App. State vs Marshall Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 05)
Updated: 2024-09-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2) take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) on October 5, 2024, at Joan C. Edwards Stadium in a pivotal Sun Belt Conference clash. The game is expected to be closely contested, with Marshall favored by a narrow 2-point margin.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2024
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Thundering Herd Record: (2-2)
Mountaineers Record: (2-2)
OPENING ODDS
APLST Moneyline: +124
MRSHL Moneyline: -149
APLST Spread: +3
MRSHL Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 58
APLST
Betting Trends
- Appalachian State has struggled against the spread (ATS) against conference opponents, going just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games against Sun Belt teams. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
MRSHL
Betting Trends
- Marshall has been stronger ATS at home, covering in 4 of their last 5 games and 5 of their last 7 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. However, they have struggled in conference play, going 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Sun Belt opponents.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Marshall has historically been dominant at home, boasting a 134-39 record at Joan C. Edwards Stadium over the last 173 games. This home-field advantage could be a decisive factor against Appalachian State, which has struggled on the road.
APLST vs. MRSHL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
LIVE CFB ODDS
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App. State vs Marshall Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/5/24
Led by their efficient quarterback play and a strong ground game, Marshall will look to exploit Appalachian State’s porous defense. However, Marshall’s own defensive weaknesses, particularly against the pass, could provide opportunities for the Mountaineers’ quarterback Joey Aguilar, who has already thrown for over 1,200 yards this season. The outcome of this game may hinge on which team can control the tempo and limit turnovers. Appalachian State has struggled with giveaways, recording 8 turnovers in 4 games. If the Mountaineers can clean up their mistakes and capitalize on Marshall’s secondary, they could pull off an upset. On the other hand, Marshall’s ability to run the ball effectively and sustain long drives could wear down Appalachian State’s defense
𝐂𝐚𝐥𝐦 𝐝𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐦.
— App State Football (@AppState_FB) September 26, 2024
Detail shots of our Week 5 fit. #GoApp #BeatLiberty pic.twitter.com/aLOFHMktmF
App. State Mountaineers CFB Preview
Appalachian State has had a disappointing start to their 2024 campaign. At 2-2, the Mountaineers are searching for consistency on both sides of the ball. The offense has been solid, averaging 23.3 points per game, but turnovers and penalties have hampered their ability to close out games. Quarterback Joey Aguilar has been a bright spot, throwing for over 1,200 yards and 6 touchdowns, but he’s been under pressure frequently due to a struggling offensive line. Defensively, Appalachian State has been one of the worst units in the FBS, giving up over 450 yards per game and allowing 35.8 points on average. Their run defense has been particularly concerning, allowing over 210 yards per game. Against a Marshall team that excels at running the ball, the Mountaineers’ front seven will need to step up and find a way to contain the ground game. If they continue to get gashed in the run game, it will be a long day for Appalachian State. The Mountaineers will need a complete game from both the offense and defense to have a chance against Marshall. If they can limit big plays and win the turnover battle, they could keep it close. However, given their current form and defensive issues, Appalachian State faces an uphill battle in this road contest.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Marshall Thundering Herd CFB Preview
The Marshall Thundering Herd enter this game looking to leverage their strong home-field advantage. Marshall is 4-1 at home in their last 5 games and has historically been difficult to beat at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Offensively, the Thundering Herd rely on a balanced attack, led by their rushing game, which averages over 200 yards per contest. The offensive line has been effective, allowing only a handful of sacks this season, and creating ample opportunities for running backs to gain yardage. Defensively, Marshall has been stout against the run but vulnerable through the air. They are giving up just 5.8 yards per pass attempt, but teams that can spread the field have had success moving the ball against their secondary. This could be a problem against Appalachian State’s aerial attack, which has shown explosiveness despite their overall inconsistency. Marshall will need to tighten up their coverage and force the Mountaineers into long third-down situations to maintain control. The biggest factor for Marshall will be limiting turnovers and establishing the run early. If they can control time of possession and keep Appalachian State’s offense off the field, they have a strong chance to cover the spread and secure a pivotal conference win.
