Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand when to hedge bets, strategies, and its...
Bulldogs vs. Longhorns
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 4:15 PM EST
Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Longhorns Record: (4-0)
Bulldogs Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
MISSST Moneyline: +1325
TEXAS Moneyline: -10000
MISSST Spread: +38.5
TEXAS Spread: -38.5
Over/Under: 61.5
MISSST
Betting Trends
- Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games in September. Their struggles on both sides of the ball have been evident, particularly in their recent 45-28 loss to Florida.
TEXAS
Betting Trends
- Texas has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, including blowout victories over weaker opponents. The Longhorns have consistently outperformed their lofty point spreads, winning by an average margin of nearly 30 points per game this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Texas has consistently hit the over in most of their recent games, especially when facing non-ranked opponents. Given their offensive firepower and Mississippi State’s defensive struggles, this matchup could see the total points easily surpass 62.5.
MISSST vs. TEXAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
LIVE CFB ODDS
CFB ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in point spread and total bets, and its...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+) and minus (-) signs mean, and how...
What is a Round Robin Bet? | 4 Ways to Avoid Betting Traps
Learn how round-robin bets work, their advantages, and strategies to diversify your sports betting risk. Increase your winning...
What Percent of Bets to Win to be Profitable? | The 52.4% Strategy
What Percent of Bets to Win to be Profitable? | The 52.4% Strategy What Is The Break Even...
Are Parlays Worth It? | 4 Reasons To Avoid Them
Are Parlays Worth It? | 4 Reasons To Avoid Them Is a Parlay Worth It? Parlays can be...
Best Sports to Bet On | Comparing the Top 6 American Sports
Best Sports to Bet On | Comparing the Top 6 American Sports WHAT ARE THE BEST SPORTS TO...
What is a Unit in Betting? | 5 Reasons Accurate Units Matter
What is a Unit in Betting? 5 Reasons Accurate Units Matter WHAT IS A unit IN BETTING? In...
AFTER VIGORISH
+372.13
VS. SPREAD
1521-1342
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$37,213
Mississippi State vs Texas AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The Mississippi State Bulldogs travel to Austin to face the Texas Longhorns in what looks like a David vs. Goliath matchup on paper. Texas enters the game unbeaten at 4-0, coming off a dominant 51-3 victory over Louisiana-Monroe. Mississippi State, on the other hand, is struggling with a 1-3 record after losing three consecutive games, including a 45-28 defeat against Florida. Mississippi State has struggled defensively, giving up an average of 32.3 points per game this season. Quarterback Blake Shapen has been solid, throwing for 974 yards and eight touchdowns, but the Bulldogs’ defense hasn’t been able to stop much. Running back Johnnie Daniels leads the ground attack with 158 rushing yards, but the Bulldogs lack explosiveness on offense, particularly when facing top-tier opponents like Texas.
Texas, meanwhile, has been dominant on both sides of the ball. Even with quarterback Quinn Ewers dealing with injuries, backup Arch Manning has stepped in seamlessly, throwing for 576 yards and seven touchdowns. The Longhorns’ balanced offense features running back Jerrick Gibson, who has rushed for 210 yards and three touchdowns, and a talented receiving corps led by Isaiah Bond, who has 290 yards and three touchdowns. The key to this game will be Texas’ defense, which has allowed just 11.5 points per game and recorded seven interceptions. Mississippi State’s offense will struggle to keep pace if Texas can generate early turnovers and maintain pressure. With Texas favored by 38.5 points, this game could turn into another blowout if the Longhorns’ offense continues its high-scoring ways.
Ring that Ball Out Bell, 2️⃣#SHOWTIME | #HailState pic.twitter.com/XqcCJe0Nzd
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) September 24, 2024
Bulldogs AI Preview
Mississippi State heads into this game with a 1-3 record and plenty of questions surrounding its defense, which has allowed 32.3 points per game this season. The Bulldogs are coming off a 45-28 loss to Florida, where quarterback Blake Shapen threw for 243 yards and two touchdowns, but the defense gave up 482 total yards. Mississippi State’s inability to stop the run and cover receivers in space has been a recurring issue, something they’ll need to correct quickly against a Texas team that excels in both areas. Offensively, Mississippi State has relied on Shapen, who has 974 passing yards and eight touchdowns. However, their ground game has been inconsistent, with Johnnie Daniels leading the team with just 158 rushing yards. Mississippi State will need to establish the run early and protect the football if they want to stay competitive against the heavily favored Longhorns. Given Mississippi State’s struggles on defense, this game could get out of hand quickly if they are unable to slow down Texas’ high-powered offense. The Bulldogs will need a near-perfect performance to keep this game close.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Longhorns AI Preview
The Texas Longhorns are firing on all cylinders as they enter their Week 5 matchup against Mississippi State. After a commanding 4-0 start to the season, Texas looks like one of the most complete teams in the country. The Longhorns have averaged over 44 points per game while holding opponents to just 11.5 points, creating massive point differentials in each contest. Quarterback Quinn Ewers has been effective when healthy, but backup Arch Manning has been a reliable option, throwing for 576 yards and seven touchdowns in relief. On the ground, Jerrick Gibson leads the rushing attack with 210 yards and three scores. The Longhorns’ offensive line has been dominant, allowing their playmakers time to thrive both in the run game and through the air. Defensively, Texas has been stout, with linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. leading the team with 25 tackles, two sacks, and an interception. If Texas can continue its trend of forcing turnovers and keeping opponents out of the end zone, they should have no trouble extending their winning streak.
SEC play is here 🤘
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) September 23, 2024
🏈 Texas vs. Mississippi State
📅 Saturday, Sept. 28 | 3:15 PM CT
📍 DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
📺 SEC Network
Presented by American Airlines pic.twitter.com/3HB4Ngnhws
Bulldogs vs. Longhorns FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Longhorns play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Mississippi State vs. Texas CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Bulldogs and Longhorns and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the trending weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly strong Longhorns team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.