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Mustangs vs. Cardinals
FREE CFB AI Predictions
October 05, 2024
The SMU Mustangs (4-1) will visit the Louisville Cardinals (3-1) on October 5, 2024, at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky. Both teams have high-powered offenses, with SMU averaging 42.2 points per game and Louisville averaging 41.5 points per game. This matchup will be a test of which defense can step up and make key stops in a game expected to be high-scoring.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2024
Start Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Cardinals Record: (3-1)
Mustangs Record: (4-1)
OPENING ODDS
SMU Moneyline: +199
LVILLE Moneyline: -249
SMU Spread: +7
LVILLE Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 57
SMU
Betting Trends
- The Mustangs are 3-2 against the spread this season. Despite their offensive firepower, they have struggled to cover in games where they were the underdog against strong defenses. Their solid rushing attack, averaging 205.6 rushing yards per game, has been key to their success.
LVILLE
Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 2-2 against the spread this season. They have been reliable when playing at home, but their inconsistency in the red zone has made it difficult to cover large spreads. They rely heavily on quarterback Tyler Shough, who has thrown for over 1,100 yards and 11 touchdowns so far.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The over/under for this game is set at 57 points, and both teams have regularly been involved in high-scoring matchups. SMU’s games have gone over the total in three of their last four, while Louisville has hit the over in two of their last three. This trend suggests that this could be another game with plenty of scoring.
SMU vs. LVILLE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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SMU vs Louisville AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/5/24
The SMU Mustangs and Louisville Cardinals are set for a thrilling matchup at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. The Mustangs enter the game with a 4-1 record, coming off a dominant 42-16 victory over Florida State. SMU’s offense, led by quarterback Kevin Jennings, has been prolific, averaging 427.6 total yards per game, including 205.6 rushing yards. Jennings has been efficient, throwing for 733 yards and six touchdowns while maintaining a solid 64.1% completion rate. Their running game, led by Brashard Smith, has added balance to the offense. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back after a tough 31-24 loss to Notre Dame.
Louisville’s offense is built around quarterback Tyler Shough, who has thrown for 1,114 yards and 11 touchdowns. His primary target, Ja’Corey Brooks, has been a consistent threat, with 368 receiving yards and six touchdowns. The Cardinals have a more balanced offensive attack, averaging 297.0 passing yards and 178.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks them among the top offenses in the ACC. Defensively, both teams have shown vulnerability. SMU’s defense allows 21.4 points per game, while Louisville’s defense is slightly better, giving up 16 points per game. The Mustangs have been strong against the run, allowing just 88.8 rushing yards per game, but their pass defense has been a weak spot, giving up 222.4 passing yards per game. The key to this game will be whether SMU can contain Shough and prevent big plays.
Headed up north.#PonyUpDallas pic.twitter.com/5Y7gFKAbTo
— SMU Football (@SMUFB) September 30, 2024
Mustangs AI Preview
The SMU Mustangs come into this game with a 4-1 record, looking to build on a strong start to their season. Quarterback Kevin Jennings has been effective, throwing for 733 yards and six touchdowns with only one interception. SMU’s balanced offensive approach has been key, as their ground game, led by Brashard Smith’s 509 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, has helped open up the passing game. The Mustangs have averaged 42.2 points per game, making them one of the highest-scoring teams in the ACC. Defensively, the Mustangs have been hit-or-miss. Their run defense has been stout, giving up only 88.8 rushing yards per game, but their pass defense has been vulnerable, allowing over 222 passing yards per contest. They have struggled against elite quarterbacks, which could be a problem against Shough and Louisville’s explosive offense. To compete, SMU will need to generate pressure and create turnovers to keep the Cardinals from scoring at will.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cardinals AI Preview
The Louisville Cardinals are looking to solidify their position in the ACC with a statement win over SMU. Sitting at 3-1, Louisville has leaned heavily on quarterback Tyler Shough, who has been the engine of the offense, throwing for over 1,100 yards with 11 touchdowns and only one interception. His accuracy and poise have been key factors in the team’s offensive success. Ja’Corey Brooks has been Shough’s go-to target, averaging 92 yards per game and leading the team in receiving touchdowns. On the ground, Louisville has relied on a committee approach, with running backs Isaac Brown and Maurice Turner combining for over 400 yards. This balanced attack has allowed the Cardinals to keep defenses guessing, making it difficult for opponents to key in on any single playmaker. Defensively, Louisville has been solid, ranking 35th in the FBS by allowing only 289 total yards per game. Their ability to stifle opposing run games, holding teams to just 94.8 rushing yards per game, will be crucial in limiting SMU’s potent rushing attack.
Week 4 ✔️#GoCards x #ProCards pic.twitter.com/83FjJCoFI9
— Louisville Football (@LouisvilleFB) October 1, 2024
Mustangs vs. Cardinals FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Mustangs and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
SMU vs. Louisville CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Mustangs and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Mustangs team going up against a possibly tired Cardinals team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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