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The South Florida Bulls will travel to face the Tulane Green Wave in what promises to be an exciting AAC matchup. Both teams enter this game with a 2-2 record, and each is looking to build momentum as they dive deeper into conference play. Tulane opened as a 6.5-point favorite, and the total is set at 64.5 points. South Florida is coming off a tough 50-15 loss to Miami (FL), where they struggled to keep pace after taking an early lead. Despite the loss, the Bulls have shown flashes of promise this season, especially when they almost upset Alabama in a close 42-16 game. The Bulls returned 18 starters from last year, and they’ve built a solid foundation on both sides of the ball.
Quarterback Byrum Brown, who has passed for 702 yards and rushed for 281 yards, will need to step up to keep South Florida competitive in this matchup. Tulane, on the other hand, comes into this game after a gritty 41-33 win over Louisiana. The Green Wave’s balanced attack, featuring quarterback Darian Mensah and running back Makhi Hughes, has been effective. Mensah has thrown for 796 yards with six touchdowns, while Hughes has added 424 rushing yards. Tulane’s offense is averaging nearly 200 rushing yards per game, and they’ll likely look to establish the ground game early against a South Florida defense that has struggled to stop the run, allowing 131.3 rushing yards per game. The key to this game could be Tulane’s defense, which has been solid against weaker opponents but gave up significant yardage against Oklahoma and Kansas State. South Florida will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses and take advantage of Brown’s dual-threat abilities to stay in the game.
Opening conference play in NOLA 👊#ComeToTheBay | #StayInTheBay pic.twitter.com/ZkA1GwfBaE
— USF Football (@USFFootball) September 24, 2024
South Florida comes into this matchup with a lot to prove. The Bulls are 2-2 on the season but have shown they can hang with tough competition. Their near-upset of Alabama and a strong win over Southern Miss demonstrate that this team has the potential to be a dark horse in the AAC. Quarterback Byrum Brown will be crucial to their success. Brown has been effective both in the air and on the ground, throwing for 702 yards and rushing for 281. The Bulls’ running game, led by Brown and running back Nay’Quan Wright, averages 217 rushing yards per game, one of the best in the country. However, their offensive line will face a tough test against Tulane’s defensive front, which has allowed only 170.5 rushing yards per game. If South Florida can establish the run early, they’ll be able to control the tempo and keep Tulane’s high-powered offense off the field. Defensively, South Florida has struggled, allowing 410.5 total yards per game, including 297.8 passing yards. They’ll need to tighten up their secondary if they hope to slow down Mensah and the Tulane passing attack. If the Bulls’ defense can generate turnovers and force Tulane into difficult third-down situations, they have a chance to pull off the upset.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tulane enters this game with a 2-2 record, having shown resilience after losing to Oklahoma and Kansas State early in the season. Led by quarterback Darian Mensah, Tulane’s offense has been dynamic, averaging 220.5 passing yards and 192 rushing yards per game. Mensah’s primary target, wide receiver Mario Williams, has accumulated 312 receiving yards, while running back Makhi Hughes has been a force on the ground with 424 rushing yards. Defensively, Tulane has been inconsistent, allowing an average of 25.3 points per game. However, they’ve been stout against the run, surrendering only 170.5 rushing yards per game. This defense will face a significant challenge from South Florida’s balanced offensive attack. If Tulane’s front seven can control the line of scrimmage and limit the effectiveness of South Florida’s running game, it could put the Green Wave in a position to control the game. One of Tulane’s strengths this season has been their ability to capitalize on mistakes. In their recent win over Louisiana, they returned a kickoff for a touchdown and scored on a pick-six, showcasing their ability to turn defense into offense. If they can replicate that kind of opportunistic play against South Florida, Tulane should be in a strong position to cover the spread and secure a key conference victory.
Y’all know what day it is! #HotBoyWednesday ⚜️#UptownFootball pic.twitter.com/XhlUxAs5ZU
— Tulane Football (@GreenWaveFB) September 25, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Bulls and Green Wave play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Benson Field at Yulman Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Bulls and Green Wave and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Bulls team going up against a possibly healthy Green Wave team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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