Lobos vs. Aggies
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024

The New Mexico Lobos (0-4) visit the New Mexico State Aggies (1-3) at Aggie Memorial Stadium on September 28, 2024. The Lobos are favored by 9.5 points, but both teams are coming off rough starts to the season, making this rivalry game critical for momentum.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2024

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium​

Aggies Record: (1-3)

Lobos Record: (0-4)

OPENING ODDS

NMEX Moneyline: -327

NMEXST Moneyline: +257

NMEX Spread: -9.5

NMEXST Spread: +9.5

Over/Under: 58

NMEX
Betting Trends

  • New Mexico has struggled ATS this season with a 1-3 record. Their defense has allowed an average of 44.8 points per game, which has impacted their ability to cover spreads.

NMEXST
Betting Trends

  • New Mexico State is 3-1 ATS this season, covering in three of their four games despite a 1-3 overall record. They’ve kept games close, particularly at home, giving them a better chance to cover the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • New Mexico State has a strong home ATS record, covering in six of their last 10 home games. Meanwhile, New Mexico has gone 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games, showing inconsistency away from home.

NMEX vs. NMEXST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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New Mexico vs New Mexico State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24

The upcoming matchup between the New Mexico Lobos and New Mexico State Aggies features two teams looking to rebound from tough starts to the season. The Lobos enter this rivalry game winless at 0-4, but they are favored by 9.5 points. Despite this, their defense has been a significant issue, allowing nearly 45 points per game.

Offensively, New Mexico has relied on the dual-threat abilities of quarterback Devon Dampier, who has accounted for much of the Lobos’ production both through the air and on the ground. However, turnovers and penalties have plagued their efforts to close out games. New Mexico State, despite a 1-3 record, has shown promise in covering spreads, particularly at home. Led by quarterback Diego Pavia, the Aggies’ offense has struggled at times, averaging just over 17 points per game. However, their ability to keep games close, even against better opponents, makes them a tough out in this rivalry. The Aggies’ defense has been their strong suit, limiting opponents to manageable yardage but faltering late in games. This game could come down to who can control the line of scrimmage and capitalize on turnovers. New Mexico has a better offensive attack, but their defense has been suspect. New Mexico State’s defense will need to force turnovers and limit explosive plays to stay competitive. Expect a close game, as the rivalry factor often leads to unexpected results.

Lobos AI Preview

The New Mexico Lobos enter this game desperate for their first win of the season. Sitting at 0-4, the Lobos have struggled defensively, allowing 44.8 points per game. However, their offense, led by quarterback Devon Dampier, has shown promise. Dampier’s ability to make plays both in the passing game and on the ground will be critical in keeping the Lobos competitive. The team averages 166.5 rushing yards per game, which is respectable, but turnovers have been a significant issue, with New Mexico giving the ball away eight times already this season. New Mexico’s defense has been porous, especially against the pass, ranking near the bottom of the nation in yards allowed per game. If the Lobos hope to get their first win, they will need to tighten up defensively and reduce their number of penalties, as they’ve been flagged 45 times for 335 yards this season. Offensively, the Lobos need a big game from running back Sherod White, who has been their most consistent playmaker in the backfield. White’s ability to establish the run will open up opportunities for Dampier in the play-action game. The Lobos also need to limit New Mexico State’s ground attack and force them into third-and-long situations. If they can do that, they should be able to break into the win column.

The New Mexico Lobos (0-4) visit the New Mexico State Aggies (1-3) at Aggie Memorial Stadium on September 28, 2024. The Lobos are favored by 9.5 points, but both teams are coming off rough starts to the season, making this rivalry game critical for momentum. New Mexico vs New Mexico State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Aggies AI Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this rivalry game with a 1-3 record but have performed well ATS, covering in three of their four games. Head coach Tony Sanchez has instilled a toughness in his squad, particularly on the defensive side, where they’ve managed to keep opponents in check. However, offensive struggles have limited the Aggies’ ability to convert close games into wins. Quarterback Diego Pavia has been inconsistent, but he has shown flashes of potential, particularly in short-yardage situations. The Aggies will need to establish their ground game early, as they have been most successful when running back Star Thomas can find space. On defense, New Mexico State has given up an average of 29.5 points per game, but they’ve been good at bending without breaking, often forcing opponents into long drives that don’t always result in touchdowns. For the Aggies to win this game, they’ll need to limit turnovers and control the clock. Their defense must focus on containing New Mexico’s Devon Dampier, who can hurt them with both his arm and legs. Given their recent form and strong ATS record at home, the Aggies will be confident they can cover the 9.5-point spread, especially if their defense can force some key mistakes from the Lobos.

Lobos vs. Aggies FREE Prop Pick

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Lobos and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State CFB AI Pick

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Lobos and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing weight emotional bettors often put on New Mexico’s strength factors between a Lobos team going up against a possibly strong Aggies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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