Game Week - 05
— Marshall Football (@HerdFB) October 1, 2024
𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐎𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐫 🔜 pic.twitter.com/CiLBQw8EOP
App. State vs. Marshall Prop Picks (AI)
App. State vs. Marshall Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Mountaineers and Thundering Herd and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing weight human bettors regularly put on Marshall’s strength factors between a Mountaineers team going up against a possibly improved Thundering Herd team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI App. State vs Marshall picks, computer picks Mountaineers vs Thundering Herd, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| CFB | 11/15 | UNC@WAKE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| CFB | 11/15 | UTSA@CHARLO | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
VAULT v4
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| CFB | 11/15 | NCST@MIAMI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
VAULT v3
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| CFB | 11/15 | MISSST@MIZZOU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
VAULT v3
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| CFB | 11/15 | FAU@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v4
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| CFB | 11/15 | PSU@MICHST | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| CFB | 11/15 | COLOST@NMEX | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| CFB | 11/15 | TEX@UGA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CFB | 11/15 | OREGST@TULSA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CFB | 11/15 | UTEP@MIZZST | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CFB | 11/15 | OKLA@BAMA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CFB | 11/15 | UVA@DUKE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CFB | 11/15 | PUR@WASH | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CFB | 11/15 | IOWA@USC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
INTEL
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| CFB | 11/15 | TEX@UGA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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| CFB | 11/15 | AF@UCONN | GET FREE PICK NOW | 2 | – | |
| CFB | 11/15 | ND@PITT | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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| CFB | 11/15 | OKLA@BAMA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| CFB | 11/15 | LIB@FIU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| CFB | 11/15 | SJST@NEVADA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Mountaineers Betting Trends
Appalachian State has struggled against the spread (ATS) against conference opponents, going just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games against Sun Belt teams. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Thundering Herd Betting Trends
Marshall has been stronger ATS at home, covering in 4 of their last 5 games and 5 of their last 7 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. However, they have struggled in conference play, going 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Sun Belt opponents.
Mountaineers vs. Thundering Herd Matchup Trends
Marshall has historically been dominant at home, boasting a 134-39 record at Joan C. Edwards Stadium over the last 173 games. This home-field advantage could be a decisive factor against Appalachian State, which has struggled on the road.
App. State vs. Marshall Game Info
What time does App. State vs Marshall start on October 05, 2024?
App. State vs Marshall starts on October 05, 2024 at 3:30 PM EST.
Where is App. State vs Marshall being played?
Venue: Joan C. Edwards Stadium.
What are the opening odds for App. State vs Marshall?
Spread: Marshall -3.0
Moneyline: App. State +124, Marshall -149
Over/Under: 58
What are the records for App. State vs Marshall?
App. State: (2-2) | Marshall: (2-2)
What is the AI best bet for App. State vs Marshall?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are App. State vs Marshall trending bets?
Marshall has historically been dominant at home, boasting a 134-39 record at Joan C. Edwards Stadium over the last 173 games. This home-field advantage could be a decisive factor against Appalachian State, which has struggled on the road.
What are App. State trending bets?
APLST trend: Appalachian State has struggled against the spread (ATS) against conference opponents, going just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games against Sun Belt teams. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
What are Marshall trending bets?
MRSHL trend: Marshall has been stronger ATS at home, covering in 4 of their last 5 games and 5 of their last 7 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. However, they have struggled in conference play, going 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Sun Belt opponents.
