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Falcons vs. Lobos
FREE CFB AI Predictions
October 12, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 12, 2024
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: University Stadium
Lobos Record: (1-4)
Falcons Record: (1-4)
OPENING ODDS
AF Moneyline: +151
NMEX Moneyline: -182
AF Spread: +4.5
NMEX Spread: -4.5
Over/Under: 54
AF
Betting Trends
- The Air Force Falcons are 0-0 ATS so far this season, as they’ve had difficulty establishing consistency both offensively and defensively in their games.
NMEX
Betting Trends
- The New Mexico Lobos are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games, showing some resilience despite their struggles in the win column.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The current spread is set at -4.5 in favor of New Mexico, and according to the latest simulations, both teams have an equal 50% chance of covering the spread. This suggests that oddsmakers expect a closely contested game despite the apparent gap in performance.
AF vs. NMEX
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+381.91
VS. SPREAD
1574-1385
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$38,191
Air Force vs New Mexico AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/12/24
The upcoming matchup between the Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos is set to be a pivotal game for both teams on October 12, 2024. Both teams have had underwhelming starts to the season, and this game presents a chance for each to turn things around. The game will take place at University Stadium, a venue where New Mexico has shown some promise this season. According to predictive models, New Mexico is favored to win, boasting a 61% chance of victory over Air Force. The Falcons have struggled mightily, particularly on offense, where they’ve been unable to generate consistent scoring drives. Their rushing attack, traditionally a strong suit, has been stymied by opposing defenses, making it difficult for them to control the tempo of games.
This inability to maintain possession and finish drives has led to a disappointing 1-3 start to the season. New Mexico, on the other hand, has shown flashes of improvement. Despite their 1-4 record, they’ve managed to stay competitive in several games, covering the spread in three of their five matchups. Their offense, while not prolific, has been efficient enough to keep them in games. They’ve relied heavily on a strong passing game and have been opportunistic in capitalizing on turnovers. This game will likely be decided by which team can establish control in the trenches. If Air Force can return to form in their ground game, they have the potential to wear down the New Mexico defense. However, if the Lobos can continue their success through the air and keep the Falcons off balance, it could result in a long night for the visiting team.
Air Force Football falls to (RV/RV) Navyhttps://t.co/O76WoKcAgG pic.twitter.com/cckPxXd4SU
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) October 5, 2024
Falcons AI Preview
The Air Force Falcons are looking to rebound from a disappointing 1-3 start to the 2024 season. Traditionally known for their potent rushing attack, the Falcons have struggled to find their footing offensively this year. Their option-based attack, which is designed to control the clock and wear down opponents, has been met with strong resistance from opposing defenses. Air Force’s offense is averaging just 12.5 points per game, a significant drop from previous seasons. Defensively, Air Force has been solid but not spectacular. They’ve been able to keep games close but haven’t made the crucial stops necessary to secure wins. The Falcons’ defense will need to focus on limiting the big plays from New Mexico’s passing game, as the Lobos have shown the ability to exploit weak secondaries. For the Falcons to get back on track, they must establish their ground game early and often. This will require their offensive line to play one of its best games of the season, as New Mexico’s defensive front has been tough against the run. If Air Force can create running lanes and keep New Mexico’s offense off the field, they’ll have a shot at controlling the pace of the game and pulling off a road win. A win here could provide the spark Air Force needs to salvage its season. Despite their struggles, they have the talent and experience to turn things around, but it will take a complete effort on both sides of the ball to do so.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Lobos AI Preview
The New Mexico Lobos enter this game with a 1-4 record, but they’ve shown some positive signs, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Despite their losing record, the Lobos have been competitive, covering the spread in three of their five games so far. Their defense has been stout against the run, which is crucial as they prepare to face a run-heavy Air Force offense. New Mexico’s offense has leaned heavily on its passing game, which has averaged over 265 yards per game. This aerial attack is spearheaded by a young but talented quarterback, who has shown poise in the pocket and an ability to spread the ball around to multiple receivers. The Lobos will look to exploit an Air Force defense that has been vulnerable to big plays, particularly through the air. One area of concern for New Mexico has been their lack of a consistent ground game. This has made their offense one-dimensional at times, allowing opposing defenses to focus on disrupting their passing rhythm. To counter this, the Lobos need to establish some semblance of a running game to keep the Air Force defense honest. Overall, the key to victory for New Mexico will be their ability to control the line of scrimmage and maintain offensive balance. If they can get early scores and force Air Force to play from behind, the Lobos will have a strong chance to secure a much-needed win at home
Fun fact: 15 of our coaches have played under Coach Mendenhall.
— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) October 7, 2024
Happy #NationalCoachesDay to our guys! #505SVF | #EarnedNotGiven | #GoLobos pic.twitter.com/UoBbq2bjt4
Falcons vs. Lobos FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Falcons and Lobos play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at University Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Air Force vs. New Mexico CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Falcons and Lobos and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly unhealthy Lobos team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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