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The Houston Cougars will take on the TCU Horned Frogs in a critical Week 6 Big 12 matchup at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Houston has struggled mightily this season, sitting at 1-4 and coming off back-to-back shutout losses to Cincinnati and Iowa State. The Cougarsβ offense, led by quarterback Donovan Smith, has failed to find any consistency, averaging just 10.4 points per game. Smith has thrown for 681 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions, while the teamβs leading rusher, Stacy Sneed, has managed only 217 rushing yards through five games. The lack of offensive production has put added pressure on the defense, which has been solid, allowing 20.8 points per game. TCU, on the other hand, is coming off a 38-27 victory over Kansas, improving their record to 3-2.
The Horned Frogs have been led by quarterback Josh Hoover, who has thrown for 1,774 yards and 14 touchdowns, making TCU one of the most dangerous passing teams in the Big 12. Hooverβs top target, Jack Bech, has been a force, racking up 465 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. TCUβs offense has been dynamic, scoring 42.2 points per game, but their defense has struggled, giving up 31 points per game and showing vulnerability against the pass. For TCU, the key to success will be to continue their aerial dominance and exploit a Houston secondary that has been prone to giving up big plays. If the Horned Frogs can jump out to an early lead, it could force the Cougars into a pass-heavy game script, which has led to turnovers and stalled drives for Houston all season. Conversely, Houston will need to establish a ground game and control the clock to limit TCUβs offensive possessions.
π¨REMINDER: this weekβs Radio Show has been canceled due to the short week and Astros viewing conflicts and will return Thursday, Oct. 17 at Little Woodrowβs EaDo. pic.twitter.com/sR4ySdhDeO
— Houston Football (@UHCougarFB) October 2, 2024
The Houston Cougars have had a rough start to the 2024 campaign. Quarterback Donovan Smith has struggled to find consistency, throwing more interceptions (5) than touchdowns (2) and failing to lead scoring drives in crucial situations. The Cougarsβ offensive line has been unable to provide adequate protection, leading to a stagnant offense that averages just 283.6 total yards per game. On defense, the Cougars have been respectable, allowing 20.8 points per game, but the offenseβs inability to sustain drives has left the defense on the field for extended periods. To have a chance against TCU, Houston will need to generate some offensive rhythm early and avoid costly turnovers. If they can do that, they may be able to keep it closer than the spread suggests, but given their recent struggles, it will be an uphill battle.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The TCU Horned Frogs are 3-2 on the season and looking to improve their Big 12 record. Led by quarterback Josh Hoover, TCUβs offense has been explosive, averaging 364.8 passing yards and 42.2 points per game. Hoover has been efficient, completing nearly 70% of his passes, while throwing for 14 touchdowns. His chemistry with receivers like Jack Bech and JoJo Earle has made TCU a formidable passing team. However, TCUβs defense has been a concern, allowing 31 points per game and struggling to contain opposing offenses. Their run defense has been shaky, giving up over 150 yards per game on the ground. The Horned Frogs will need to improve their tackling and get off the field on third downs to avoid letting Houston hang around.
ππ₯ππππ¬ π‘ππππ§ πππππ§π¦βΌοΈ #GoFrogs pic.twitter.com/dFnM7nmVVr
— TCU Football (@TCUFootball) September 30, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Cougars and Horned Frogs play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop bet for this College Football matchup: Cam Cook Under 53.5 Rushing Yards
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Cougars and Horned Frogs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending emphasis human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Cougars team going up against a possibly healthy Horned Frogs team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
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