Where can I find AI Picks for App. State vs Marshall?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
App. State vs. Marshall Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the App. State vs Marshall trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
App. State vs Marshall Opening Odds
APLST Moneyline:
+124 MRSHL Moneyline: -149
APLST Spread: +3
MRSHL Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 58
App. State vs Marshall Live Odds
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-138
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Nov 20, 2025 7:00PM EST
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UL
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O 54.5 (-115)
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-182
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O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
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Nov 21, 2025 10:30PM EST
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–
–
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+2.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
North Texas Mean Green
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11/22/25 11AM
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–
–
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-1100
+680
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-17.5 (-110)
+17.5 (-110)
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
Kansas Jayhawks
Iowa State Cyclones
11/22/25 11AM
KANSAS
IOWAST
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–
–
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+146
-176
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+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
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O 53.5 (-105)
U 53.5 (-115)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
Michigan State Spartans
Iowa Hawkeyes
11/22/25 11AM
MICHST
IOWA
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–
–
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+550
-820
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+15.5 (-106)
-15.5 (-114)
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O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
South Florida Bulls
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11/22/25 11AM
SFLA
UAB
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–
–
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-1400
+800
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-18.5 (-110)
+18.5 (-110)
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O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
BYU Cougars
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11/22/25 11AM
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-132
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
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11/22/25 11AM
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+300
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O 55.5 (-105)
U 55.5 (-115)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
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11/22/25 11AM
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–
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-385
+300
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O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
Minnesota Golden Gophers
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11/22/25 11AM
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+134
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O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
Washington State Cougars
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+430
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O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
Illinois Fighting Illini
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-465
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
TCU Horned Frogs
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–
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-110
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U 54.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 11:00AM EST
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U 49.5 (-110)
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U 53.5 (-115)
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–
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+230
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–
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Missouri Tigers
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–
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+280
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U 43.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Nebraska Cornhuskers
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–
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+270
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O 44.5 (-110)
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Tulsa Golden Hurricane
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–
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+285
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O 47.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Tennessee Volunteers
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TENN
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–
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-150
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Pittsburgh Panthers
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–
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+130
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+3.5 (-122)
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O 60.5 (-115)
U 60.5 (-105)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Michigan Wolverines
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MICH
MD
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–
–
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-550
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-12.5 (-110)
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O 45.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
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DUKE
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–
–
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-315
+250
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-7.5 (-110)
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O 51.5 (-115)
U 51.5 (-105)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:00PM EST
Louisville Cardinals
SMU Mustangs
11/22/25 12PM
LVILLE
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–
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+125
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|
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Nov 22, 2025 12:45PM EST
Charlotte 49ers
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11/22/25 12:45PM
CHARLO
UGA
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–
–
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+25000
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|
+45.5 (-110)
-45.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
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Nov 22, 2025 3:30PM EST
Kentucky Wildcats
Vanderbilt Commodores
11/22/25 3:30PM
UK
VANDY
|
–
–
|
+310
-400
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+9.5 (+100)
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|
O 53.5 (-105)
U 53.5 (-115)
|
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Nov 22, 2025 3:30PM EST
Syracuse Orange
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
11/22/25 3:30PM
CUSE
ND
|
–
–
|
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+36.5 (-110)
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|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
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Nov 22, 2025 4:00PM EST
Oklahoma State Cowboys
UCF Knights
11/22/25 4PM
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UCF
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–
–
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+540
-800
|
+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 22, 2025 7:30PM EST
California Golden Bears
Stanford Cardinal
11/22/25 7:30PM
CAL
STNFRD
|
–
–
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-170
+140
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-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers App. State Mountaineers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd on October 05, 2024 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| CFB |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| AUBURN@VANDY | AUBURN +6.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEL@LIB | DEL +3.5 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| NMEXST@WKY | NMEXST +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| MICHST@MINN | MAKHI FRAZIER UNDER 52.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| UNC@CUSE | UNC +110 | 50.4% | 2 | WIN |
| MRSHL@COASTAL | COASTAL +7 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| FIU@MIZZST | FIU +3.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEXAM@LSU | MARCEL REED OVER 0.5 INT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| RUT@PURDUE | RUT +103 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| TOLEDO@WASHST | TOLEDO -110 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| AUBURN@ARK | ARK -128 | 60.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| NCST@PITT | NCST +6.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| OHIO@EMICH | EMICH +12 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| TCU@WVU | WVU +16.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| COLO@UTAH | COLO +14.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| HOU@ARIZST | HOU +7.5 | 57.1% | 7 | WIN |
| UVA@UNC | UNC +11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| MINN@IOWA | MINN +9.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| UCONN@RICE | RICE +10.5 | 57.1% | 6 | WIN |
| FAU@NAVY | FAU +14.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| LAMON@USM | LAMON +13.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOISE@NEVADA | NEVADA +21.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SALA@GAST | GAST +6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIZZST@NMEXST | MIZZST -108 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| KENSAW@FIU | FIU +3 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| KENTST@TOLEDO | KENTST +24.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@JMAD | JMAD -125 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| TXTECH@ARIZST | TXTECH -6.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |