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Hawkeyes vs. Buckeyes
FREE CFB AI Predictions
October 05, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2024
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Ohio Stadium
Buckeyes Record: (4-0)
Hawkeyes Record: (3-1)
OPENING ODDS
IOWA Moneyline: +851
OHIOST Moneyline: -1538
IOWA Spread: +19.5
OHIOST Spread: -19.5
Over/Under: 44.5
IOWA
Betting Trends
- Iowa is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games overall. They have particularly struggled on the road against Ohio State, losing their last eight games straight up and covering just once in their last nine matchups at Ohio Stadium.
OHIOST
Betting Trends
- Ohio State has been strong ATS at home, going 9-0 straight up and covering five of their last seven games as favorites by 20 points or fewer. They’ve also been 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 October games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone under in eight of the last ten games between Ohio State and Big Ten opponents, highlighting the defensive dominance of the Buckeyes against conference foes. However, the total has gone over in five of their last six matchups against Iowa, indicating the potential for a high-scoring game.
IOWA vs. OHIOST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+337.49
VS. SPREAD
1586-1409
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$33,749
Iowa vs Ohio State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/5/24
The Iowa Hawkeyes face a tough challenge this Saturday as they travel to Columbus to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes. Ohio State, currently ranked No. 3 in the nation, is a 19.5-point favorite and has shown no signs of slowing down this season. The Buckeyes have been prolific on offense, averaging 43.5 points per game, while their defense has been equally formidable, allowing just 13.5 points per contest. Iowa, meanwhile, is coming off a solid 31-14 victory over Minnesota but remains inconsistent, particularly on the offensive side. The Hawkeyes’ offense, led by running back Kaleb Johnson, has been one-dimensional, averaging just 209 passing yards per game. Ohio State’s stout front seven will look to stymie Iowa’s ground game and force quarterback Deacon Hill into uncomfortable situations.
Ohio State’s quarterback Will Howard has been efficient, throwing for 1,150 yards and 12 touchdowns. The Buckeyes also have a powerful running game led by TreVeyon Henderson, who has 415 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Iowa’s defense, while ranked 22nd nationally, has struggled with missed assignments in the secondary, allowing big plays through the air. This matchup could favor Ohio State, which has multiple playmakers, including wide receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka. Ultimately, Iowa will need to slow down the game and control time of possession to have any chance of an upset. Ohio State’s balanced offense will likely put pressure on Iowa early, and the Hawkeyes will have to avoid falling into a quick deficit. Expect Ohio State to exploit mismatches in Iowa’s secondary and pull away in the second half.
Game Five Captains. #Hawkeyes pic.twitter.com/z52d5ljCiR
— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) October 1, 2024
Hawkeyes AI Preview
The Iowa Hawkeyes enter this matchup at 3-1, but their record is somewhat deceiving. They have struggled against stronger competition and come into this game as a significant underdog. The Hawkeyes’ offensive line, a traditionally strong unit, has been inconsistent this season, which has hampered the effectiveness of star running back Kaleb Johnson. Johnson has carried the load for the Hawkeyes, rushing for over 400 yards and nine touchdowns, but the team’s lack of a reliable passing game has made them predictable. Defensively, Iowa has been solid overall, allowing just 22 points per game. Their strength is in the front seven, which has been effective in stopping the run. However, the secondary, despite being experienced, has had issues with blown coverages and communication errors, which could be problematic against Ohio State’s dynamic receivers. If Iowa is to have any chance of an upset, they will need a near-perfect performance from their defense and a breakout game from quarterback Deacon Hill. Keeping the Buckeyes’ explosive offense off the field with long, sustained drives will be critical. If Iowa can control the clock and limit turnovers, they might be able to keep it close, but Ohio State’s overwhelming talent makes this a difficult task.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Buckeyes AI Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes have looked every bit the powerhouse they were expected to be in 2024, starting the season with four consecutive wins. The Buckeyes are averaging 43.5 points per game and are led by quarterback Will Howard, who has filled in admirably for the departed Kyle McCord. Howard has been precise with his short throws, though his deep ball has been less effective. Still, his ability to make quick reads and get the ball to his talented receivers has kept Ohio State’s offense running smoothly. Defensively, Ohio State has been nearly impenetrable, allowing just 13.5 points per game and ranking in the top five nationally against the run. Their ability to shut down opposing ground games forces teams into obvious passing situations, where their secondary has thrived, creating turnovers and generating pressure. Against an Iowa team that relies heavily on the run, Ohio State’s front seven, led by linebackers Tommy Eichenberg and Steele Chambers, will be pivotal. Expect Ohio State to establish their dominance early, using a mix of power runs and play-action passes to keep Iowa off-balance. If the Buckeyes build a significant early lead, it could be a long day for the Hawkeyes.
Next Game Up 📌
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) October 1, 2024
🆚 🐤
🏟️ Ohio Stadium
🗓️ Saturday, Oct. 5
📺 @CBSSports
🕞 3:30 PM pic.twitter.com/dGfw55rx9H
Hawkeyes vs. Buckeyes FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Hawkeyes and Buckeyes play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ohio Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Iowa vs. Ohio State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Hawkeyes and Buckeyes and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on Ohio State’s strength factors between a Hawkeyes team going up against a possibly improved Buckeyes team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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