The key for the Mountaineers will be containing Louisiana’s running game and forcing the Cajuns into third-and-long situations. If they can generate pressure and disrupt Louisiana’s timing, they might be able to create turnovers and keep the game close. Ultimately, Appalachian State will need a near-perfect performance to pull off the upset. If they can clean up their mistakes and play disciplined football, they have the talent to compete, but Louisiana’s overall balance and home-field advantage will make it a tall task.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns are enjoying a strong season so far, sitting at 4-1 and looking to solidify their place at the top of the Sun Belt standings. Head coach Michael Desormeaux has focused on establishing a strong run game, and the results have been impressive. The Cajuns are averaging over 200 rushing yards per game, with running back Dre’lyn Washington leading the charge. Their offensive line has been dominant, creating large running lanes and giving their quarterback plenty of time to operate. Defensively, Louisiana has been a bit inconsistent but has shown flashes of dominance, especially in their recent win over Southern Miss, where they allowed just 13 points. The Cajuns will look to put pressure on Appalachian State’s quarterback and force him into making quick decisions. Their ability to create turnovers has been a key to their success, and they’ll need to continue that trend to keep the Mountaineers’ offense in check. Special teams could also play a big role, as the Cajuns have one of the top return units in the conference. If they can flip the field position and put the Mountaineers in difficult situations, it could spell trouble for Appalachian State. Overall, the Ragin’ Cajuns have the tools and home-field advantage to control this game from start to finish.
Starting our own 𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠 👏#cULture | #GeauxCajuns pic.twitter.com/0E3QS5a7bM
— Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns® Football (@RaginCajunsFB) October 6, 2024
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Mountaineers and Ragin' Cajuns play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Cajun Field in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Mountaineers and Ragin' Cajuns and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Mountaineers team going up against a possibly healthy Ragin' Cajuns team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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