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Roadrunners vs. Pirates
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
The UTSA Roadrunners (3-1) will face the East Carolina Pirates (1-3) on September 28, 2024, at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. UTSA is favored by 7 points, with both teams looking to secure a pivotal win in this American Athletic Conference matchup.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 4:00 PM EST
Venue: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Pirates Record: (2-2)
Roadrunners Record: (2-2)
OPENING ODDS
UTSA Moneyline: +153
ECU Moneyline: -187
UTSA Spread: +4
ECU Spread: -4.0
Over/Under: 54
UTSA
Betting Trends
- UTSA is 2-2 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Roadrunners have been strong on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six games as road favorites, showcasing their ability to perform well in hostile environments.
ECU
Betting Trends
- East Carolina is 1-3 ATS in 2024. The Pirates have struggled to cover the spread at home, particularly against higher-powered offenses. They have failed to cover in four of their last five home games, signaling ongoing issues on both sides of the ball.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- UTSA has consistently hit the over in seven of their last nine games as road favorites, driven by their explosive offense. Conversely, East Carolina has struggled to contain opponents, allowing the over in six of their last eight home games.
UTSA vs. ECU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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UTSA vs East Carolina AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The matchup between the UTSA Roadrunners and East Carolina Pirates is crucial as both teams enter the heart of their conference schedules. UTSA, at 3-1, is riding high after a dominant 41-17 win against Temple, where their offense was clicking on all cylinders. Led by quarterback Owen McCown, the Roadrunners have been averaging 34.5 points per game and have established themselves as one of the more balanced teams in the American Athletic Conference. McCown has thrown for 1,038 yards and 10 touchdowns, while running back Kevorian Barnes has added 455 rushing yards, making the UTSA offense difficult to contain. On the other hand, East Carolina has faced early-season struggles. Sitting at 1-3, the Pirates are coming off a 31-21 loss to Charlotte.
Their offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 21 points per game. Quarterback Mason Garcia has struggled with accuracy, throwing for 701 yards with five touchdowns but also five interceptions. East Carolina’s ground game, led by Rahjai Harris, has been somewhat effective, but their inability to finish drives has hampered their overall performance. Defensively, UTSA has been solid, allowing just 20.3 points per game. They’ll look to contain East Carolina’s run game while forcing Garcia into tough passing situations. East Carolina’s defense, meanwhile, has allowed 29.5 points per game and struggled to stop high-powered offenses. The Pirates will need to step up their defensive performance to avoid being overwhelmed by McCown and Barnes. UTSA’s offensive balance, combined with East Carolina’s defensive woes, gives the Roadrunners a significant edge in this contest. If UTSA can continue their efficient offensive play, they should cover the 7-point spread and control the game from start to finish.
𝐂𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐁𝐄𝐋𝐋 𝐓𝐑𝐎𝐏𝐇𝐘 𝐒𝐄𝐌𝐈𝐅𝐈𝐍𝐀𝐋𝐈𝐒𝐓
— UTSA Football 🏈 (@UTSAFTBL) September 25, 2024
UTSA senior tight end @OCardenas84_ has been chosen as a semifinalist for the William V. Campbell Trophy.
📰 https://t.co/VzD3G2OFDK#210TriangleOfToughness#LetsGo210 | #BirdsUp 🤙 pic.twitter.com/qSuZ2SqYQX
Roadrunners AI Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners are coming into this game with a 3-1 record and a high level of confidence after their commanding 41-17 victory over Temple. The Roadrunners are led by quarterback Owen McCown, who has thrown for 1,038 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. McCown’s efficiency has been key to UTSA’s success, as he has spread the ball around to a talented group of receivers, including Joshua Cephus, who leads the team with 398 receiving yards and five touchdowns. The running game has been equally potent, with Kevorian Barnes leading the charge. Barnes has rushed for 455 yards and five touchdowns, giving UTSA a balanced offensive attack that has averaged 34.5 points per game. The Roadrunners’ offensive line has done an excellent job protecting McCown, allowing him time to find his playmakers down the field. Defensively, UTSA has been stout, allowing just 20.3 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, allowing opponents just 103 rushing yards per game. Their ability to generate pressure and force turnovers has been key to their success, and they’ll look to continue that trend against an East Carolina team that has struggled with ball security. If UTSA can continue to execute on both sides of the ball, they should be able to control this game and cover the spread comfortably.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pirates AI Preview
The East Carolina Pirates are facing a pivotal moment in their season as they look to turn things around after a 1-3 start. The Pirates have struggled on both sides of the ball, particularly on offense, where quarterback Mason Garcia has been inconsistent. Garcia has thrown for 701 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions. His inability to limit turnovers has been a key reason for East Carolina’s struggles. The Pirates’ run game, led by Rahjai Harris, has been a bright spot, but they haven’t been able to consistently capitalize on their opportunities in the red zone. East Carolina’s defense has also been a weak point, giving up nearly 30 points per game. Their inability to contain both the run and pass has left them vulnerable to teams with balanced offenses like UTSA. The Pirates will need a standout performance from their defensive line to pressure McCown and slow down the Roadrunners’ high-octane offense. If East Carolina can limit turnovers and generate pressure on UTSA’s offense, they may be able to keep the game competitive. However, without major improvements on both offense and defense, the Pirates could be in for a long day against a more complete UTSA team.
The Jet ✈️ @showtimejet pic.twitter.com/bb2vRhf4eN
— ECU Football (@ECUPiratesFB) September 25, 2024
Roadrunners vs. Pirates FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Roadrunners and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
UTSA vs. East Carolina CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Roadrunners and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing weight emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Roadrunners team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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