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The UL Monroe Warhawks and Troy Trojans meet on September 28, 2024, in a pivotal Sun Belt Conference clash. Both teams are looking for a much-needed win to jumpstart their seasons. UL Monroe enters the contest with a 2-1 record, while Troy is 1-3. Despite their poor record, the Trojans are favored by 7.5 points due to their home-field advantage and solid defensive front. UL Monroe comes into this game off a tough loss to Texas but has otherwise shown solid form, led by quarterback General Booty and running back Ahmad Hardy. The Warhawksβ offense averages 21.7 points per game, supported by a balanced run-pass attack.
Their defense has been stout against the pass, ranking 44th in the nation. However, their run defense has struggled, giving up 130 rushing yards per game, which could be an issue against Troyβs strong ground game. Troy, despite their 1-3 record, is a more dangerous team than their record indicates. They secured a solid win against Florida A&M, and quarterback Goose Crowder has shown flashes of brilliance. Troyβs defense is also coming off a solid performance, limiting Florida A&M to just 55 rushing yards. The Trojansβ ground game, led by Damien Taylor, has been their strength, and they will likely look to exploit UL Monroeβs shaky run defense. Both teams have had mixed results against the spread. UL Monroe has been more reliable, covering in their first two matchups, while Troy has struggled ATS, going 1-2. The gameβs outcome will likely come down to which team can control the tempoβif Troyβs run game dominates, they could cover the spread. However, if UL Monroe can hold their own defensively, this game could be closer than expected.
Starting our Sun Belt slate on the road.
— ULM Football (@ULM_FB) September 23, 2024
π at Troy
ποΈ Saturday, Sept. 28
π Troy, AL
β° 6 p.m.
πΊ ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/qwUPwDiN3T
The Troy Trojans enter this game with a 1-3 record, hoping to build momentum after a 34-12 victory over Florida A&M. Quarterback Goose Crowder has led the offense, passing for over 533 yards this season, while running back Damien Taylor has rushed for 265 yards. The Trojansβ offense, however, has been inconsistent, and theyβll need more stability in their passing game if they hope to win against UL Monroe. Defensively, Troy has been strong against the run, holding opponents to just 2.0 yards per carry in their most recent win. Their pass defense, however, has been a vulnerability, allowing 288 passing yards in their last game. This will be something to watch against UL Monroe, which has shown the ability to stretch the field through the air. Troyβs ability to win at home has been mixed, but playing at Veterans Memorial Stadium gives them a much-needed edge. If their defense can limit UL Monroeβs offense and their running game can control the pace, they should be able to secure a win and cover the spread. Their home crowd will play a crucial role in boosting their performance in what is a must-win game for the Trojans.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
UL Monroe has started the 2024 season on a positive note with a 2-1 record, although they are coming off a lopsided 51-3 loss to Texas. Despite this setback, the Warhawks have shown promise, particularly on offense with General Booty at quarterback and Ahmad Hardy leading the rushing attack. Hardy has rushed for 191 yards so far, and the team has averaged 156.7 rushing yards per game, giving them a solid ground game to rely on. Defensively, the Warhawks have been better against the pass than the run. They are allowing just 217.3 passing yards per game, which ranks them 44th in the nation. However, their run defense has been porous, giving up 130 rushing yards per game, which could pose a problem against Troyβs strong running attack. If UL Monroe can tighten up their defense and force Troy into passing situations, theyβll have a much better chance of keeping the game close. UL Monroe has also performed well against the spread this season, going 2-0 ATS. Their ability to cover the spread in tough games makes them a dangerous underdog. However, they will need to play a clean, mistake-free game to pull off the upset against a Troy team that will be hungry for a win at home. The Warhawksβ success in this game will depend on their ability to contain Troyβs running game and avoid giving up big plays through the air. If they can do that, they could very well keep the game within a touchdown and potentially cover the spread.
πππ¦ππ§πππ π’π§ π‘π’π¬ππ¨π«π².
— Troy Trojans Football 8xβοΈ (@TroyTrojansFB) September 22, 2024
Devonte Ross breaks the single-game receiving yards record (229) - breaks Danny Grant's record (225) set in 1968. pic.twitter.com/8rb8ALsywQ
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Warhawks and Trojans play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Warhawks and Trojans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Warhawks team going up against a possibly deflated Trojans team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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