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Bobcats vs. Bearkats
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 3:00 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Bearkats Record: (3-1)
Bobcats Record: (2-1)
OPENING ODDS
TXSTSM Moneyline: -307
SAMST Moneyline: +242
TXSTSM Spread: -8.5
SAMST Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 56.5
TXSTSM
Betting Trends
- Texas State has been effective ATS, going 3-1 so far this season. Their strong offensive output, averaging 37 points per game, has helped them cover spreads in multiple matchups.
SAMST
Betting Trends
- Sam Houston has struggled against the spread (ATS), with a 1-3 record this season. Although they won their last game against New Mexico State, they have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly against stronger opponents.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The over is a frequent trend for both teams, especially Texas State, which averages 37 points per game. With a total points line set at 56.5, the offensive tendencies of Texas State and the defensive inconsistencies of Sam Houston could push the game over that total.
TXSTSM vs. SAMST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
LIVE CFB ODDS
CFB ODDS COMPARISON
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AFTER VIGORISH
+371.18
VS. SPREAD
1505-1329
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$37,118
Texas State vs Sam Houston State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The Texas State Bobcats will take on the Sam Houston State Bearkats in what promises to be an exciting in-state matchup at NRG Stadium. Texas State, led by quarterback Jordan McCloud, has emerged as one of the more dynamic offenses in the Sun Belt, averaging 37 points per game. McCloud has thrown for over 800 yards and 9 touchdowns so far, with key contributions from running back Ismail Mahdi, who leads the ground attack with 250 rushing yards.
The Bobcats have been balanced offensively, averaging nearly 290 passing yards and 180 rushing yards per game, which will pose a significant challenge for a Sam Houston defense that has been shaky. On the other hand, Sam Houston State, transitioning into Conference USA play, has had a rough start to the season, sitting at 1-3. Quarterback Hunter Watson has been inconsistent, with 540 passing yards and 5 interceptions to go with his 5 touchdowns. The Bearkats will look to their running back, DJ McKinney, to spark their offense, especially after he rushed for 116 yards and 2 touchdowns in their last outing against New Mexico State.
Despite their offensive struggles, Sam Houston will be hoping their defense, which has shown flashes of potential, can step up to slow down the high-powered Texas State offense. This game will likely come down to whether Sam Houston can contain Texas State’s offensive attack. If Texas State can establish their running game and continue their efficient passing, they should be able to control the game. However, if Sam Houston’s defense steps up and they can limit turnovers, they might be able to keep it closer than expected.
𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 𝟓 𝐢𝐧 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐧‼️
— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) September 23, 2024
🆚 Sam Houston
🗓️ September 28, 2024
🏟️ NRG Stadium
⏰2:00PM
📺 ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/g7hXXcInYm
Bobcats AI Preview
Texas State enters this game on a high note, with a 3-1 record and a dynamic offense that has been clicking all season. Led by quarterback Jordan McCloud, who has already thrown for 9 touchdowns, the Bobcats have been able to put up points in bunches. Their balanced approach on offense, with nearly 300 passing yards and 180 rushing yards per game, has made them one of the more dangerous teams in the Sun Belt. On defense, Texas State has been solid, allowing only 22.7 points per game. Their pass defense, however, has shown some vulnerability, giving up nearly 280 yards per game through the air. They will need to tighten up in the secondary, especially against a Sam Houston team that could rely on the deep ball to stay competitive. If Texas State continues to execute on offense, they should be in good shape to cover the 8.5-point spread and potentially extend their win streak to four games.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Bearkats AI Preview
The Sam Houston State Bearkats are looking to turn their season around after a difficult start that includes losses to UCF and Rice. Sam Houston’s offense has struggled to find consistency, with quarterback Hunter Watson at the helm. Watson has thrown for 540 yards but has been plagued by turnovers, with 5 interceptions this season. The Bearkats will need to rely heavily on their running game, with DJ McKinney emerging as their primary offensive weapon, rushing for 233 yards on the season. Defensively, Sam Houston has been inconsistent, giving up over 190 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game. They will need to improve significantly if they hope to contain Texas State’s offense, which has been prolific both on the ground and through the air. Playing at NRG Stadium in Houston gives the Bearkats a quasi-home advantage, and they’ll be looking for their defense to create turnovers and slow down the Bobcats’ balanced attack.
Those NRG vibes as we prep for the H Town Showdown. See you Saturday in Houston!
— Sam Houston Football (@BearkatsFB) September 24, 2024
Get your tickets here:https://t.co/Qh84WdbfTl#EatEmUpKats pic.twitter.com/wjkPbMwGRo
Bobcats vs. Bearkats FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Bobcats and Bearkats play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Texas State vs. Sam Houston State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Bobcats and Bearkats and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors tend to put on Sam Houston State’s strength factors between a Bobcats team going up against a possibly unhealthy Bearkats team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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