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The South Alabama Jaguars and Arkansas State Red Wolves will square off in a crucial Sun Belt showdown on Saturday. Both teams are aiming to get their seasons back on track as conference play heats up. South Alabama comes into the game with a 2-3 record, looking to bounce back from a tough 42-10 loss to LSU in their last outing. The Jaguars’ offense, led by quarterback Gio Lopez and running back Fluff Bothwell, has been productive, averaging 40.6 points per game—ranking them among the top 20 in the nation. However, their defense has been a concern, allowing 29 points per game, which has put pressure on the offense to keep up in high-scoring contests. Arkansas State, at 2-2, has been inconsistent on both sides of the ball.
They were blown out 52-7 by Iowa State, highlighting their defensive struggles. The Red Wolves are allowing an average of 33.8 points per game and have been particularly vulnerable against the run, giving up 234 rushing yards per game. On offense, quarterback Jaylen Raynor has shown flashes but has been turnover-prone, with five interceptions against just three touchdowns this season. The Red Wolves will need a mistake-free game from Raynor to stand a chance against a potent South Alabama attack. With both teams coming off disappointing performances, this game could hinge on which team establishes the run game early. South Alabama’s Fluff Bothwell has been a force, averaging eight yards per carry, and will look to exploit Arkansas State’s weak run defense. Conversely, Arkansas State needs to find a way to slow down South Alabama’s balanced offense if they hope to stay competitive.
Back in the lab 🧪 pic.twitter.com/PhLKnffvRc
— South Alabama Football 🏈 (@SouthAlabamaFB) October 1, 2024
The South Alabama Jaguars enter this matchup with a 2-3 record, but they boast one of the more dynamic offenses in the Sun Belt. Averaging 40.6 points per game, the Jaguars are led by quarterback Gio Lopez, who has thrown for 1,014 yards and ten touchdowns without an interception. His primary target, wide receiver Jamaal Pritchett, has 394 receiving yards and four touchdowns but is currently questionable for this game with a concussion. Running back Fluff Bothwell has also been a standout, rushing for 376 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama has struggled to find consistency. They are allowing nearly 30 points per game and were exposed by LSU last week, giving up 667 total yards. The secondary has been a particular weak point, allowing over 300 passing yards per game. To win on the road, South Alabama’s defense must improve on third down, where opponents have converted at a high rate. Overall, South Alabama has the firepower to win this game if they can avoid turnovers and keep their defense off the field. If Lopez and Bothwell can get into a rhythm early, the Jaguars should be able to control the tempo and come away with a critical conference win
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have had a rocky start to the 2024 season, sitting at 2-2 with glaring issues on both sides of the ball. The offense has struggled to find consistency, averaging just 21.8 points per game, which ranks near the bottom nationally. Jaylen Raynor has been at the helm of the offense, but his 53.9% completion rate and five interceptions have limited the team’s ability to sustain drives. The rushing attack, led by Zak Wallace, has also been ineffective, averaging only 111.5 yards per game. The offensive line has struggled to open up lanes, making it difficult for the Red Wolves to establish a balanced attack. Defensively, the Red Wolves have been one of the worst units in the Sun Belt, giving up 33.8 points per game. Their run defense has been a major concern, allowing 234 rushing yards per game, which could spell trouble against a South Alabama team that excels on the ground. If Arkansas State is to turn things around, they need to shore up their tackling and limit big plays. The return of key defensive players will be crucial, but even then, the Red Wolves face an uphill battle against a South Alabama offense that has proven to be explosive.
Rest. Recharge. Ready to attack the next challenge.#WolvesUp 🐺🤘🏻 pic.twitter.com/aMhgMiMLHN
— Arkansas State Football (@AStateFB) September 28, 2024
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Jaguars and Red Wolves play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Centennial Bank Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Jaguars and Red Wolves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly healthy Red Wolves team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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