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The upcoming matchup between the Utah State Aggies and Boise State Broncos is set to be a high-scoring affair, with Boise State entering as a heavy favorite and looking to continue its dominance over Utah State. The Broncos, ranked 21st in the nation, have been an offensive powerhouse this season, averaging 41.5 points per game. They are coming off a strong 45-24 victory over Washington State, where running back Ashton Jeanty rushed for 259 yards and four touchdowns. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been efficient, with 184 passing yards and two touchdowns in their last game. Utah State, meanwhile, has been inconsistent. After an opening win over Robert Morris, they have suffered three consecutive losses to USC, Utah, and Temple.
The Aggies’ offense, led by quarterback Spencer Petras, has struggled against stronger defenses, averaging just 24.0 points per game. Against Temple, Utah State failed to hold a halftime lead and allowed 451 total yards. If the Aggies hope to stay competitive, they’ll need a near-perfect performance on both sides of the ball. Boise State’s defense, while solid, has shown some vulnerability against the pass, giving up 327 yards to Washington State. Utah State’s passing attack, led by Petras and wide receiver Jalen Royals, could exploit this, but the Aggies must find consistency to keep up with Boise State’s high-scoring offense. With Utah State missing key players like Robert Briggs Jr., Boise State’s defense should have an easier time controlling the tempo and limiting Utah State’s rushing attack.
Come out to Ruby’s tomorrow night at 7 pm for the Coach’s Radio Show with Captain Spencer Petras and Linebacker John Ross Maye #AggiesAllTheWay pic.twitter.com/HoZxqsirQD
— USU Football (@USUFootball) October 1, 2024
The Utah State Aggies enter this game at 1-3 and have struggled to find their footing this season. Despite a strong start against Robert Morris, the Aggies have faltered against tougher opponents like USC, Utah, and Temple. Quarterback Spencer Petras has shown promise, throwing for nearly 1,000 yards this season, but inconsistency and turnovers have plagued Utah State’s offense. Petras’ primary target, Jalen Royals, has been a bright spot with over 300 receiving yards and three touchdowns, but the lack of a reliable ground game has made the Aggies one-dimensional. Defensively, the Aggies have been porous, allowing over 450 yards of total offense per game. Their secondary has struggled, giving up 271 passing yards per game, which could be a problem against Boise State’s dynamic passing attack. If Utah State wants to compete, they need to establish their running game early and find a way to slow down Jeanty, who has been a nightmare for opposing defenses. With a history of poor performances against Boise State, the Aggies are heavy underdogs and will need a near-flawless game to have any chance of pulling off an upset
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Boise State Broncos are riding high after a strong start to the season. Currently sitting at 3-1, Boise State has been dominant in Mountain West play and will look to continue their winning ways against a struggling Utah State squad. Boise’s strength lies in its balanced offensive attack, which averages 472.8 total yards per game. Running back Ashton Jeanty has been the star, racking up over 700 rushing yards through four games. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has also contributed efficiently, throwing for over 900 yards and 12 touchdowns with just three interceptions. On defense, the Broncos have been effective, allowing only 23.5 points per game. Their pass rush, led by edge rusher Isaiah Bagnah, has been able to generate pressure, which will be crucial against a Utah State offensive line that has struggled to protect the quarterback. Boise State’s key to victory will be to control the tempo with their ground game and limit any big plays by Utah State. If they can do this, the Broncos should be able to cruise to another comfortable victory at home
𝗢𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗘 📈
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) September 29, 2024
📰 https://t.co/hZS1CUgokG#BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/eug4QSqhP6
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Broncos play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Albertsons Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Aggies and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly healthy Broncos team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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