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The UNLV Rebels travel to face the Utah State Aggies in a Mountain West Conference matchup that pits one of the conference’s strongest teams against one of its weakest. UNLV enters the game with a 4-1 record and is looking to keep their momentum going. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging over 35 points per game. Led by quarterback Jayden Maiava, who has thrown for over 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns, the Rebels have a balanced attack that will challenge a Utah State defense allowing 35.4 points per game. Utah State, on the other hand, is struggling at 1-4 and has not been able to generate any rhythm on either side of the ball.
The Aggies’ offense has been inconsistent, managing just 23 points per game. Their quarterback Cooper Legas has shown flashes of talent but has been plagued by turnovers and a lack of support from the offensive line. Defensively, Utah State has been unable to stop the run or the pass effectively, ranking near the bottom of the conference in most statistical categories. For UNLV, the game plan will be straightforward: control the tempo, establish the run with running back Jai’Den Thomas, and take advantage of Utah State’s secondary with deep shots down the field. Utah State will need to play a nearly flawless game to keep up. The Aggies’ best chance lies in generating turnovers and creating short fields for their offense, but with UNLV’s disciplined play, even that will be a challenge. Overall, this game could turn into a rout if UNLV jumps out to an early lead. Utah State’s inability to score quickly and consistently could see them fall behind and struggle to keep up with UNLV’s high-powered offense.
Wildcat formation for the former Wildcat, Logan Meyer!#RaidersStandOut pic.twitter.com/lrlolCj5cm
— Northwestern College Football (@nwc_fb) October 5, 2024
The UNLV Rebels are off to one of their best starts in recent years, sitting at 4-1 and looking like a legitimate contender in the Mountain West. Head coach Barry Odom has this team firing on all cylinders, and the Rebels’ balanced offense has been a major factor. Quarterback Jayden Maiava has been a revelation, passing for over 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns while adding another 200 yards on the ground. Running back Jai’Den Thomas has complemented him well, averaging 5.8 yards per carry and scoring six touchdowns. Defensively, the Rebels have been stout, allowing just 22 points per game. Their ability to generate pressure has been crucial, with defensive end Darius Johnson leading the team with five sacks. The secondary has also been solid, giving up less than 210 passing yards per game and forcing seven interceptions. Against Utah State, the Rebels will look to apply pressure early and often, aiming to disrupt Cooper Legas and create short fields for their offense. UNLV’s game plan will likely focus on exploiting Utah State’s weak run defense. If they can establish the run early, it will open up play-action opportunities for Maiava, who has thrived in those situations. Overall, if the Rebels avoid turnovers and maintain their discipline, they should be able to extend their winning streak and continue their push toward a Mountain West title.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Utah State Aggies enter this matchup looking to salvage what has been a disappointing season so far. With a 1-4 record, head coach Blake Anderson’s squad has struggled to find any consistency on either side of the ball. Offensively, they have shown occasional sparks but have failed to sustain drives, converting just 28% of their third-down attempts. Quarterback Cooper Legas has 1,045 passing yards and seven touchdowns but has also thrown six interceptions, which have hurt the Aggies’ chances in close games. Defensively, Utah State has been porous, allowing 35.4 points and over 420 total yards per game. They’ve particularly struggled against the run, allowing opponents to gain an average of 210 rushing yards per game. This vulnerability will be a key concern against UNLV, whose running game has been one of the better units in the Mountain West. Utah State’s path to victory will rely on its defense stepping up and finding a way to limit UNLV’s explosive plays. If they can keep the Rebels under 30 points and force turnovers, they might have a shot. However, with UNLV’s balanced attack and Utah State’s defensive woes, this could be a long night for the Aggies if they don’t tighten up.
QB 1 in the house 🤘
— USU Football (@USUFootball) October 6, 2024
🔟 @jordan3love
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Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Rebels and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Rebels and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Rebels team going up against a possibly unhealthy Aggies team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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