Bulldogs vs. Longhorns
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) face a daunting task as they take on the Texas Longhorns (4-0) on September 28, 2024, at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas is heavily favored by 38.5 points in what could be a lopsided SEC matchup, with Mississippi State reeling after three consecutive losses.

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AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2024

Start Time: 4:15 PM EST​

Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium​

Longhorns Record: (4-0)

Bulldogs Record: (1-3)

OPENING ODDS

MISSST Moneyline: +1325

TEXAS Moneyline: -10000

MISSST Spread: +38.5

TEXAS Spread: -38.5

Over/Under: 61.5

MISSST
Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games in September. Their struggles on both sides of the ball have been evident, particularly in their recent 45-28 loss to Florida.

TEXAS
Betting Trends

  • Texas has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, including blowout victories over weaker opponents. The Longhorns have consistently outperformed their lofty point spreads, winning by an average margin of nearly 30 points per game this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Texas has consistently hit the over in most of their recent games, especially when facing non-ranked opponents. Given their offensive firepower and Mississippi State’s defensive struggles, this matchup could see the total points easily surpass 62.5.

MISSST vs. TEXAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Mississippi State vs Texas AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24

The Mississippi State Bulldogs travel to Austin to face the Texas Longhorns in what looks like a David vs. Goliath matchup on paper. Texas enters the game unbeaten at 4-0, coming off a dominant 51-3 victory over Louisiana-Monroe. Mississippi State, on the other hand, is struggling with a 1-3 record after losing three consecutive games, including a 45-28 defeat against Florida. Mississippi State has struggled defensively, giving up an average of 32.3 points per game this season. Quarterback Blake Shapen has been solid, throwing for 974 yards and eight touchdowns, but the Bulldogs’ defense hasn’t been able to stop much. Running back Johnnie Daniels leads the ground attack with 158 rushing yards, but the Bulldogs lack explosiveness on offense, particularly when facing top-tier opponents like Texas.

Texas, meanwhile, has been dominant on both sides of the ball. Even with quarterback Quinn Ewers dealing with injuries, backup Arch Manning has stepped in seamlessly, throwing for 576 yards and seven touchdowns. The Longhorns’ balanced offense features running back Jerrick Gibson, who has rushed for 210 yards and three touchdowns, and a talented receiving corps led by Isaiah Bond, who has 290 yards and three touchdowns. The key to this game will be Texas’ defense, which has allowed just 11.5 points per game and recorded seven interceptions. Mississippi State’s offense will struggle to keep pace if Texas can generate early turnovers and maintain pressure. With Texas favored by 38.5 points, this game could turn into another blowout if the Longhorns’ offense continues its high-scoring ways.

Bulldogs AI Preview

Mississippi State heads into this game with a 1-3 record and plenty of questions surrounding its defense, which has allowed 32.3 points per game this season. The Bulldogs are coming off a 45-28 loss to Florida, where quarterback Blake Shapen threw for 243 yards and two touchdowns, but the defense gave up 482 total yards. Mississippi State’s inability to stop the run and cover receivers in space has been a recurring issue, something they’ll need to correct quickly against a Texas team that excels in both areas. Offensively, Mississippi State has relied on Shapen, who has 974 passing yards and eight touchdowns. However, their ground game has been inconsistent, with Johnnie Daniels leading the team with just 158 rushing yards. Mississippi State will need to establish the run early and protect the football if they want to stay competitive against the heavily favored Longhorns. Given Mississippi State’s struggles on defense, this game could get out of hand quickly if they are unable to slow down Texas’ high-powered offense. The Bulldogs will need a near-perfect performance to keep this game close.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) face a daunting task as they take on the Texas Longhorns (4-0) on September 28, 2024, at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas is heavily favored by 38.5 points in what could be a lopsided SEC matchup, with Mississippi State reeling after three consecutive losses. Mississippi State vs Texas AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Longhorns AI Preview

The Texas Longhorns are firing on all cylinders as they enter their Week 5 matchup against Mississippi State. After a commanding 4-0 start to the season, Texas looks like one of the most complete teams in the country. The Longhorns have averaged over 44 points per game while holding opponents to just 11.5 points, creating massive point differentials in each contest. Quarterback Quinn Ewers has been effective when healthy, but backup Arch Manning has been a reliable option, throwing for 576 yards and seven touchdowns in relief. On the ground, Jerrick Gibson leads the rushing attack with 210 yards and three scores. The Longhorns’ offensive line has been dominant, allowing their playmakers time to thrive both in the run game and through the air. Defensively, Texas has been stout, with linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. leading the team with 25 tackles, two sacks, and an interception. If Texas can continue its trend of forcing turnovers and keeping opponents out of the end zone, they should have no trouble extending their winning streak.

Bulldogs vs. Longhorns FREE Prop Pick

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Longhorns play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Mississippi State vs. Texas CFB AI Pick

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Bulldogs and Longhorns and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the trending weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly strong Longhorns team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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