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The upcoming rivalry clash between North Carolina and Duke is poised to be one of the most critical ACC matchups of the weekend. Duke enters the game undefeated at 4-0, while North Carolina seeks to bounce back from a disappointing 70-50 loss to James Madison. The Tar Heels’ offense, led by quarterback Maalik Murphy, has been prolific, averaging 38 points per game and 221.8 rushing yards. However, their defense has struggled, allowing over 29 points per game, a weakness that Duke will look to exploit. Duke’s defense, allowing just 17.5 points per game, will be tested by North Carolina’s offensive weapons. The Blue Devils are coming off a 45-17 win over Middle Tennessee State, where they forced multiple turnovers and controlled the game from start to finish. Duke quarterback Jacolby Criswell has been solid, throwing for 638 yards, while running back Omarion Hampton has provided balance with 356 rushing yards on the season. For North Carolina, the key to winning will be limiting turnovers and getting more out of their defense.
They surrendered 611 yards to James Madison and gave up 223 rushing yards, which has been a recurring issue. The Tar Heels will need to establish their run game early and control the tempo to keep Duke’s balanced offense off the field. Duke, on the other hand, will look to maintain their defensive discipline while capitalizing on any mistakes made by the Tar Heels. Their defense has been strong against the pass, allowing just 127 passing yards in their last game, and they will need to pressure Murphy to disrupt North Carolina’s offensive flow.
Campbell Trophy Semifinalist 🐏
— Carolina Football (@UNCFootball) September 25, 2024
JJ Jones is recognized for his combination of academic success, on-field performance and leadership by the National Football Foundation. #CarolinaFootball 🏈 #UNCommon pic.twitter.com/pEIFciTyIn
North Carolina’s season has been marked by offensive fireworks and defensive inconsistencies. Quarterback Maalik Murphy has been excellent, leading the Tar Heels to 38 points per game. However, the defense has struggled, particularly in their most recent game, where they allowed 611 total yards and 70 points to James Madison. The Tar Heels’ defense ranks 99th nationally, giving up 29.3 points per game, and must improve to slow down Duke’s methodical attack. The offense, which has produced 12 rushing touchdowns this season, will need to carry the load once again. Running back Star Thomas has been effective, helping North Carolina control the pace of games. For the Tar Heels to win, they must protect the ball better, as turnovers have plagued them, and improve their run defense to prevent Duke from controlling time of possession. Both teams have a lot on the line in this matchup, with the winner gaining a crucial edge in the ACC standings.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Duke has had an impressive start to the season, riding a 4-0 record into this ACC matchup. Led by quarterback Jacolby Criswell and running back Omarion Hampton, the Blue Devils have averaged 360.5 yards of total offense and 30.8 points per game. While their offense is efficient, it is Duke’s defense that has been their biggest strength, allowing just 17.5 points per game. Duke’s ability to force turnovers has been key to their early-season success, and they will look to continue that trend against a North Carolina team that has shown a propensity for mistakes, particularly in their recent loss to James Madison. The Blue Devils’ defense has been particularly stout against the pass, and if they can control the line of scrimmage, they will put themselves in a great position to keep their undefeated streak alive.
The Academic Heisman 👏 @JMoore2021 pic.twitter.com/mUPs7WvMf3
— Duke Football (@DukeFOOTBALL) September 25, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Tar Heels and Blue Devils play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Tar Heels and Blue Devils and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the trending weight emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Tar Heels team going up against a possibly unhealthy Blue Devils team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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