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The New Mexico State Aggies travel to face the Jacksonville State Gamecocks in a midweek Conference USA clash on October 9, 2024. The Aggies are coming off a tough stretch, having dropped four of their last five games. Offensively, they’ve struggled to find consistency, ranking 74th in the nation in rushing yards per game but dealing with inefficiencies in the passing game. Defensively, New Mexico State has been unable to contain opponents, giving up 196.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 119th in the FBS. This porous run defense is a concern, as the Gamecocks feature a powerful ground attack led by Tyler Huff and Tre Stewart. Jacksonville State, on the other hand, has had a turbulent season but seems to be hitting its stride. After a rough start, the Gamecocks have won their last two games convincingly.
In their latest outing against Kennesaw State, they scored a season-high 63 points, showcasing their offensive potential. Their rushing game is among the best in the conference, accumulating 384 rushing yards last game, and they will look to exploit the Aggies’ weaknesses on the ground. The key for Jacksonville State will be maintaining a balanced attack while controlling the tempo of the game. New Mexico State will need to tighten up defensively and limit big plays to stay competitive. With Jacksonville State favored by over 20 points, this game could turn into a lopsided affair if New Mexico State’s defense fails to step up.
Happy National Coaches Day to our leaders!🫡#AggieUp x #RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/dgMpGPvoKu
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) October 6, 2024
The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game searching for answers after a string of disappointing performances. Their lone win this season came against Southeast Missouri State, but since then, they have lost four straight games, including a 50-40 defeat to in-state rival New Mexico. The Aggies’ offense has been inconsistent, with quarterback Santino Marucci showing flashes of potential but also struggling with turnovers. New Mexico State’s ground game has been its lone bright spot, averaging 155.4 yards per game, which ranks 74th in the FBS. Larenzo McMillan has been their most explosive player, breaking off an 84-yard touchdown run in their last outing. Defensively, New Mexico State has been overwhelmed, especially against the run, which is a major concern going into a matchup against a run-heavy team like Jacksonville State. The Aggies are allowing nearly 200 rushing yards per game, making them one of the worst rush defenses in the country. If they cannot shore up their defensive front, this game could quickly get out of hand. The key for the Aggies will be finding a way to sustain offensive drives, limit turnovers, and keep the Gamecocks’ potent offense off the field. New Mexico State’s recent form against the spread (2-3 ATS) and straight-up (1-4) doesn’t inspire much confidence. However, if they can play disciplined football and avoid the big mistakes that have plagued them all season, they could keep it closer than expected, particularly given Jacksonville State’s struggles to cover large spreads. Overall, Jacksonville State is expected to control the game with their dominant rushing attack, while New Mexico State’s chances will hinge on their ability to step up defensively and generate some explosive plays on offense.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are beginning to find their rhythm after a difficult start to the season. They opened the year with three consecutive losses but have rebounded well with two straight wins, including a dominant 63-24 victory over Kennesaw State. The Gamecocks’ success starts with their powerful running game, spearheaded by quarterback Tyler Huff and running back Tre Stewart. Huff, who rushed for 176 yards and three touchdowns last game, has been instrumental in Jacksonville State’s offensive resurgence. Stewart has complemented him well, tallying 134 yards and four touchdowns in their most recent win. Defensively, the Gamecocks have struggled early in games but have shown an ability to create turnovers and make big stops when needed. Their ability to defend the pass has been average, and they are ranked 58th nationally in pass defense, but their rush defense is a glaring weakness, ranked 119th. This will be a focal point against New Mexico State, which will likely try to exploit this vulnerability. Jacksonville State’s game plan will revolve around dictating the pace with their running game and forcing the Aggies to play from behind, a scenario where the Gamecocks’ pass rush can thrive.
Happy National Coaches Day to our leaders!🫡#AggieUp x #RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/dgMpGPvoKu
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) October 6, 2024
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Gamecocks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at AmFirst Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Aggies and Gamecocks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly tired Gamecocks team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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