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The Tennessee Volunteers and Arkansas Razorbacks are set for a pivotal SEC showdown this weekend in Fayetteville. Tennessee has been one of the best teams in the nation through four games, boasting the top-ranked scoring offense and one of the best defenses. The Volunteers, led by quarterback Nico Iamaleava, have been explosive, averaging 54 points per game while allowing just 7 points per contest. Tennessee’s offense is balanced, featuring a potent ground game that averages 290 rushing yards per game, led by running backs Dylan Sampson and DeSean Bishop. On the other side, Arkansas has shown promise but has been inconsistent. The Razorbacks come into this matchup after a tough 21-17 loss to Texas A&M, where they were outplayed in critical moments.
Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green has had an up-and-down season, completing just over 54% of his passes with five touchdowns and five interceptions. Despite the struggles, Arkansas has a capable offense that averages 35.8 points per game, backed by a solid ground game. If Arkansas hopes to compete, they must control the line of scrimmage and limit turnovers, as Tennessee’s defense thrives on creating pressure and forcing mistakes. Tennessee’s ability to score quickly has made it difficult for teams to keep up, and Arkansas will need a near-perfect game plan to avoid falling behind early. Expect Tennessee to lean on its rushing attack and take advantage of Arkansas’ defensive gaps, which were exposed last week against Texas A&M
ground game 💪 #GBO 🍊 pic.twitter.com/dSEuKQjayT
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) October 2, 2024
The Tennessee Volunteers are firing on all cylinders and look poised to continue their dominant run in the SEC. They enter this game with a 4-0 record and a perfect ATS mark. The Volunteers’ offense, led by quarterback Nico Iamaleava, is balanced and explosive, ranking first in FBS in scoring. Running backs Dylan Sampson and DeSean Bishop have been the engine of Tennessee’s ground attack, averaging nearly 300 rushing yards per game. Tennessee’s defense has also been outstanding, allowing just 7 points per game. They’ve excelled at controlling the line of scrimmage and shutting down opposing run games, which will be crucial against an Arkansas offense that likes to run the ball. Tennessee’s secondary, which has allowed only 167 passing yards per game, will look to disrupt Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green, who has been turnover-prone this season. Overall, Tennessee’s game plan will be to establish their run game early, use play-action to stretch the defense, and jump out to a quick lead. If the Volunteers play to their potential, they should continue their undefeated run and solidify their standing in the top 10
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss to Texas A&M. Despite the 3-2 record, Arkansas has struggled against stronger competition, failing to capitalize on key moments in tight games. Quarterback Taylen Green has been inconsistent, throwing for over 1,200 yards but also committing five interceptions. His main target, Andrew Armstrong, has been a bright spot with 420 receiving yards, but the Razorbacks’ offense has stalled in the red zone. Defensively, Arkansas is allowing 20.2 points per game, ranking them in the middle of the SEC. They’ve been solid against weaker opponents but have struggled to contain explosive offenses. With Tennessee’s high-powered attack coming to town, Arkansas will need to generate turnovers and limit big plays to have a shot. Historically, Arkansas has performed well against top-15 teams at home, covering the spread in nine of their last ten home games. They’ll need to rely on a strong home crowd and execute a near-flawless game plan to keep this one close
Back on The Hill for a primetime showdown 🐗 pic.twitter.com/fgkTHggMMc
— Arkansas Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) September 30, 2024
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Volunteers and Razorbacks play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Volunteers and Razorbacks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Volunteers team going up against a possibly healthy Razorbacks team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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