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The Big 12 clash between the West Virginia Mountaineers and the Oklahoma State Cowboys on Saturday promises to be an intriguing matchup, with both teams looking to make a statement. The Cowboys enter the game with a 3-2 record and are seeking to bounce back after consecutive losses to Kansas State and Utah. Oklahoma State’s offensive efficiency has been commendable, averaging 35 points per game, thanks to the solid play of quarterback Alan Bowman. Bowman, who has thrown for 1,537 yards and 11 touchdowns this season, will look to exploit West Virginia’s secondary, which has shown vulnerabilities, especially in critical situations. West Virginia, on the other hand, is coming off a dramatic 32-28 win against Kansas. Quarterback Garrett Greene orchestrated a thrilling fourth-quarter comeback, throwing for two touchdowns and rushing for another in the closing minutes to secure the victory.
The Mountaineers have been competitive in most of their games, with a balanced offensive attack averaging 228.5 passing yards and 181.5 rushing yards per game. However, turnovers and inconsistent play on the road have hindered their success. For Oklahoma State, the key will be containing Greene’s dual-threat capabilities and forcing West Virginia into obvious passing situations. The Cowboys’ defense has allowed an average of 480.6 yards per game, which ranks among the worst in the FBS, making it crucial for them to generate pressure and create turnovers early. Conversely, West Virginia’s defense must slow down Oklahoma State’s potent passing attack, led by Bowman and star receiver De’Zhaun Stripling, who has 502 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season. With both teams’ defenses struggling to consistently stop opponents, this game could turn into a high-scoring affair. Expect a lot of big plays from both offenses, with the game likely being decided by which team makes fewer mistakes in key moments.
Trying to keep the offense tickin' 📈 pic.twitter.com/ZD9K4txa7v
— West Virginia Football (@WVUfootball) October 1, 2024
The West Virginia Mountaineers enter this matchup with a 2-2 record and confidence after a thrilling come-from-behind victory over Kansas last week. Quarterback Garrett Greene was the catalyst, showcasing his dual-threat abilities with nearly 300 passing yards and 87 rushing yards in the victory. Greene’s mobility will be a major factor against an Oklahoma State defense that has struggled to contain quarterbacks who can extend plays. West Virginia’s offense has been effective in balancing their attack, averaging over 400 total yards per game. The Mountaineers’ running game, led by a committee of backs, has been their most consistent offensive component, grinding out over 180 rushing yards per game. Their wide receivers, led by Hudson Clement, have also been stepping up, creating matchup problems in space. Defensively, West Virginia has shown resilience but has been prone to giving up points in bunches, particularly in the second quarter. Their inability to make stops on third down has been a recurring issue, and against an Oklahoma State team that can score quickly, this could spell trouble. To win, West Virginia must control the tempo and avoid falling into a shootout. Overall, West Virginia’s chances hinge on maintaining their composure in a hostile environment and finding ways to capitalize on Oklahoma State’s defensive lapses. If Greene can replicate his performance from last week and avoid costly mistakes, the Mountaineers have a legitimate shot at pulling off the upset.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Oklahoma State Cowboys started the 2024 season with three consecutive wins, but they’ve recently stumbled, dropping two straight games against Kansas State and Utah. Despite these setbacks, Oklahoma State still possesses one of the most dynamic offenses in the Big 12. Quarterback Alan Bowman has been prolific, passing for over 1,500 yards and 11 touchdowns, though his six interceptions highlight some of his struggles with decision-making. Wide receiver De’Zhaun Stripling has emerged as a reliable target, accumulating over 500 receiving yards through five games. The Cowboys’ running game has been less effective, averaging just 102.2 yards per game. Running back Ollie Gordon II has shown flashes of potential, but Oklahoma State’s offensive line has struggled to open up consistent lanes against tougher defenses. Defensively, the Cowboys have been a mixed bag. They’ve been able to create turnovers but have allowed far too many explosive plays, ranking near the bottom in several defensive categories, including yards allowed per game. If Oklahoma State is going to win this game, they need to play cleaner football, as they’ve turned the ball over multiple times in back-to-back losses. Expect the Cowboys to lean on Bowman’s arm early and often, trying to take advantage of West Virginia’s suspect pass defense. They must also shore up their own defense, focusing on limiting big plays from Greene, who can hurt them both through the air and on the ground.
Pokes welcome the Mountaineers to town this weekend 🤠 pic.twitter.com/RlIn6VTNwM
— OSU Cowboy Football (@CowboyFB) October 1, 2024
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Mountaineers and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Boone Pickens Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Mountaineers and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending weight human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Mountaineers team going up against a possibly rested Cowboys team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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