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The Western Michigan Broncos and Ball State Cardinals will meet on Saturday in a pivotal MAC matchup, with both teams sitting at 1-3 and desperately seeking a win. Western Michigan is coming off a close 27-20 loss to Marshall, where they struggled to stop the run, allowing 243 rushing yards. Offensively, the Broncos have leaned heavily on their ground game, averaging 178 rushing yards per game, led by running back Jaden Nixon, who has accumulated 360 rushing yards and four touchdowns this season. Quarterback Hayden Wolff has been solid but not spectacular, throwing for 643 yards and four touchdowns with two interceptions. Ball State, on the other hand, is coming off a blowout 63-7 loss to James Madison, a game where they allowed 522 total yards and struggled in every phase of the game. The Cardinals’ defense has been a major weakness, allowing an average of 49 points per game and ranking last in the MAC. Quarterback Kadin Semonza has shown some promise, throwing for 826 yards and eight touchdowns, but his five interceptions have been costly.
The running game, led by Braedon Sloan, has been inconsistent, averaging just 100.5 rushing yards per game. For Western Michigan, the key will be to establish their running game early and avoid costly turnovers. If the Broncos can control time of possession and limit mistakes, they should be able to take advantage of Ball State’s porous defense. Defensively, Western Michigan will need to tighten up against the run and force Semonza into difficult passing situations. For Ball State, the primary focus will be on improving their defensive performance. They have struggled mightily against both the run and the pass, giving up 219 rushing yards and 320 passing yards per game on average. Offensively, the Cardinals need to protect Semonza and find a way to get the ball to their playmakers like receiver Tanner Koziol, who leads the team with 289 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Touchdown Tuesday 🕺#EAT | #BroncosReign pic.twitter.com/W4VDjyIqmr
— Western Michigan Football (@WMU_Football) October 1, 2024
The Western Michigan Broncos have had a challenging start to their 2024 campaign, with a 1-3 record and struggles on both sides of the ball. The team’s offense is built around its rushing attack, averaging 178 yards per game. Running back Jaden Nixon has been the focal point, while quarterback Hayden Wolff has been asked to manage the game and limit mistakes. Defensively, the Broncos have been one of the worst units in the FBS, allowing 436.5 total yards and 35.5 points per game. To get back on track, Western Michigan will need to shore up their defense and put together a complete game against a struggling Ball State team.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Ball State Cardinals have had a rough start to the season, currently sitting at 1-3. Their only win came against Missouri State in a high-scoring affair. Since then, they have struggled defensively, giving up 62 points to Miami (FL) and 63 points to James Madison. Quarterback Kadin Semonza has shown flashes of talent but has been plagued by turnovers, which have stalled drives and put the defense in tough positions. Running back Braedon Sloan has been inconsistent, and the offensive line has struggled to open up running lanes. Defensively, Ball State needs a complete turnaround if they hope to compete against Western Michigan.
Back home again 🏠#1AAT x #WeFly x #Team100 pic.twitter.com/bzdNPJTuWj
— Ball State Football (@BallStateFB) October 1, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Broncos and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scheumann Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Broncos and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Broncos team going up against a possibly strong Cardinals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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