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Midshipmen vs. Falcons
FREE CFB AI Predictions
October 05, 2024
The Navy Midshipmen (4-0) will face the Air Force Falcons (1-3) on October 5, 2024, at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. This game marks the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy competition. Navy, riding a perfect start to the season, is favored by 8.5 points, while Air Force is looking to bounce back after three straight losses.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2024
Start Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Falcon Stadium
Falcons Record: (1-3)
Midshipmen Record: (4-0)
OPENING ODDS
NAVY Moneyline: -386
AF Moneyline: +296
NAVY Spread: -9.5
AF Spread: +9.5
Over/Under: 34.5
NAVY
Betting Trends
- Navy is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. Their strong performance has been driven by their efficient triple-option offense, which has dominated possession and minimized mistakes, helping them cover the spread even against tough competition.
AF
Betting Trends
- Air Force is 0-4 ATS this season. The Falcons have struggled both offensively and defensively, making it difficult for them to stay competitive against the spread. Their defense has been inconsistent, and their offense is only averaging 9.7 points per game over their three losses.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Navy has scored 10 or fewer points in five of their last six meetings with Air Force, despite their current strong season. Additionally, the total has gone under in games between these service academies in 50 of the last 64 meetings. This trend suggests a potential low-scoring, defensive battle.
NAVY vs. AF
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Navy vs Air Force AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/5/24
The Navy Midshipmen and Air Force Falcons will clash in the first leg of the 2024 Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy competition at Falcon Stadium. Navy comes into this matchup as a clear favorite with an undefeated record, showcasing a powerful triple-option attack led by quarterback Blake Horvath and running back Alex Tecza. The Midshipmen have been able to control the pace of games with their dominant ground game, averaging 287.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks them fifth nationally. Navy’s offense has been efficient, scoring 46 points per game, while their defense has been able to limit opponents to just 23.5 points per contest.
Air Force, on the other hand, has struggled mightily on both sides of the ball. The Falcons are 1-3 on the season and are coming off a 31-19 loss to Wyoming. Their offense, led by quarterback John Busha, has been stagnant, averaging just 243 total yards per game. The Falcons’ defense has also been shaky, giving up 425.5 yards per game, including 267.5 passing yards per contest. For Air Force to have any chance of pulling off an upset, they will need to slow down Navy’s running game and capitalize on any mistakes made by the Midshipmen.
only one thing matters this week#GoNavy | #RollGoats pic.twitter.com/PGROEevrK1
— Navy Football (@NavyFB) October 1, 2024
Midshipmen AI Preview
The Navy Midshipmen are having a breakout season, currently sitting at 4-0. The key to their success has been their dominant rushing attack, led by quarterback Blake Horvath and running back Alex Tecza. Navy’s triple-option offense has kept opposing defenses on their heels, and their efficiency has translated into consistent offensive production. The Midshipmen are averaging 287.3 rushing yards per game, controlling the clock and wearing down defenses. Defensively, Navy has been solid but not elite, allowing 23.5 points per game. They have been vulnerable to the pass, giving up 267.5 passing yards per game. Against Air Force, Navy will focus on forcing the Falcons into passing situations, where they have struggled all season. If the Midshipmen can establish their ground game early and limit turnovers, they should be able to secure their fifth win of the season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Falcons AI Preview
The Air Force Falcons have had a disappointing start to the 2024 season, entering this matchup at 1-3 and winless in conference play. Their offense has struggled to gain momentum, averaging only 9.7 points per game in their three losses. Quarterback John Busha has yet to find a rhythm, and the team’s inability to sustain drives has put added pressure on the defense. The Falcons have averaged just 4.5 yards per carry, and their passing game has been largely ineffective. Defensively, Air Force has been vulnerable, allowing over 425 yards per game and struggling to get off the field on third downs. If the Falcons want to compete against Navy, they will need to step up their defensive effort, particularly in limiting Navy’s powerful ground attack. A key focus for the Falcons will be preventing long, sustained drives that allow the Midshipmen to dominate time of possession.
𝐀𝐍𝐘 𝐏𝐋𝐀𝐂𝐄. 𝐀𝐍𝐘 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄. 𝐀𝐍𝐘𝐖𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄. pic.twitter.com/VOmVSXHWCa
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) October 1, 2024
Midshipmen vs. Falcons FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Midshipmen and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Falcon Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Navy vs. Air Force CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Midshipmen and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on Navy’s strength factors between a Midshipmen team going up against a possibly tired Falcons team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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