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The Michigan Wolverines, ranked No. 12, will host the Minnesota Golden Gophers in a key Big Ten matchup on September 28, 2024. Michigan enters the game with a 3-1 record and is coming off a narrow victory over USC, while Minnesota is at 2-2 following a tough 31-14 loss to Iowa. This game will be crucial for both teams, especially for Minnesota as they look to rebound in conference play. Michigan boasts one of the most balanced teams in the nation. Running back Kalel Mullings has been a standout performer, racking up over 400 rushing yards this season, and he will be key in Michigan’s ground game. Quarterback Davis Warren has been steady, though his touchdown-to-interception ratio could improve.
Michigan’s offense averages 27 points per game, and they will look to control the tempo with their strong running attack, which could spell trouble for a Minnesota defense that has struggled to contain the run. Minnesota’s defense will be tested, especially since they have allowed an average of 25 points per game. Offensively, the Golden Gophers are led by quarterback Max Brosmer, who has been inconsistent, throwing for 836 yards with a 65.8% completion rate. The Gophers will need Brosmer to have a mistake-free game and rely on their running backs to balance the attack. If Minnesota can limit turnovers and control time of possession, they might keep it competitive, but it will be difficult against a Wolverines team that has been nearly unbeatable at home.
First Opportunity on the Road 🫡
— Minnesota Football (@GopherFootball) September 25, 2024
⏰ 11:00 AM
📅 Saturday, Sept. 28
🏟️ Michigan Stadium
📰 https://t.co/o00EVBCEPS pic.twitter.com/6zuSlQqmX2
Minnesota enters this game with a 2-2 record and a lot to prove. The Golden Gophers have been inconsistent this season, and they face an uphill battle against a tough Michigan squad. Quarterback Max Brosmer will need to step up for Minnesota if they hope to pull off an upset. Brosmer has been under constant pressure this season, suffering eight sacks, but he has shown flashes of ability with over 800 passing yards. Minnesota’s rushing attack, led by Marcus Major, will also be crucial. If the Gophers can establish a running game, they might be able to control the tempo and keep Michigan’s high-powered offense off the field. However, Minnesota’s offensive line will need to perform better, as they’ve struggled to protect Brosmer and open up running lanes consistently. Defensively, the Gophers will need to focus on stopping Michigan’s running game. Michigan’s Kalel Mullings has been one of the most efficient running backs in the country, and Minnesota’s front seven will be tested. The Gophers’ defense has given up over 25 points per game, and they’ll need to tighten up if they hope to slow down the Wolverines’ offense. Minnesota’s ATS record against Michigan isn’t promising, but they’ll need to play a nearly perfect game to cover the spread and keep the game close. If Brosmer can avoid turnovers and the defense can force Michigan into long third downs, the Gophers may have a chance to keep it competitive.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Michigan Wolverines have been a powerhouse at home, where they are 18-1 straight up in their last 19 games. This season, Michigan’s balanced offensive attack has been the driving force behind their success. Running back Kalel Mullings has been the standout performer, averaging an impressive 8.1 yards per carry and contributing four touchdowns. Michigan’s ground game has been vital to their strategy, allowing them to control the clock and wear down opposing defenses. On the defensive side, Michigan has been solid, allowing just over 20 points per game. They will aim to shut down Minnesota’s inconsistent offense, which has struggled at times this season. Michigan’s defensive line, led by key players like Colston Loveland, will look to pressure Minnesota quarterback Max Brosmer, who has been sacked multiple times this season. With a favorable matchup against a Minnesota team that has struggled against top-tier competition, Michigan is expected to control the game from start to finish. If they can establish their running game early and force Minnesota into difficult third-down situations, the Wolverines should comfortably cover the 12.5-point spread.
Battle for the Little Brown Jug#GoBlue pic.twitter.com/axvJXzh1sM
— Michigan Football (@UMichFootball) September 23, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Golden Gophers and Wolverines play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Michigan Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Golden Gophers and Wolverines and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Golden Gophers team going up against a possibly improved Wolverines team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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