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Bowling Green and Akron meet in a clash between two teams searching for a turnaround in their 2024 campaigns. Bowling Green enters this game as a 14.5-point favorite, largely due to their success in recent head-to-head matchups against Akron and their ability to cover the spread on the road. The Falcons’ offense, led by quarterback Connor Bazelak, has been more productive, averaging 28.8 points per game. They rely on a balanced attack, with Bazelak throwing for over 975 yards and 6 touchdowns, supported by Terion Stewart in the backfield. Defensively, Bowling Green has been inconsistent, allowing 26.8 points per game and struggling to stop the run. However, Akron’s offense has been even more challenged, ranking among the worst in the FBS in multiple categories.
The Zips are only averaging 14.2 points per game and have been outscored by an average of 26 points per contest against tougher non-conference opponents like South Carolina and Ohio State. For the Zips, quarterback Ben Finley will need to step up. With 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on the year, he’s been inconsistent, and the team has struggled to generate big plays through the air or on the ground. Running back Jordon Simmons has been limited to under 200 yards rushing this season, which has put pressure on the passing game . If Akron can control the ball and improve their third-down efficiency, they might keep it closer than expected.
𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄:
— BGSU Football (@BG_Football) September 30, 2024
Falcons open 73rd season of MAC play at Akron on Saturday. Saturday is the fifth time BGSU has opened league play on the road since 2015. The Falcons also did so at Akron in 2022.
📰 » https://t.co/UkvLHfslIN pic.twitter.com/Lzj5okrwUl
Bowling Green comes into this matchup hoping to get back on track after a tough loss to Old Dominion last week. The Falcons have shown glimpses of offensive prowess but have struggled to close out games. Their 1-3 record is deceiving, as they have been competitive in most of their contests. Quarterback Connor Bazelak leads the offense with over 975 passing yards and 6 touchdowns, and the rushing attack has been spearheaded by Terion Stewart, who has provided consistency in the backfield. The Falcons’ key to success has been their ability to perform well on the road, evidenced by their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 road games. This confidence should play a factor against an Akron team that has historically struggled to contain Bowling Green’s offense. In their last matchup, Bowling Green won comfortably, 41-14, showcasing their ability to exploit Akron’s defensive weaknesses. Defensively, Bowling Green has been susceptible to big plays, but Akron’s lack of explosiveness should allow the Falcons to focus on stopping the run and forcing Finley into uncomfortable situations. If the Falcons can establish an early lead and control time of possession, they should be able to cover the 14.5-point spread without much difficulty.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Akron Zips have had a rough season, sitting at 1-4 with a single victory against FCS opponent Colgate. Akron’s offensive woes have been glaring, averaging just 14.2 points per game while failing to establish any rhythm on the ground or through the air. Quarterback Ben Finley has shown flashes of potential, but his 6 interceptions have often halted drives and put the defense in difficult positions. Defensively, the Zips have been unable to stop opposing offenses, giving up over 40 points per game and ranking near the bottom of the MAC in both pass and rush defense. Akron’s run defense, in particular, has been vulnerable, allowing over 200 yards per game. This weakness is a key reason why the Zips have failed to keep games competitive. They will need a better performance from their linebackers and defensive line to prevent Bowling Green from controlling the clock. Akron has had a difficult schedule, facing Ohio State, South Carolina, and other tough non-conference teams, which could partly explain their struggles. Still, the coaching staff needs to find answers quickly if they hope to turn their season around. At home, they’ve managed only a single win in their last 15 contests, which makes covering the spread a difficult task against a more balanced Falcons squad.
2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣4️⃣ Season.
— Akron Football (@ZipsFB) September 30, 2024
Game Week.
Zips and Falcons.
WellDone>WellSaid
DoOrDoNot pic.twitter.com/SflOLZH5Tq
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Falcons and Zips play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Falcons and Zips and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on Akron’s strength factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly unhealthy Zips team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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