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Tar Heels vs. Blue Devils
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) will travel to Durham to take on the undefeated Duke Blue Devils (4-0) on September 28, 2024, at Wallace Wade Stadium. Duke is favored by 3 points in this ACC rivalry, and both teams are looking to gain an edge early in the conference slate.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 4:00 PM EST
Venue: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium
Blue Devils Record: (4-0)
Tar Heels Record: (3-1)
OPENING ODDS
UNC Moneyline: +112
DUKE Moneyline: -133
UNC Spread: +2.5
DUKE Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 56
UNC
Betting Trends
- North Carolina is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Tar Heels have struggled with consistency, particularly on defense, and have failed to cover the spread in three of their four games, despite their strong offensive performance.
DUKE
Betting Trends
- Duke holds a 2-2 ATS record this season. The Blue Devils have been strong defensively and have been consistent in covering spreads, especially at home. Their offense has been efficient but not explosive, which could play a role in how they handle North Carolina’s high-scoring attack.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- North Carolina has hit the over in two of its four games this season, often due to their high-powered offense and a defense that gives up significant points. On the flip side, Duke’s games have also gone over the total in two of their four contests this season, setting up the possibility of a high-scoring game with a total set around 56 points.
UNC vs. DUKE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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North Carolina vs Duke AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The upcoming rivalry clash between North Carolina and Duke is poised to be one of the most critical ACC matchups of the weekend. Duke enters the game undefeated at 4-0, while North Carolina seeks to bounce back from a disappointing 70-50 loss to James Madison. The Tar Heels’ offense, led by quarterback Maalik Murphy, has been prolific, averaging 38 points per game and 221.8 rushing yards. However, their defense has struggled, allowing over 29 points per game, a weakness that Duke will look to exploit. Duke’s defense, allowing just 17.5 points per game, will be tested by North Carolina’s offensive weapons. The Blue Devils are coming off a 45-17 win over Middle Tennessee State, where they forced multiple turnovers and controlled the game from start to finish. Duke quarterback Jacolby Criswell has been solid, throwing for 638 yards, while running back Omarion Hampton has provided balance with 356 rushing yards on the season. For North Carolina, the key to winning will be limiting turnovers and getting more out of their defense.
They surrendered 611 yards to James Madison and gave up 223 rushing yards, which has been a recurring issue. The Tar Heels will need to establish their run game early and control the tempo to keep Duke’s balanced offense off the field. Duke, on the other hand, will look to maintain their defensive discipline while capitalizing on any mistakes made by the Tar Heels. Their defense has been strong against the pass, allowing just 127 passing yards in their last game, and they will need to pressure Murphy to disrupt North Carolina’s offensive flow.
Campbell Trophy Semifinalist 🐏
— Carolina Football (@UNCFootball) September 25, 2024
JJ Jones is recognized for his combination of academic success, on-field performance and leadership by the National Football Foundation. #CarolinaFootball 🏈 #UNCommon pic.twitter.com/pEIFciTyIn
Tar Heels AI Preview
North Carolina’s season has been marked by offensive fireworks and defensive inconsistencies. Quarterback Maalik Murphy has been excellent, leading the Tar Heels to 38 points per game. However, the defense has struggled, particularly in their most recent game, where they allowed 611 total yards and 70 points to James Madison. The Tar Heels’ defense ranks 99th nationally, giving up 29.3 points per game, and must improve to slow down Duke’s methodical attack. The offense, which has produced 12 rushing touchdowns this season, will need to carry the load once again. Running back Star Thomas has been effective, helping North Carolina control the pace of games. For the Tar Heels to win, they must protect the ball better, as turnovers have plagued them, and improve their run defense to prevent Duke from controlling time of possession. Both teams have a lot on the line in this matchup, with the winner gaining a crucial edge in the ACC standings.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Blue Devils AI Preview
Duke has had an impressive start to the season, riding a 4-0 record into this ACC matchup. Led by quarterback Jacolby Criswell and running back Omarion Hampton, the Blue Devils have averaged 360.5 yards of total offense and 30.8 points per game. While their offense is efficient, it is Duke’s defense that has been their biggest strength, allowing just 17.5 points per game. Duke’s ability to force turnovers has been key to their early-season success, and they will look to continue that trend against a North Carolina team that has shown a propensity for mistakes, particularly in their recent loss to James Madison. The Blue Devils’ defense has been particularly stout against the pass, and if they can control the line of scrimmage, they will put themselves in a great position to keep their undefeated streak alive.
The Academic Heisman 👏 @JMoore2021 pic.twitter.com/mUPs7WvMf3
— Duke Football (@DukeFOOTBALL) September 25, 2024
Tar Heels vs. Blue Devils FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Tar Heels and Blue Devils play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
North Carolina vs. Duke CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Tar Heels and Blue Devils and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Tar Heels team going up against a possibly strong Blue Devils team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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