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The Texas State Bobcats will take on the Sam Houston State Bearkats in what promises to be an exciting in-state matchup at NRG Stadium. Texas State, led by quarterback Jordan McCloud, has emerged as one of the more dynamic offenses in the Sun Belt, averaging 37 points per game. McCloud has thrown for over 800 yards and 9 touchdowns so far, with key contributions from running back Ismail Mahdi, who leads the ground attack with 250 rushing yards.
The Bobcats have been balanced offensively, averaging nearly 290 passing yards and 180 rushing yards per game, which will pose a significant challenge for a Sam Houston defense that has been shaky. On the other hand, Sam Houston State, transitioning into Conference USA play, has had a rough start to the season, sitting at 1-3. Quarterback Hunter Watson has been inconsistent, with 540 passing yards and 5 interceptions to go with his 5 touchdowns. The Bearkats will look to their running back, DJ McKinney, to spark their offense, especially after he rushed for 116 yards and 2 touchdowns in their last outing against New Mexico State.
Despite their offensive struggles, Sam Houston will be hoping their defense, which has shown flashes of potential, can step up to slow down the high-powered Texas State offense. This game will likely come down to whether Sam Houston can contain Texas State’s offensive attack. If Texas State can establish their running game and continue their efficient passing, they should be able to control the game. However, if Sam Houston’s defense steps up and they can limit turnovers, they might be able to keep it closer than expected.
𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝟓 𝐢𝐧 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐧‼️
— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) September 23, 2024
🆚 Sam Houston
🗓️ September 28, 2024
🏟️ NRG Stadium
⏰2:00PM
📺 ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/g7hXXcInYm
Texas State enters this game on a high note, with a 3-1 record and a dynamic offense that has been clicking all season. Led by quarterback Jordan McCloud, who has already thrown for 9 touchdowns, the Bobcats have been able to put up points in bunches. Their balanced approach on offense, with nearly 300 passing yards and 180 rushing yards per game, has made them one of the more dangerous teams in the Sun Belt. On defense, Texas State has been solid, allowing only 22.7 points per game. Their pass defense, however, has shown some vulnerability, giving up nearly 280 yards per game through the air. They will need to tighten up in the secondary, especially against a Sam Houston team that could rely on the deep ball to stay competitive. If Texas State continues to execute on offense, they should be in good shape to cover the 8.5-point spread and potentially extend their win streak to four games.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Sam Houston State Bearkats are looking to turn their season around after a difficult start that includes losses to UCF and Rice. Sam Houston’s offense has struggled to find consistency, with quarterback Hunter Watson at the helm. Watson has thrown for 540 yards but has been plagued by turnovers, with 5 interceptions this season. The Bearkats will need to rely heavily on their running game, with DJ McKinney emerging as their primary offensive weapon, rushing for 233 yards on the season. Defensively, Sam Houston has been inconsistent, giving up over 190 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game. They will need to improve significantly if they hope to contain Texas State’s offense, which has been prolific both on the ground and through the air. Playing at NRG Stadium in Houston gives the Bearkats a quasi-home advantage, and they’ll be looking for their defense to create turnovers and slow down the Bobcats’ balanced attack.
Those NRG vibes as we prep for the H Town Showdown. See you Saturday in Houston!
— Sam Houston Football (@BearkatsFB) September 24, 2024
Get your tickets here:https://t.co/Qh84WdbfTl#EatEmUpKats pic.twitter.com/wjkPbMwGRo
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Bobcats and Bearkats play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Bobcats and Bearkats and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Sam Houston State’s strength factors between a Bobcats team going up against a possibly healthy Bearkats team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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